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snowday111
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Post by dkodgis Tue Apr 02, 2024 3:29 pm

Surprisingly no heavy rain so far up here. Yesterday it did not rain. So going on two days and very little rain.

However, yesterday I checked my Irises and was disappointed. They have been staying about almost an inch above ground for a while now with no growth.  Then this morning I went outside with my coffee. Cue the surprise. They are up about 1.5 inches over yesterday. If I had not made note of it yesterday and reflected on it, I would not have known before and after. Mother Nature hit the gas pedal late last night and got them growing.

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Post by sroc4 Thu Apr 04, 2024 9:06 am

Bastardi made a funny. Lol

Banter Thread 9.0 - Page 11 Img_7910

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Post by dkodgis Thu Apr 04, 2024 3:31 pm

Summer forecasts why don't we?
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Apr 04, 2024 3:52 pm

dkodgis wrote:Summer forecasts why don't we?


Rainy lol This pattern stinks!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Thu Apr 04, 2024 7:09 pm

Janet, I blame the Mets' record on climate change. As for summer forecasts, if it keeps raining...more drainage, more Moss Out, more lime, more roof cleaner, and more front office changes for the Mets.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Apr 05, 2024 9:00 pm

Hey! Who's around for a possible get together Sunday??? Thinking NNJ or just over the border in NYS, Rockland County-ish...

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Fri Apr 05, 2024 9:23 pm

Me
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Apr 16, 2024 9:52 pm

LOL, is it possible? When we don't want it of course. I think this is 0% for inland and -100% for coast.

Banter Thread 9.0 - Page 11 Gfs_as15
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Post by amugs Wed Apr 17, 2024 8:07 pm

Massive plume of ash, SO2 eruption from a Volcano on Indonesia, Ruang Volcano exploded 70k, that went into the Stratosphere. Initial reports have said. Well see upon reanalysis what it actually is and the amounts. VEI 4-6 is what is being said.

https://x.com/CollinGrossWx/status/1780668884065948044


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Wed Apr 17, 2024 8:09 pm

If the amounts are as big as satellite shows it should have some effects on our wx for the next 12-18 months. Unl8ke Hunga Tonga that shot water vapor at 88 degrees up and heated up and caused a 5-10% increase in moisture planet wide.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by docstox12 Tue Apr 23, 2024 8:08 am

More news for Mugs:

https://news.yahoo.com/powerful-volcano-erupting-could-mean-090026062.html
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Post by dkodgis Tue Apr 23, 2024 10:18 pm

In TODAY'S post...and I am imitating someone from YouTube who posts about weather...I read at lohud.com an article that discussed this summer having temps "slightly above" normal and less precipitation. Isn't that just typical! I get my drainage in and precipitation lessens. Always the bridesmaid and never the bride.
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:46 am

In case anyone is interested in this webinar tonight about the upcoming hurricane season.

https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_BZq-9uUtQYmTOHuLREJ32g#/registration

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Apr 25, 2024 9:46 am

Dunnzoo wrote:In case anyone is interested in this webinar tonight about the upcoming hurricane season.

https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_BZq-9uUtQYmTOHuLREJ32g#/registration

how was the webinar? I worked in the yard all day and completely forgot..
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Apr 26, 2024 11:22 am

They are going to tweak the cone forecast again to include inland tropical storm and wind advisories. They are also hoping to do 3 hour updates when tracking a storm instead of the 6 hours. Day 4 accuracy of models ranked are NHC, then Euro. Forget UKMET and GFS 4 days out, they are too inconsistent. They also said they will not be adding a Cat 6, since that only measures one hazard, wind. They want to emphasize rainfall and surge hazards as those are the most deadly parts of the storm. The NHC outlook is going to be released May 23rd so we'll see what they say. Also, they will not be expanding the hurricane season to May. They said it will interfere with severe storm season and there aren't enough past storms in May to justify the move.

I also attended an El Nino & Climate change webinar and they are predicting La Nina by August, just in time for peak hurricane season. They are predicting a 35% chance of storm landfall within 50 miles of NJ and a 60% chance of a landfall hurricane west of 60* longitude which will include the gulf.

Going to be interesting to watch, as we have seen around here the remnant rainfalls is what kills us. As wet as this winter has been, I can't imagine the problems we'll see over the next few months.

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Apr 26, 2024 12:17 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:They are going to tweak the cone forecast again to include inland tropical storm and wind advisories. They are also hoping to do 3 hour updates when tracking a storm instead of the 6 hours. Day 4 accuracy of models ranked are NHC, then Euro. Forget UKMET and GFS 4 days out, they are too inconsistent. They also said they will not be adding a Cat 6, since that only measures one hazard, wind. They want to emphasize rainfall and surge hazards as those are the most deadly parts of the storm. The NHC outlook is going to be released May 23rd so we'll see what they say. Also, they will not be expanding the hurricane season to May. They said it will interfere with severe storm season and there aren't enough past storms in May to justify the move.

I also attended an El Nino & Climate change webinar and they are predicting La Nina by August, just in time for peak hurricane season. They are predicting a 35% chance of storm landfall within 50 miles of NJ  and a 60% chance of a landfall hurricane west of 60* longitude which will include the gulf.

Going to be interesting to watch, as we have seen around here the remnant rainfalls is what kills us. As wet as this winter has been, I can't imagine the problems we'll see over the next few months.

Thank you for the update
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Post by dkodgis Fri Apr 26, 2024 9:32 pm

So the word on the street is a rainy summer if the hurricane season is active and up here we get remnant rain.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Apr 27, 2024 9:01 am

dkodgis wrote:So the word on the street is a rainy summer if the hurricane season is active and up here we get remnant rain.

That's what I'm afraid of. But, we have had active Atlantic hurricane seasons with many of the storms floating out in the Atlantic and not affecting us directly (besides beach erosion), so there's hope!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed May 01, 2024 6:54 pm

https://x.com/TTrogdon/status/1785511164228612184

Thought this might be interesting to some tornado in Oklahoma
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 02, 2024 8:25 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:https://x.com/TTrogdon/status/1785511164228612184

Thought this might be interesting to some tornado in Oklahoma

yeah, pretty rare, they usually head NE in a semi-straight line. Looks like this one was re-cycling, pretty cool. It has been crazy watching the storm chasers this past week

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Fri May 03, 2024 8:37 pm

I see Sunday is a gullywasher.

Well. I'm satisfied. Back to 50% probability of precipitation most of next week.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun May 05, 2024 10:47 pm

Did anyone else notice that weather.gov has not updated their main alerts page since 4/24, very odd. Or is it my internet cookies? I am seeing a date of 4/24 on the front page.

https://www.weather.gov/
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon May 13, 2024 6:32 pm

https://weather.com/news/trending/video/mount-ibu-eruption-generates-massive-plume-of-ash

MASSIVE ERUPTION
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu May 16, 2024 1:54 pm

Putting this here because it's depressing... CPC forecast for the summer, warm and wet. Forecast for late fall/early winter warm and dry. Mad

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu May 16, 2024 6:46 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Putting this here because it's depressing... CPC forecast for the summer, warm and wet. Forecast for late fall/early winter warm and dry.  Mad
of course..it is so gloomy every day.. Sad
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