September Obs & Discussions

amugs wrote:

Seems very much like the type of situation where we may very likely have big differences in totals over a relatively small area

Dang, it's been raining really hard at the Shore for the past hour already. Only 48 more hours of this to go as per the latest forecasts!

And for us Jews in the tri-state area, looks like there is zero chance of eating in the Sukkah tomorrow tonight.       It's said that this is an omen for a tough year ahead. We'll see...

I'm living in Long Branch now (exit 105 on the GSP) and by the looks of the maps that have been posted in the past 24 hours, my new spot just might be in the 'jackpot' zone. Yay! More like the jackpit zone in this case. lol

What's gonna be will be, but I hope everyone stays dry and safe! On the bright side, come Sunday we could be in for a pretty spectacular week! Just got to stay afloat until then...

Never heard that before about An omen for a tough year.
And tough in what way?

phil155 wrote:

amugs wrote:

Seems very much like the type of situation where we may very likely have big differences in totals over a relatively small area

yes but I think it appears that NE NJ, westchester county, NYC parts of western LI and fairfield CT are in for the bullseye and parts of the shore.

Bkdude wrote:


Never heard that before about An omen for a tough year.
And tough in what way?

BK- I just followed up with you in the banter section.


Are these storm or storms the past two weekends the result of El Nino? I haven't been following the forum in the past few days so sorry if it was discussed already.

SENJsnowman wrote:

Bkdude wrote:


Never heard that before about An omen for a tough year.
And tough in what way?

BK- I just followed up with you in the banter section.


Are these storm or storms the past two weekends the result of El Nino? I haven't been following the forum in the past few days so sorry if it was discussed already.

They are remnants of TS Ophelia.

sroc4 wrote:Disclaimer:  I do not believe this happens verbatim

Omg I hope not

Judging by models and the rain falling i think they overplayed this. Sr models now show another inch or 2 of rain so other than localized doesnt look like there will be lots of flooding. Its also falling over a long period of time not 1 or 2 hrs. I did see querns had a ffw.

1.40" as of 7AM this morning at 57*

On the otherhand looking at radar now from staten to central LI is really getting smacked. If that ever moves north we could be in trouble here. That map scott posted could verify for LI or pretty close.

here we go. Also up for all boroughs until 11:45am, is it supposed to lighten by then? Will there be a second round or is this morning it and it clears later today?

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
847 AM EDT Fri Sep 29 2023

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Southern Fairfield County in southern Connecticut...
Northern Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey...
Rockland County in southeastern New York...
Southern Westchester County in southeastern New York...

* Until 1145 AM EDT.

* At 847 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of
rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1
hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in
the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Yonkers, New Rochelle, White Plains, New City, Port Chester,
Monsey, Nanuet, Rye, Ramsey, Tarrytown, Dobbs Ferry, Suffern,
Nyack, Tappan, Greenwich, Harrison, Scarsdale, Pearl River,
Bronxville and Norwood.

Absoluetly pouring up here in Allendale before - freind in Ramsey has 2.82" so far!!

FDR drive closed both directions now at Delancey

I tried to warn her.
She didn’t listen…#NYwx https://t.co/1EOoGt5MRa pic.twitter.com/PZ8VdKPGH3

— Mark Margavage (@MeteoMark) September 29, 2023

amugs wrote:

It didnt post mugs. Pouring here too, wish I had a way to measure the rain but not allowed put anything on fire escape.

jmanley32 wrote:

amugs wrote:

It didnt post mugs. Pouring here too, wish I had a way to measure the rain but not allowed put anything on fire escape.

Where in Yonkers are you Jon, closer to the Bronx or farther north? A station in Bryn Mawr Park recorded 4.44", near Mount Vernon 2.41"

Dunnzoo wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

amugs wrote:

It didnt post mugs. Pouring here too, wish I had a way to measure the rain but not allowed put anything on fire escape.

Where in Yonkers are you Jon, closer to the Bronx or farther north? A station in Bryn Mawr Park recorded 4.44", near Mount Vernon 2.41"

right on border of bronx, 2 min walk. Mt. Vernon is a few miles away.

Radar and report from me it is a tourant of rain and its just training.

Last time we saw heavy rain was like this was in 2021 in September when we had Ida nonstop heavy rain. I hope everyone’s doing OK. Stay safe, everyone.

frank 638 wrote:Last time we saw heavy rain was like this was in 2021 in September when we had Ida nonstop heavy rain. I hope everyone’s doing OK. Stay safe, everyone.

I am actually surprised no flooding on the parkways over here, any by you? It really is coming down, but I think Ida was heavier and shorter duration which is what added to the severity of that flooding.

Brooklyn

https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1707750680964845859?s=20

https://x.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1707756723186946227?s=20

jmanley32 wrote:

frank 638 wrote:Last time we saw heavy rain was like this was in 2021 in September when we had Ida nonstop heavy rain. I hope everyone’s doing OK. Stay safe, everyone.

I am actually surprised no flooding on the parkways over here, any by you? It really is coming down, but I think Ida was heavier and shorter duration which is what added to the severity of that flooding.

I’m at work in Midtown and I’m constantly checking my cameras. No flooding yet. Thank God I hope you guys are doing well. Stay safe.

In Williamsburg, Brooklyn pic.twitter.com/qXHkUmPtax

— NYScanner (@nyscanner) September 29, 2023

AS per reports NYC declared state of emergency - CALL OUT THE GUARD FOR GOODNESS SAKE AND GET THESE STRANDED PEEPS !!! FDNY is overloaded and can't get to all water rescues.
Cuz is a Deputy Chief.

I am declaring a State of Emergency across New York City, Long Island, and the Hudson Valley due to the extreme rainfall we’re seeing throughout the region.

Please take steps to stay safe and remember to never attempt to travel on flooded roads.

— Governor Kathy Hochul (@GovKathyHochul) September 29, 2023

54 degrees, moderate rain, no wind.Sharp cutoff on the radar, nothing in Port Jervis.I am on the western edge of this.Those videos of areas East of me tell me the brunt of this is East of the Hudson River.

Same for up-county. Maybe a thimble-full of rain

Umm yeah okay, major flooding check, saw mill parkway is under water, I finally called 911 because after 2 hrs no one was coming. MTA complete shutdown.