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Banter Thread 8.0

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 05, 2023 4:44 pm

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Fb_img11


This is just crazy...

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Post by sroc4 Sun Mar 05, 2023 5:20 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Fb_img11


This is just crazy...

Momma. Is that you and the dog in front of your house? 😜

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Mar 05, 2023 6:26 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Fb_img11


This is just crazy...

I’m about as hard core snow lover as there is but I draw the line at about half that.

A sudden thaw and heavy rain which can easily happen there this time of year, and these people will see flooding like they’ve never imagined. Hope it doesn’t happen.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 05, 2023 8:00 pm

sroc4 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Fb_img11


This is just crazy...

Momma. Is that you and the dog in front of your house? 😜

Haha no I pulled that off of a Twitter feed.that is in California . but that will as I said us next year while son off at school .and we will have snow like this to shovel on our own.🤣😂🤣😂 I promise not to complain..


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Sun Mar 05, 2023 8:08 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 05, 2023 8:03 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Fb_img11


This is just crazy...

I’m about as hard core snow lover as there is but I draw the line at about half that.

A sudden thaw and heavy rain which can easily happen there this time of year, and these people will see flooding like they’ve never imagined. Hope it doesn’t happen.

California can not catch a break with weather...this will be a nightmare when it thaws
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 05, 2023 9:27 pm

Hillarious Jeff Smith on Channel 7 started to mention a possible storm for next weekend that we will tract all week and the other anchors were like "WHY ARE YOU SMILING? "..and he laughs and says "Because I have been bored all winter!"
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Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 06, 2023 3:57 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Hillarious Jeff Smith on Channel 7 started to mention a possible storm for next weekend that we will tract all week and the other anchors were like "WHY ARE YOU SMILING? "..and he laughs and says "Because I have been bored all winter!"
lol and us snow lovers are suffering all winter long

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Mar 06, 2023 9:56 am

frank 638 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Hillarious Jeff Smith on Channel 7 started to mention a possible storm for next weekend that we will tract all week and the other anchors were like "WHY ARE YOU SMILING? "..and he laughs and says "Because I have been bored all winter!"
lol and us snow lovers are suffering all winter long
He's hoping for something as well!
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Post by Math23x7 Tue Mar 07, 2023 12:19 am

Did anyone see tonight’s 0Z EURO OP for early next week? Still technically in fantasy range, but great Eye candy.

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Post by Math23x7 Tue Mar 07, 2023 9:54 pm

Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Morris11

To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

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Post by docstox12 Wed Mar 08, 2023 3:41 am

Math23x7 wrote:Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Morris11

To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.
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Post by dkodgis Wed Mar 08, 2023 5:32 am

I can’t put names to the two ladies and the gentleman on the right.

And here is the next flood awaiting

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CnrM_F8BeTB/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
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Post by Math23x7 Wed Mar 08, 2023 3:17 pm

dkodgis wrote:I can’t put names to the two ladies and the gentleman on the right.

And here is the next flood awaiting

https://www.instagram.com/reel/CnrM_F8BeTB/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

From left to right in the photo:

Frank, Math23x7 (myself), brownie, Janet (Dunnzoo) and Billg315 (Bill)

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Post by dkodgis Wed Mar 08, 2023 3:27 pm

Thanks!
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 08, 2023 6:31 pm



AWESOME!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Thu Mar 09, 2023 2:48 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CNWestMilford wrote:
If that Euro happens verbatim I will not be on (cuz I would be so sour), 6 inches and but 40 miles maybe less to NW 25-30 inches, thats just a horse kick to the head. Not taking anything with snow maps to heart now this far out just saying. There must be a lot of rain and mixing on coast (6-9/10 showing IMBY) for there to be 12+ just a few miles inland. I will take the UKMET, much better for more people on here. But I am sure CP will take that Euro verbatim, I guess 6+ is still pretty darn good now to think of it but it would still be disappointing. But those maps will change 20x before game time.

More negativity Jon scratch
Bah kick ricks lol jk, actually not being in the kill zone is a good thing usually now that I think of it. And in the end it is what it is right. We can't control weather. Not being negative being truthful thats not allowed? I am cracking up because I never understood that emoji thought it was a guy with a pony tail, then i saw the wording for it "scratch" and ahhh makes sense lmao. You know we all want to be in that hot spot come on now Laughing

But in more seriousness, when I saw the maps of the storm it looked like all snow all way down well past coast NYC area but judging from that Euro run snow map above there would have to have been mixing issues for coast with such lower amounts but model run did not show that, it showed all snow. Can you explain?

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia1.tenor.com%2Fimages%2F7700755bc5a920fbe5d7f3e0b94344d0%2Ftenor

First nothing you are saying is truthful in the slightest.  All your doing is offering up a pessimistic opinion on what might happen.  The reality of your back yard or mine or CP's of anyone on here is not set in stone.  If you want to gripe about it being too warm, without any reasoning other than "Well its this winter"  and not offering up any actual evidence or analysis as to your reasoning youre more than welcome, but do it here.  

As far as snow map details Im not going to take the time to explain why a single snow map 100+ hrs out looks a certain way.  Youve been following along with us long enough to know why it may look that way.  We all know at this lead time those details on those maps mean nothing.  Iron out the upper levels first; then work on the surface details for your backyard and mine...ie: not until over the weekend.  

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.giphy.com%2Fmedia%2FycpX7aTJVH9zkU4PWO%2Fgiphy

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by amugs Thu Mar 09, 2023 2:55 pm

What's the saying.....if you nothing to say.....then don't!!
Negativity will only bring you down, scientifically proven.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 11, 2023 1:49 pm

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CNWestMilford wrote:
If that Euro happens verbatim I will not be on (cuz I would be so sour), 6 inches and but 40 miles maybe less to NW 25-30 inches, thats just a horse kick to the head. Not taking anything with snow maps to heart now this far out just saying. There must be a lot of rain and mixing on coast (6-9/10 showing IMBY) for there to be 12+ just a few miles inland. I will take the UKMET, much better for more people on here. But I am sure CP will take that Euro verbatim, I guess 6+ is still pretty darn good now to think of it but it would still be disappointing. But those maps will change 20x before game time.

More negativity Jon scratch
Bah kick ricks lol jk, actually not being in the kill zone is a good thing usually now that I think of it. And in the end it is what it is right. We can't control weather. Not being negative being truthful thats not allowed? I am cracking up because I never understood that emoji thought it was a guy with a pony tail, then i saw the wording for it "scratch" and ahhh makes sense lmao. You know we all want to be in that hot spot come on now Laughing

But in more seriousness, when I saw the maps of the storm it looked like all snow all way down well past coast NYC area but judging from that Euro run snow map above there would have to have been mixing issues for coast with such lower amounts but model run did not show that, it showed all snow. Can you explain?

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia1.tenor.com%2Fimages%2F7700755bc5a920fbe5d7f3e0b94344d0%2Ftenor

First nothing you are saying is truthful in the slightest.  All your doing is offering up a pessimistic opinion on what might happen.  The reality of your back yard or mine or CP's of anyone on here is not set in stone.  If you want to gripe about it being too warm, without any reasoning other than "Well its this winter"  and not offering up any actual evidence or analysis as to your reasoning youre more than welcome, but do it here.  

As far as snow map details Im not going to take the time to explain why a single snow map 100+ hrs out looks a certain way.  Youve been following along with us long enough to know why it may look that way.  We all know at this lead time those details on those maps mean nothing.  Iron out the upper levels first; then work on the surface details for your backyard and mine...ie: not until over the weekend.  

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.giphy.com%2Fmedia%2FycpX7aTJVH9zkU4PWO%2Fgiphy
Okay truthful in the sense of hoiw agitated I feel, no interms of any helpful analysis no I will admit its not helpful and should be in here. This is just very frustrating looking like one second we are improving chances with this one and then not sure and then not. I greatly appreciate all that you guys do and provide though at times hard to understand because you all seem to be on somewhat of a different page, which is understandable no one is going to have the exact same analysis. I think this year has just been way to many kicks and the fact that we have a nice coastal that could completely miss most of us is just so bittering, sorry but I cannot imagine that some of you must feel the same. I have seen CP (no offense) get far angrier than I was in this post and I feel like its okay for some and not others (ie me). I will from now on keep in banter for sure but this is just oh so frustrating but I am really hoping this will end up being good for most not just way upstate and far NW NJ. Though of course I want them all to get it, not wanting anyone to not get it. Nice meme from the sandlot, dunno what the other one is from.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 11, 2023 1:54 pm

amugs wrote:What's the saying.....if you nothing to say.....then don't!!
Negativity will only bring you down, scientifically proven.
Provide the evidence please. I think not expressing your feelings is bad and that is proven or at least evident to me in my line of work, I should know I work with people diagnosed with mental illness and if they do not express their feelings negative or not they will just bottle it up till they explode, never a good thing. It is working to change thought process and being able to utilize coping mechanisms to manage stressors, anxiety depression etc. Yes I should probably take my own skills and utilize on my self but often it is hard to practice what we preach. If we are able then we are golden. Like my mom has always said "it is what it is."
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 11, 2023 1:57 pm

docstox12 wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Morris11

To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.
Sorry I missed this one looks like a good time, I promise I am much less annoyed in person, online I feel like it is just easier to fire off like a pistol. you forget that its still reality and real people you are talking to. Many of you have met me and know I am a friendly guy. Though it has been way to many years.
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Post by Quietace Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:06 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Morris11

To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.
Sorry I missed this one looks like a good time, I promise I am much less annoyed in person, online I feel like it is just easier to fire off like a pistol. you forget that its still reality and real people you are talking to. Many of you have met me and know I am a friendly guy. Though it has been way to many years.
I think it's been about 8 or 9 years (circa 2014?), but I still remember chatting. Almost everyone here means well Jon, including you.
Sometimes things in a communal space get frustrating, especially when the one thing the community revolves around is not going to well. Sometimes you just have to take a step back and take a breath, most things are not personal and are not meant in a negative way. But when everything is going wrong, sometimes that last little bit of negativity can set people off- which is why we separate analysis threads from banter threads.

You can banter your feelings away whenever you want on my watch, as long as it is in the banter thread Very Happy
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:12 pm

Quietace wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
Math23x7 wrote:Three years ago today, we had the Morristown meetup, which happened just days before the coronavirus shutdowns took place.

Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Morris11

To date, this is the last official NJ Strong meetup.

Always liked this photo.Reminds me of what people must have felt just before Pearl Harbor or 9-11.A major life and world changing event just around the corner ,but who knew?Hope there can be another meet up one day.
Sorry I missed this one looks like a good time, I promise I am much less annoyed in person, online I feel like it is just easier to fire off like a pistol. you forget that its still reality and real people you are talking to. Many of you have met me and know I am a friendly guy. Though it has been way to many years.
I think it's been about 8 or 9 years (circa 2014?), but I still remember chatting. Almost everyone here means well Jon, including you.
Sometimes things in a communal space get frustrating, especially when the one thing the community revolves around is not going to well. Sometimes you just have to take a step back and take a breath, most things are not personal and are not meant in a negative way. But when everything is going wrong, sometimes that last little bit of negativity can set people off- which is why we separate analysis threads from banter threads.

You can banter your feelings away whenever you want on my watch, as long as it is in the banter thread Very Happy
Your very right and thanks. And you need to post more, your stuff is good. Wish we saw Rb too and am bit concerned where Al has been all season.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 11, 2023 2:13 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:Banter Thread 8.0 - Page 17 Fb_img11


This is just crazy...

I’m about as hard core snow lover as there is but I draw the line at about half that.

A sudden thaw and heavy rain which can easily happen there this time of year, and these people will see flooding like they’ve never imagined. Hope it doesn’t happen.

California can not catch a break with weather...this will be a nightmare when it thaws
Insane, cool to look at but no thanks to being there. Just wild.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 12, 2023 1:45 pm

Gonna be honest in here, this totally sucks if it ends up being all rain for coast, I honestly don't think a C-3 will stick after 2 inches plus of rain. I cannot believe we have such a bomb of a storm and its go skunk most, if I could get into that 6-10 id be very happy, even the 3-6 which is 10 miles north of me. Ugg, not having agita myself, more frustration but nothing this winter has topped this frustration level.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 12, 2023 5:44 pm

Please please please for the love of god let this be our last winter system (what a waste of time), onto spring and warmth and hurricane tracking eventually. I wonder will the la nina help or dampen hurricane season?
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 13, 2023 4:35 am

Headed to work just a normal rainy day in Yonkers, looks like my year end is 4.5 inches, beating out the previous lowest. At this point I have accepted it and am moving on. And it does look like you are right heehaw most has shifted to bershires and further east. Bummer even for those in upper NY.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 13, 2023 5:59 am

I started to get the sense on Saturday that this was not going to be one to two to three feet of snow in my area that many of the models, Euro, NAM, UKIE, even a couple of CMC runs, were outputting. I wish there was a way to punish them all for stupidity, especially the Euro and NAM but would that really bring the storm back? We expect stupidity from the NAM and everyone ignores it accordingly, the Euro should just be taken out back and put out of its misery.

The more modest forecast amounts now, 4-12 in the WSW for Orange County, was always in the range I assumed would actually happen but on the higher end of that range. I'm now convinced, at least where I am at 600 feet elevation 3 miles north of Woodbury Common, that even 4 inches will be tough to achieve.

Part of me, even though I love snow, is now hoping this is a total failure snow wise. Why not remember this Winter that never was as the epic failure that it should be remembered as. Let's go out with a gang buster of a bust and wake up Wednesday morning with a half inch of backend slush. It's the only way for this miserable season that wasn't to end.

Sitting at 18.5 inches for the season and need less than 4.5 inches from this storm to keep my snowfall futility record for a season. Part of me hoping for that.
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