February 2022 Obs & Discussions
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SoulSingMG
dsix85
rb924119
hyde345
jmanley32
frank 638
RJB8525
essexcountypete
mmanisca
Coachgriff
Snow88
Grselig
CPcantmeasuresnow
brownie
Vinnydula
dkodgis
sroc4
SENJsnowman
TheAresian
nutleyblizzard
Frank_Wx
heehaw453
phil155
weatherwatchermom
Radz
docstox12
Dunnzoo
aiannone
billg315
amugs
34 posters
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
amugs wrote:HRDPS
This is getting interesting. Mesos have been all over since HRRR and NAMs jumped on it last night.
One thing, the warmer ground near the coast is and on LI is going to inhibit and keep the snowfall accumulations down UNLESS you get under the heaviest axis of banding aka frontgenesis.
I’m not so sure about that warm ground theory. It was sunny and breezy and dry today. The ground dried out pretty well. By the time the precip moves into LI at least avg temp is upper twenties to thirty. I think temps will plummet pretty quick and I don’t think the ground will retain that much heat. Should be clear for awhile helping radiative cooling. We’ll see.
sroc4- Admin
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
38.5/25.2 I want to believe the HRRR, I truly do.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Here comes the arctic front and the snow!
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Moderate to heavy snow. 31.2/30.7 1/2" snow OTG
Over/under 2" looks very doable.
Over/under 2" looks very doable.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Moderate snow here in NYC
Temperature is now 34
Sticking to colder surfaces but that should change soon
Temperature is now 34
Sticking to colder surfaces but that should change soon
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
30.3/30 moderate snow about 1" OTG.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
27 degrees with moderate snow. Radar looks much further west than expected and pretty healthy atm.
WWA in orange, rockland and westchester for 2-3 inches. From the looks of the current radar that looks very doable. Probably close to an inch already.
WWA in orange, rockland and westchester for 2-3 inches. From the looks of the current radar that looks very doable. Probably close to an inch already.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Down to 33 here in Brooklyn
Several more hours of snow to go
Several more hours of snow to go
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
27° moderate snow continues. Haven't officially gone out to measure yet and still had a couple inches otg so will have to venture out soon to see how much new snow has fallen on the board. Looks like it may be 2+ inches already but since I was expecting 0 still wondering if my eyes deceive me.
Love surprises like this.
Love surprises like this.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Snow just started here at exit 80 of the GSP. Snow was originally modeled
To start late last night, and the delayed start probably means we won’t overperform down here in terms of accumulations. Maybe 1-2” is a safe call. But futurecast does show snow sticking around here most of the day, and a full day of watching snowfall would be awesome.
Very happy that precip expanded n and w, but you can’t say I’m surprised! Lol. I am surprised that the heavier to snow is to my west while the storm is still to my east. That doesn’t tend to happen to often.
To start late last night, and the delayed start probably means we won’t overperform down here in terms of accumulations. Maybe 1-2” is a safe call. But futurecast does show snow sticking around here most of the day, and a full day of watching snowfall would be awesome.
Very happy that precip expanded n and w, but you can’t say I’m surprised! Lol. I am surprised that the heavier to snow is to my west while the storm is still to my east. That doesn’t tend to happen to often.
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
32* with light to occasionally moderate snow here. Ground is coated but more traveled pavements just wet.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Very pretty postcard snow in Central NJ…about an inch on the ground. Dogs were thrilled!
Coachgriff- Posts : 57
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Another win for the HRRR
It was further west than any model throughout the day yesterday
It was further west than any model throughout the day yesterday
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
27 degrees, light snow.Looks like over 4 inches OTG ATM.A pleasant surprise after NWS only had me for an inch all told.They did have the chance of snow up here for over a week now so i GIVE THEM THAT.
Every winter always has a nice surprise in store for everybody and this is ours up here in the HV in this snow starved winter.
Every winter always has a nice surprise in store for everybody and this is ours up here in the HV in this snow starved winter.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
I woke up to snow! 1.25” on the ground so far and still snowing. Winter Weather Advisory here runs till 1 pm.
brownie- Posts : 400
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
About 2". Got what I expected. Reports out of Reading PA of over 5". The initial meso band set up further west. There was little doubt that large surprises would be had with this system just a matter of where.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
28* looks like 3” at least here, beautiful picture postcard morning
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Light snow in Deer Park . 31 degrees . I have about an inch on the ground. Roads just wet.
mmanisca- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Somewhere along the way, this became an afternoon storm for the Jersey Shore. Nothing has stuck yet, but radar and app now say decent snow thru 2-3 pm. Won't accumulate much more than inch or 2, but if it happens, that will make this Sunday pretty Super for me.
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
30*. Light to moderate snow falling about an inch. Starting to accumulate on side roads.
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Still light snow here.Looks like a solid 4 inches here.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
3" here, no accumulation on the roadways, just a little accumulation on the driveway. Great little overperformer!
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
2.5" measured on the grass and deck. Warmer surfaces about 1". might be able to squeeze 3" based HRRR.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: February 2022 Obs & Discussions
Not quite 2". Warm surfaces 0-1".
Lovely surprise.
Lovely surprise.
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