September Obs & Discussions

Umm yeah okay, major flooding check, saw mill parkway is under water, I finally called 911 because after 2 hrs no one was coming. MTA complete shutdown.

I think twitter server crashed, none of these videos are working, wow.

dkodgis wrote:Same for up-county. Maybe a thimble-full of rain

Your lucky, it was well predicted down here and where ever scott is I hope he is okay because the map he thought would not verify most definently might alreadyhave been met. it is also getting windy which means possible downed trees.

Interesting split on meso guidance with HRRR and HRDPS showing that show's basically over for most of West NJ but RGEM, FV3 and NAM show it picking back up with a vengeance in a few hours...

Zhukov1945 wrote:Interesting split on meso guidance with HRRR and HRDPS showing that show's basically over for most of West NJ but RGEM, FV3 and NAM show it picking back up with a vengeance in a few hours...

Sure hope not, but yes its not supposed to completely end until sometime tomorrow. By looks of model runs the low in the ocean will pull out allowing everything to the north to rotate back south and offshore, that would be a disaster beyond belief, which it already is for NYC area. LI is still getting pummeled.

SENJsnowman wrote:Dang, it's been raining really hard at the Shore for the past hour already. Only 48 more hours of this to go as per the latest forecasts!

And for us Jews in the tri-state area, looks like there is zero chance of eating in the Sukkah tomorrow tonight.       It's said that this is an omen for a tough year ahead. We'll see...



I'm living in Long Branch now (exit 105 on the GSP) and by the looks of the maps that have been posted in the past 24 hours, my new spot just might be in the 'jackpot' zone. Yay! More like the jackpit zone in this case. lol

What's gonna be will be, but I hope everyone stays dry and safe! On the bright side, come Sunday we could be in for a pretty spectacular week! Just got to stay afloat until then...

Where did you read that it's an omen for a tough year? That's interesting never heard that anywhere?

@News12NJDesk @nynjpaweather @MSolDub @DaveCurren This rain is relentless. ️ Getting Worse. pic.twitter.com/cfRqcVeIJh

— Sutter (@zvtphin) September 29, 2023

Omg Praying for all of you this is nuts.. keep us updated please!

[quote="SENJsnowman"]

Bkdude wrote:


Never heard that before about An omen for a tough year.
And tough in what way?

BK- I just followed up with you in the banter section.


Are these storm or storms the past two weekends the result of El Nino? I haven't been following the forum in th

I asked you about succot where you said if it rains it's a bad omen for the upcoming year? Where did you hear that?

This is insane (as I type it is still raining and there have been several times of torrential rain again), as soon as I can figure out how to get pics off my phone I will post them. I have heard and seen nothing but emergency services since 10:30am, every block has traffic control. The saw mill river flooded one block down from me and people were evacuating with suitcases, a public works guy had to help a little girl in a cute dress trudge through about 2 ft of water to get home from school. School should have been closed today. There have been numerous accidents and water rescues in yonkers, everywhere including a city bus slamming several cars. This is all so terrible.

My god this tops Ida by a landslide, no pun intended, 9 inches max total through 4pm, thats unreal. I can believe it, and mudslides have to be in Yonkers we have some crazy hills.

At 1257 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between
3 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is
0.75 to 1.25 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to
3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is
already occurring.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
producing flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Yonkers, New Rochelle, White Plains, Mott Haven, East Tremont,
Ossining, Tarrytown, Mount Kisco, Dobbs Ferry, Throgs Neck Bridge,
Laguardia Airport, RFK Bridge, Harlem, Greenwich, Riverdale,
Bayside, Co-op City, Harrison, Scarsdale and Bronxville.

Mud landslides have been reported by Emergency Management in the
hillier terrain of Lower Westchester, as motorists should remain
mindful of the dangerous conditions and avoid traveling, if even the
rain has temporarily stopped.

jmanley32 wrote:My god this tops Ida by a landslide, no pun intended, 9 inches max total through 4pm, thats unreal. I can believe it, and mudslides have to be in Yonkers we have some crazy hills.

At 1257 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
 thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between
 3 and 6 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is
 0.75 to 1.25 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to
 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is
 already occurring.

 HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
          producing flash flooding.

 SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.

 IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
          urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
 Yonkers, New Rochelle, White Plains, Mott Haven, East Tremont,
 Ossining, Tarrytown, Mount Kisco, Dobbs Ferry, Throgs Neck Bridge,
 Laguardia Airport, RFK Bridge, Harlem, Greenwich, Riverdale,
 Bayside, Co-op City, Harrison, Scarsdale and Bronxville.

Mud landslides have been reported by Emergency Management in the
hillier terrain of Lower Westchester, as motorists should remain
mindful of the dangerous conditions and avoid traveling, if even the
rain has temporarily stopped.

I am in the express bus heading home .I am in the bunker blvd starting to get dark again I hope you guys are ok this is crazy

Ill say this the more extreme models nailed this and the area too. Thats amazing.

Pouring again!

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
158 PM EDT Fri Sep 29 2023

...PRECIPITATION REPORTS...

Location Amount Time/Date Provider

...Connecticut...

...Fairfield County...
Greenwich 4.58 in 0120 PM 09/29 CWOP
Norwalk 3.65 in 0119 PM 09/29 CWOP
Stamford 3.39 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
NEWTOWN 3.18 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP
Greenwich 3.08 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Redding Ridge 2.88 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
Shelton 2.73 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
Redding 2.60 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
Brookfield 2.57 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Shelton 2.55 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Danbury 2.46 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Danbury 2.42 in 1220 PM 09/29 CWOP
SHELTON 2.35 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
Fairfield 2.33 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
Danbury Airport 2.21 in 1253 PM 09/29 ASOS
Stamford 2.13 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Westport 2.13 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
2 SW Bridgeport 1.59 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Bridgeport Airport 1.59 in 1252 PM 09/29 ASOS
2 W Bridgeport 1.24 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS

...Middlesex County...
Middletown 1.2 NW 1.54 in 1247 PM 09/29 COCORAHS
Durham 1.39 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
3.5 NW Durham 1.14 in 1200 PM 09/29 HADS

...New Haven County...
Waterbury Airport 2.50 in 1251 PM 09/29 AWOS
Heritage Village 0.2 E 2.10 in 1117 AM 09/29 COCORAHS
Wolcott 1.77 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Milford 1.57 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
1.9 NW Naugatuck 1.53 in 1230 PM 09/29 HADS
WOODBRIDGE 1.48 in 0120 PM 09/29 CWOP
Bethany 1.38 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
WALLINGFORD 1.28 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
Hamden 1.24 in 0111 PM 09/29 CWOP
Woodbridge 1.05 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS

...New Jersey...

...Bergen County...
Tenafly 2.51 in 0111 PM 09/29 CWOP
Park Ridge 2.36 in 0110 PM 09/29 IFLOWS
Palisades Park 2.34 in 0930 AM 09/29 COCORAHS
1 SW Ramsey 2.22 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Tenafly 2.20 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
New Milford 2.16 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
Leonia 2.02 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
0.6 SW Hillsdale 1.97 in 0110 PM 09/29 IFLOWS
Oakland 1.96 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
0.6 W Oakland 1.96 in 0100 PM 09/29 HADS
Paramus 1.91 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Fair Lawn 1.89 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
Hasbrouck Heights 1.76 in 1229 PM 09/29 CWOP
River Vale 1.75 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Bergenfield 1.61 in 1215 PM 09/29 CWOP
Teterboro Airport 1.61 in 0110 PM 09/29 ASOS
Oakland 1.55 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Lodi 1.52 in 1245 PM 09/29 IFLOWS

...Essex County...
West Caldwell 3.09 in 0120 PM 09/29 CWOP
Caldwell 2.86 in 1253 PM 09/29 ASOS
CEDAR GROVE 2.54 in 0119 PM 09/29 CWOP
WEST CALDWELL 2.52 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
0.6 SW Caldwell 2.40 in 1245 PM 09/29 IFLOWS
Fairfield 1.79 in 0129 PM 09/29 AWS
Montclair 1.72 in 0930 AM 09/29 COCORAHS
West Caldwell 1.66 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Livingston 1.61 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
Newark 1.56 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Irvington 1.51 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Orange Reservoir 1.44 in 0100 PM 09/29 IFLOWS
Montclair 1.31 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Bloomfield 1.20 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
Millburn 1.08 in 0120 PM 09/29 CWOP
1.6 W Millburn 1.04 in 0115 PM 09/29 HADS

...Hudson County...
1 W Hoboken 2.90 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
1 ENE Jersey City 2.81 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Harrison 1.75 in 1000 AM 09/29 URBANET
Kearny 1.54 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP

...Passaic County...
Hawthorne 2.13 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP
0.8 E West Paterson 2.12 in 1245 PM 09/29 HADS
0.8 SE Pompton Lakes 1.41 in 1245 PM 09/29 HADS
Ringwood 1.32 in 0110 PM 09/29 RAWS
Clifton 1.31 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Wayne 1.30 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
2.1 E Ringwood 1.24 in 1245 PM 09/29 IFLOWS
Clifton 1.12 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS

...Union County...
Newark Airport 1.75 in 1251 PM 09/29 ASOS
Union 1.58 in 0113 PM 09/29 CWOP
Linden Airport 1.48 in 1215 PM 09/29 AWOS
Mountainside 1.45 in 1230 PM 09/29 IFLOWS
Bayside 1.23 in 1229 PM 09/29 CWOP
Cranford Twp 1.1 ESE 1.13 in 0800 AM 09/29 COCORAHS

...New York...

...Bronx County...
Fordham 5.96 in 0125 PM 09/29 NYSM
Harlem 5.14 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS

...Kings County...
Brooklyn 6.71 in 1226 PM 09/29 CWOP
Brooklyn 2.4 WSW 6.68 in 0900 AM 09/29 COCORAHS
South Slope 6.44 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
Prospect Park 6.30 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
Boerum Hill 6.00 in 1100 AM 09/29 COCORAHS
Brooklyn College 5.24 in 0125 PM 09/29 NYSM
Dyker Heights 4.82 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP

...Nassau County...
Valley Stream 5.70 in 1226 PM 09/29 CWOP
Great Neck 5.62 in 1227 PM 09/29 CWOP
East Rockaway 5.11 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP
Hewlett 4.15 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Mineola 3.62 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Glen Head 3.58 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Carle Place 3.09 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP
Hicksville 2.87 in 0120 PM 09/29 CWOP
Freeport 2.83 in 0125 PM 09/29 AWS
Syosset 2.61 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP
Muttontown 2.44 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP
Locust Valley 0.3 E 2.36 in 0905 AM 09/29 COCORAHS
Levittown 2.35 in 0116 PM 09/29 CWOP
Merrick 2.10 in 1225 PM 09/29 CWOP
Muttontown 2.05 in 0124 PM 09/29 AWS
Levittown 1.99 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
Bellmore 1.88 in 1226 PM 09/29 CWOP
North Massapequa 1.88 in 0115 PM 09/29 CWOP
Wantagh 1.68 in 0125 PM 09/29 NYSM
Massapequa Park 1.41 in 1215 PM 09/29 CWOP

...New York (Manhattan) County...
Midtown Manhattan 6.02 in 0125 PM 09/29 NYSM
Central Park 5.43 in 0125 PM 09/29 ASOS
Midtown Manhattan 4.46 in 0120 PM 09/29 AWS
Manhattan 4.13 in 1230 PM 09/29 CWOP

jmanley32 wrote:Ill say this the more extreme models nailed this and the area too. Thats amazing.

And you doubting thomased them LOL!!

Rain has been relentless here in nassau county since 10PM last night. Mostly moderate to heavy. Fighting a losing battle with a leak in my basement.I've wet vacked about 25 gallons of water the past 2 hrs.   When I went into the garage to retrieve my shop vac found flooded floor there also. Radar doesn't look very good with intense banding for the rest of the day. Currently 58° with heavy rain.Fun times

Is the system going to move back west once it starts to depart, thats what some models suggest which would push that band over LI and CT back into these areas. or are we done here? I would love it if we are done, skies are already lightening up, often these things eand earlier than expected.

docstox12 wrote:

What a shame GreyBeard, sorry you are going through this.Hate to see our members dealing with this crap.

58 degrees, calm, cloudy.Looks like it may start up again here in a few hours.My area was lucky, only about 1.5 to 2 inches recorded.

Thanks for lending a sympathetic ear docstox. I appreciate it. Finally got a bit of a lull with the intensity, but I fear there is much more to come.

amugs wrote:Pouring again!

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
158 PM EDT Fri Sep 29 2023

...PRECIPITATION REPORTS...

Location                     Amount    Time/Date       Provider

...Connecticut...

...Fairfield County...
Greenwich                    4.58 in   0120 PM 09/29   CWOP
Norwalk                      3.65 in   0119 PM 09/29   CWOP
Stamford                     3.39 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
NEWTOWN                      3.18 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP
Greenwich                    3.08 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Redding Ridge                2.88 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
Shelton                      2.73 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
Redding                      2.60 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
Brookfield                   2.57 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Shelton                      2.55 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Danbury                      2.46 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Danbury                      2.42 in   1220 PM 09/29   CWOP
SHELTON                      2.35 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
Fairfield                    2.33 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
Danbury Airport              2.21 in   1253 PM 09/29   ASOS
Stamford                     2.13 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Westport                     2.13 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
2 SW Bridgeport              1.59 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Bridgeport Airport           1.59 in   1252 PM 09/29   ASOS
2 W Bridgeport               1.24 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS

...Middlesex County...
Middletown 1.2 NW            1.54 in   1247 PM 09/29   COCORAHS
Durham                       1.39 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
3.5 NW Durham                1.14 in   1200 PM 09/29   HADS

...New Haven County...
Waterbury Airport            2.50 in   1251 PM 09/29   AWOS
Heritage Village 0.2 E       2.10 in   1117 AM 09/29   COCORAHS
Wolcott                      1.77 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Milford                      1.57 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
1.9 NW Naugatuck             1.53 in   1230 PM 09/29   HADS
WOODBRIDGE                   1.48 in   0120 PM 09/29   CWOP
Bethany                      1.38 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
WALLINGFORD                  1.28 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
Hamden                       1.24 in   0111 PM 09/29   CWOP
Woodbridge                   1.05 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS

...New Jersey...

...Bergen County...
Tenafly                      2.51 in   0111 PM 09/29   CWOP
Park Ridge                   2.36 in   0110 PM 09/29   IFLOWS
Palisades Park               2.34 in   0930 AM 09/29   COCORAHS
1 SW Ramsey                  2.22 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Tenafly                      2.20 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
New Milford                  2.16 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
Leonia                       2.02 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
0.6 SW Hillsdale             1.97 in   0110 PM 09/29   IFLOWS
Oakland                      1.96 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
0.6 W Oakland                1.96 in   0100 PM 09/29   HADS
Paramus                      1.91 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Fair Lawn                    1.89 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
Hasbrouck Heights            1.76 in   1229 PM 09/29   CWOP
River Vale                   1.75 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Bergenfield                  1.61 in   1215 PM 09/29   CWOP
Teterboro Airport            1.61 in   0110 PM 09/29   ASOS
Oakland                      1.55 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Lodi                         1.52 in   1245 PM 09/29   IFLOWS

...Essex County...
West Caldwell                3.09 in   0120 PM 09/29   CWOP
Caldwell                     2.86 in   1253 PM 09/29   ASOS
CEDAR GROVE                  2.54 in   0119 PM 09/29   CWOP
WEST CALDWELL                2.52 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
0.6 SW Caldwell              2.40 in   1245 PM 09/29   IFLOWS
Fairfield                    1.79 in   0129 PM 09/29   AWS
Montclair                    1.72 in   0930 AM 09/29   COCORAHS
West Caldwell                1.66 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Livingston                   1.61 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
Newark                       1.56 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Irvington                    1.51 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Orange Reservoir             1.44 in   0100 PM 09/29   IFLOWS
Montclair                    1.31 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Bloomfield                   1.20 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
Millburn                     1.08 in   0120 PM 09/29   CWOP
1.6 W Millburn               1.04 in   0115 PM 09/29   HADS

...Hudson County...
1 W Hoboken                  2.90 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
1 ENE Jersey City            2.81 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Harrison                     1.75 in   1000 AM 09/29   URBANET
Kearny                       1.54 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP

...Passaic County...
Hawthorne                    2.13 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP
0.8 E West Paterson          2.12 in   1245 PM 09/29   HADS
0.8 SE Pompton Lakes         1.41 in   1245 PM 09/29   HADS
Ringwood                     1.32 in   0110 PM 09/29   RAWS
Clifton                      1.31 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Wayne                        1.30 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
2.1 E Ringwood               1.24 in   1245 PM 09/29   IFLOWS
Clifton                      1.12 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS

...Union County...
Newark Airport               1.75 in   1251 PM 09/29   ASOS
Union                        1.58 in   0113 PM 09/29   CWOP
Linden Airport               1.48 in   1215 PM 09/29   AWOS
Mountainside                 1.45 in   1230 PM 09/29   IFLOWS
Bayside                      1.23 in   1229 PM 09/29   CWOP
Cranford Twp 1.1 ESE         1.13 in   0800 AM 09/29   COCORAHS

...New York...

...Bronx County...
Fordham                      5.96 in   0125 PM 09/29   NYSM
Harlem                       5.14 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS

...Kings County...
Brooklyn                     6.71 in   1226 PM 09/29   CWOP
Brooklyn 2.4 WSW             6.68 in   0900 AM 09/29   COCORAHS
South Slope                  6.44 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
Prospect Park                6.30 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
Boerum Hill                  6.00 in   1100 AM 09/29   COCORAHS
Brooklyn College             5.24 in   0125 PM 09/29   NYSM
Dyker Heights                4.82 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP

...Nassau County...
Valley Stream                5.70 in   1226 PM 09/29   CWOP
Great Neck                   5.62 in   1227 PM 09/29   CWOP
East Rockaway                5.11 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP
Hewlett                      4.15 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Mineola                      3.62 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Glen Head                    3.58 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Carle Place                  3.09 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP
Hicksville                   2.87 in   0120 PM 09/29   CWOP
Freeport                     2.83 in   0125 PM 09/29   AWS
Syosset                      2.61 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP
Muttontown                   2.44 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP
Locust Valley 0.3 E          2.36 in   0905 AM 09/29   COCORAHS
Levittown                    2.35 in   0116 PM 09/29   CWOP
Merrick                      2.10 in   1225 PM 09/29   CWOP
Muttontown                   2.05 in   0124 PM 09/29   AWS
Levittown                    1.99 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
Bellmore                     1.88 in   1226 PM 09/29   CWOP
North Massapequa             1.88 in   0115 PM 09/29   CWOP
Wantagh                      1.68 in   0125 PM 09/29   NYSM
Massapequa Park              1.41 in   1215 PM 09/29   CWOP

...New York (Manhattan) County...
Midtown Manhattan            6.02 in   0125 PM 09/29   NYSM
Central Park                 5.43 in   0125 PM 09/29   ASOS
Midtown Manhattan            4.46 in   0120 PM 09/29   AWS
Manhattan                    4.13 in   1230 PM 09/29   CWOP

wheres westchester, would like to see what nearby areas got and if anyone measured in yonkers.

amugs wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Ill say this the more extreme models nailed this and the area too. Thats amazing.

And you doubting thomased them LOL!!

I mean be honest, did you full believe them? I found it hard to believe but not impossible, i am allowed to be wrong haha