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February Obs & Discussions

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nutleyblizzard
richb521
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Feb 26, 2023 6:57 pm

WinterColdandSnowisamyth wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Yay my first wwa 3 to 5. Im perfectly pleased if that happens.

I would temper my excitement if I were you. You do have to realize you are the southernmost part of that advisory area and would be more in line for the 3 inches than anything else.
Aware, you never know, I have had it snow heavily here and rain 15 mins into the bronx. Even 3 inches is better than calling a winter with nothing, I am not exactly excited but my daughter really wants to go sledding so im hoping it'll be enough for that 3-5 is just barely enough. If not then oh well, maybe Friday something will happen but that one seems less likely. BTW welcome to the forum and love the username lol

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Post by WinterColdandSnowisamyth Sun Feb 26, 2023 7:13 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
WinterColdandSnowisamyth wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Yay my first wwa 3 to 5. Im perfectly pleased if that happens.

I would temper my excitement if I were you. You do have to realize you are the southernmost part of that advisory area and would be more in line for the 3 inches than anything else.
Aware, you never know, I have had it snow heavily here and rain 15 mins into the bronx. Even 3 inches is better than calling a winter with nothing, I am not exactly excited but my daughter really wants to go sledding so im hoping it'll be enough for that 3-5 is just barely enough. If not then oh well, maybe Friday something will happen but that one seems less likely. BTW welcome to the forum and love the username lol

Thank you I appreciate it.

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Post by amugs Sun Feb 26, 2023 7:42 pm

Last night I showed and have been on this for a few days, not tooting my horn pointed out that I was seeing.....in my snow goggle crystal ball of course.
NAM showing the press from the N NAO. As SROC pointed out in his phenomenal write up this morning. 
February Obs & Discussions - Page 12 96729777-9F4C-479D-9494-DB95B80588B2.gif.dd1afaa6b7e00ed00274118aebed7af2


Last edited by amugs on Sun Feb 26, 2023 8:00 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Feb 26, 2023 7:53 pm

Wowza

February Obs & Discussions - Page 12 Nam3km11

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Sun Feb 26, 2023 8:01 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Wowza

February Obs & Discussions - Page 12 Nam3km11

That's 1-2.5 hr snowfall rates..Blitz baby!!

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Sun Feb 26, 2023 8:34 pm

Have to say, there was one puzzling thing in my WWA earlier. It put me in a 1-3" forecast but then said "snowfall rates may exceed 1" per hour at times Monday night." Those two things are tough to square.
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Post by WinterColdandSnowisamyth Sun Feb 26, 2023 8:41 pm

billg315 wrote:Have to say, there was one puzzling thing in my WWA earlier. It put me in a 1-3" forecast but then said "snowfall rates may exceed 1" per hour at times Monday night." Those two things are tough to square.

Well possibly those rates exceeding one inch per hour will last 5-10 minutes. If you have several of those with very little in between you could still stay within that range.

Personally I can’t stand the white stuff. However Since most on here seem to enjoy it I’ll be rooting for all of you.

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Post by billg315 Sun Feb 26, 2023 8:49 pm

WinterColdandSnowisamyth wrote:
billg315 wrote:Have to say, there was one puzzling thing in my WWA earlier. It put me in a 1-3" forecast but then said "snowfall rates may exceed 1" per hour at times Monday night." Those two things are tough to square.

Well possibly those rates exceeding one inch per hour will last 5-10 minutes. If you have several of those with very little in between you could still stay within that range.

Personally I can’t stand the white stuff. However Since most on here seem to enjoy it I’ll be rooting for all of you.

This works out well. I'll only have to look out my window at the snow for a few minutes at a time then can go back to other tasks. Just hope I don't miss those higher rates on one of my bathroom breaks.
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Post by WinterColdandSnowisamyth Sun Feb 26, 2023 8:54 pm

D


Last edited by WinterColdandSnowisamyth on Sun Feb 26, 2023 9:55 pm; edited 2 times in total

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Feb 26, 2023 9:05 pm

I posted a thread to discuss our storm!

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Post by WinterColdandSnowisamyth Sun Feb 26, 2023 9:54 pm

billg315 wrote:
WinterColdandSnowisamyth wrote:
billg315 wrote:Have to say, there was one puzzling thing in my WWA earlier. It put me in a 1-3" forecast but then said "snowfall rates may exceed 1" per hour at times Monday night." Those two things are tough to square.

Well possibly those rates exceeding one inch per hour will last 5-10 minutes. If you have several of those with very little in between you could still stay within that range.

Personally I can’t stand the white stuff. However Since most on here seem to enjoy it I’ll be rooting for all of you.

This works out well. I'll only have to look out my window at the snow for a few minutes at a time then can go back to other tasks. Just hope I don't miss those higher rates on one of my bathroom breaks.

😂😂😂😂😂

It’s been a challenging winter for all of us, this is just another one of those challenges for you.

I actually heard a tale today about some gentleman on a weather forum that was so distraught about the lack of snow and cold this winter that he had a complete schizophrenic breakdown. Very hard to believe lack of snow could cause someone to become mentally unbalanced. Who knows if it’s true though. I have my own problems to deal with.

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Post by docstox12 Mon Feb 27, 2023 6:07 am

28 degrees, clear ,calm.Nice to see pink in my area and surroundings.Very rare sight this season.Will be nice to see the increasing clouds during the day.5 to 8 inches tomorrow and snow possibility later in the week.Could be a big mean reversion coming the next 5 weeks.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 27, 2023 12:20 pm

I am just sad pure and simple...lots of emotions this year with being in the middle of college acceptance season...( So far so good..the big schools we are waiting on).I am so happy and proud of our son and his accomplishments.and he will be living his best life...but sad the fact we will be empty nesters in the fall, and that this winter SUCKS and we will not have our traditional last snow day ritual...it just really hit me this morning...we most likely are not even going to have any measurable snow this season.😢😢
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 27, 2023 12:24 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:I am just sad pure and simple...lots of emotions this year with being in the middle of college acceptance season...( So far so good..the big schools we are waiting on).I am so happy and proud of our son and his accomplishments.and he will be living his best life...but sad the fact we will be empty nesters in the fall, and that this winter SUCKS and we will not have our traditional last snow day ritual...it just really hit me this morning...we most likely are not even going to have any measurable snow this season.😢😢
Maybe you'll get one Friday. Not off the table just yet.
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Post by dkodgis Mon Feb 27, 2023 12:27 pm

Mom, your kids will need you all the days of your life. As for liw snow, it could be much worse. No calamities to rue means something. Every parent’s life is replete with turning points. As with most things we cannot control, we must have faith the the universe is moving aling as it should
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 27, 2023 12:49 pm

37.8* here

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Post by kalleg Mon Feb 27, 2023 12:52 pm

46* in New Hope...

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Post by dkodgis Mon Feb 27, 2023 12:54 pm

37 here. I think I see the storm starting later by a few hrs and maybe snowing tomorrow morning for longer than I expected
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 27, 2023 3:56 pm

dkodgis wrote:Mom, your kids will need you all the days of your life. As for liw snow, it could be much worse. No calamities to rue means something. Every parent’s  life is replete with turning points. As with most things we cannot control, we must have faith the the universe is moving aling as it should
Thank you...for your kind words...I had a bad morning today..lol I am back to my normal self..this afternoon 😂.. we work to  prepare them to fly..I just had a bad moment.n with hat being said I hear the last week of August is a bad week for a lot of mom's..lol

Down to 40*
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Post by essexcountypete Mon Feb 27, 2023 5:23 pm

Down to 39 from 44. NWS has me at 3-5", WU forecasts 6.3".

I feel for you Mom, our senior is heading off to college next year too. I've been feeling melancholy about it a lot....but he just totaled our car Friday night (everyone is fine) so now I'm feeling sad about our poor little Crosstrek. It was too young to die Sad
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Post by CNWestMilford Mon Feb 27, 2023 5:31 pm

Temp peaked here at 44. Now down to 36 and cloudy in West Milford.
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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 28, 2023 1:06 pm

Starting the Friday thing discussion here.

This 12Z Canadian won't work for snowfall as shown, but it would produce quite a bit IP and some front end snow.  The block and the 50/50 will determine how much confluence and that will affect the shearing of the system. I-84 corridor and above seems most reasonable place to have bigger impact.

February Obs & Discussions - Page 12 Canadi14
February Obs & Discussions - Page 12 Canadi15

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Post by billg315 Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:19 am

35* with bright sunshine. Still some patches of snow on the ground which is nice, but it is quickly shrinking. Hopefully the mid-March threats pull through.
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Post by heehaw453 Wed Mar 01, 2023 10:46 am

So February ended up 5.2 AN at CPK mean temp of 41.1. January's furnace was 43.5 LoL.  To beat the dead horse yet again this was the worst meteorological winter (DJF) by far not even a close second. 72/73 was a winter lover's paradise relative to this abomination. 


Average High                    Average Low               Mean                   Departure



48.633.641.15.2

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