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Grinch storm of 2022

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brownie
phil155
amugs
frank 638
Radz
Dunnzoo
Frank_Wx
hyde345
jmanley32
docstox12
GreyBeard
billg315
SENJsnowman
weatherwatchermom
mikeypizano
sroc4
mmanisca
TheAresian
heehaw453
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:07 am

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Does anyone know why CT was hit so particularly hard versus just west and just east? I am hearing CT could be days b4 restored, our xmas plans will be ruined with 3rd yr not seeing parents and no xmas dinner as we did not plan anything. I hopoe they get restored but they live in the places they restore last.

Significant low level jet associated with frontogenesis which included my area.  As the heavy bands pushed through from S to N it brought those winds down to the surface.  I easy had wind gusts into the 50's.
But it missed westchester somehow?

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:17 am

The next batch precip with embedded lines headed into NJ looks like the real deal. Looks like will impact all this time, hope you all stay safe and don't lose power, luckily Coned pretty much removed every tree in my area (but looks awful without them) but it is errily quiet right now.

Was that earlier line that sroc wrote of when the 60mph brief period the NWS said was possible was or is that still to come, im hoping it doesn't get worse in CT my daughter is really counting on seeing her g-parents tomorrow. Scott do you have power out there on LI?

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Post by sroc4 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:27 am

jmanley32 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Does anyone know why CT was hit so particularly hard versus just west and just east? I am hearing CT could be days b4 restored, our xmas plans will be ruined with 3rd yr not seeing parents and no xmas dinner as we did not plan anything. I hopoe they get restored but they live in the places they restore last.

Significant low level jet associated with frontogenesis which included my area.  As the heavy bands pushed through from S to N it brought those winds down to the surface.  I easy had wind gusts into the 50's.
But it missed westchester somehow?


???? Westchester is one tiny county. A frontal boundary can be very narrow.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 0.25"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:35 am

sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Does anyone know why CT was hit so particularly hard versus just west and just east? I am hearing CT could be days b4 restored, our xmas plans will be ruined with 3rd yr not seeing parents and no xmas dinner as we did not plan anything. I hopoe they get restored but they live in the places they restore last.

Significant low level jet associated with frontogenesis which included my area.  As the heavy bands pushed through from S to N it brought those winds down to the surface.  I easy had wind gusts into the 50's.
But it missed westchester somehow?


????  Westchester is one tiny county.  A frontal boundary can be very narrow.
Tiny? But it is heavily populated, but yes I get what you are saying and SR models did shopw that line of heavy winds just missing immediate nyc area. Trust me I do not mind I do not want to lose power, just trying to understand how things coming from west did not impoact some areas but now I understand. CT was very unlucky, even western CT was hit hard which was also what kind of confused me. Sounds like the worst may be to come for entire area though with frontal passage per mugs?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:40 am

Yay NW NJ you guys have a WWA!!! Should be wild later.
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:44 am

I bring this up again.  As the 500mb trough clears the area it's going negative and there's a lot of mid-level energy that can drop snow to Cape Cod and Eastern LI on Saturday.  I'd be surprised if some of those areas don't get clipped.

Grinch storm of 2022 - Page 3 Nam49

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 9:55 am

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
951 AM EST Fri Dec 23 2022

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176-178-232300-
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-
Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-
Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Southern Queens-
951 AM EST Fri Dec 23 2022

...Rapidly falling temperatures with gusty winds, and falling
wind chills...

A strong Arctic cold front is expected to move through the region
from around Noon to 1 PM EST. The front will be accompanied with
briefly heavy showers, possibly with lightning, and strong gusty
winds of 40 to 50 mph. Southerly winds will shift to the west and
Arctic cold will begin to move into the region, with westerly
winds 20 to 30 mph and gusting 40 to 45 mph.

Temperatures will rapidly drop, as much as 15 to 20 degrees in
just a few hours, and will fall below freezing early this
afternoon, and wind chills will be in the single digits to around
10 above zero by late afternoon. If venturing outside be prepared
for the rapidly changing conditions, and dress appropriately.

Another concern is any standing water may become black ice late
this afternoon into the early evening hours.
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Post by billg315 Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:22 am

44* with steady moderate Rain. Winds still from a southerly direction at 17 mph. Radar shows line of heavy rain showers moving in. Expect winds to kick up a notch with that and I bet my temp drops to the low 30s shortly thereafter.
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Post by TheAresian Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:24 am

The wind has picked up suddenly and the rain has turned to rain/snow mix. Wind chills will be in the negative teens or twenties by the end of the work day. The last person to hate an Elliot this much was Al Capone.

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Post by billg315 Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:38 am

Waiting to see if this line means business or is more bark than bite:
Grinch storm of 2022 - Page 3 30da5310
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:44 am

You can see the ULL and the trough going negative.  This is not something progressive.  It will tend to form waves that can enhance precip and I think tomorrow far eastern areas are in line for a snow threat.

Grinch storm of 2022 - Page 3 500ull10

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Post by frank 638 Fri Dec 23, 2022 10:46 am

heehaw453 wrote:You can see the ULL and the trough going negative.  This is not something progressive.  It will tend to form waves that can enhance precip and I think tomorrow far eastern areas are in line for a snow threat.

Grinch storm of 2022 - Page 3 500ull10
dam I hope nyc will get something out of it

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 11:07 am

billg315 wrote:Waiting to see if this line means business or is more bark than bite:
Grinch storm of 2022 - Page 3 30da5310
Wow thats still pretty far away, is that still progged to be around 12-1 here? nvm i saw radar it is speeding along, looks like good squally line there, is that the cold front?
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Dec 23, 2022 11:10 am

Wind suddenly picked up from 0- ocassionally howling. I live in kind of a strange set up with buildings around so depending on wind direction It can seem like theres no wind when there actually is.
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Dec 23, 2022 11:19 am

Temperature starting to plummet.  38.2 with snow falling.

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Post by docstox12 Fri Dec 23, 2022 11:58 am

44 here down from 54 earlier.Light rain and wind has died down ATM.
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Post by phil155 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:05 pm

sleet mixing in the rain in edison


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Post by heehaw453 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:05 pm

Moderate/Heavy snow.  33.8/32 sticking to colder surfaces.

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Post by SENJsnowman Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:18 pm

Wow! App says moderate snow for the Shore from 1-3:30/4 pm. Finally, something for me to track! lol!

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Post by SENJsnowman Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:21 pm

Now, actually calling for an inch! Looks like it's gonna be a race to the Parkway between the cold front and the end of the heavy precip!

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Post by TheAresian Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:31 pm

From 37 to 23 in a couple of hours. Wind chill currently at 6. Strong winds already. Puddles have been frozen over for a while. If I knew how to post a video, I'd share the sights and sounds.

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Post by billg315 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:42 pm

After a morning of heavy rain the flakes have arrived. Temp has dropped to 33* and we’ve gone over to moderate snow here. Wind is now whipping and snow is swirling in the air. Btw that is a 20* temp drop here in 6 hours.
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:45 pm

28.5 with moderate snow about .5" or so.  sticking to paved surfaces now.

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Post by frank 638 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:50 pm

Just got alert on my phone for a severe thunderstorm warning

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Post by frank 638 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:53 pm

Heavy rain mixing in with sleet

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:55 pm

We had crazy rain with sleet mixed in just crazy about 40 min ago. Winds gusted to 28 mph and temps dropped 7 degrees in 40 min..to 41*..nuts
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Post by billg315 Fri Dec 23, 2022 12:56 pm

32* steady moderate snow and gusty winds. Ended with 1.35” of rain before the changeover. Snow just starting to stick to some colder/elevated surfaces.
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