March 2024 Observations and Discussion

Wind was whipping last night. Still pretty breezy this morning. Was a cold 28* at wake-up. Temps running about 9 degrees below normal today.

dkodgis wrote:It is 35 at 2:45. I read an article about this Saturdays’s storm. In the comments, a poster wrote: If the rain and snow keep up, it won't come down.


The next poster laughed and said she just read it to herself with a Maine accent. Might someone clue me in? Is the first part hype and the second part is what happens when we keep hyping a weather event?

Here's my answer, Damian.Get out your Bongo Drums!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDnDVlTtP6Y

36 degrees, partly cloudy, howling winds.

19 degrees, chilly.

Normal low for today is 28. Imagine that a below normal day. Now how rare is that becoming? The last nine years it's going the way of the dinosaurs.

19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE. Wow...

A fitting end to the snow potential.  There's a lot of mid-level energy (first pic) but it's rather elongated and too far inland like a frontal signature. This definitely had some potential just look at the synoptics of the surface (second pic). A lot of cold H pressure in the right spots but really the storm couldn't consolidate as there is too much resistance from the TPV directly north (last pic). But I'm pretty sure if this that TPV was further east toward NL allowing the western ridge to pump inland areas would have a decent snow storm out of this. As it is NNE and upstate NY will cash in. Again it's a fitting end.

heehaw453 wrote:A fitting end to the snow potential.  There's a lot of mid-level energy (first pic) but it's rather elongated and too far inland like a frontal signature. This definitely had some potential just look at the synoptics of the surface (second pic). A lot of cold H pressure in the right spots but really the storm couldn't consolidate as there is too much resistance from the TPV directly north (last pic). But I'm pretty sure if this that TPV was further east toward NL allowing the western ridge to pump inland areas would have a decent snow storm out of this. As it is NNE and upstate NY will cash in. Again it's a fitting end.

I was looking at upper level winds and at one pt 60-80kt 850's pass over the area yet theres no mention of any wind with the rain, just curious as to why? Its going to rain very hard thats not going to allow for it to mix down? Too much inversion? Or not enough I forget which it is. Either way misterable day. Could be serious flooding if the upper end rainfalls verify.

heehaw453 wrote:19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE.  Wow...

Temperature wise the last nine years or so have been in hyperdrive. Yes there were a couple of above normal snowfall years in there but the rising temperatures and so many warmest months ever in this time period and every other month seems to be in the top ten warmest of all time. Very disconcerting.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE.  Wow...

Temperature wise the last nine years or so have been in hyperdrive. Yes there were a couple of above normal snowfall years in there but the rising temperatures and so many warmest months ever in this time period and every other month seems to be in the top ten warmest of all time. Very disconcerting.

It is. I'm expecting every DJF now to have at least one of those months be record or near record breaking temperatures. Predicting a BN temperature winter month is a really bold call these days.

22* for my low this morning.
26* yesterday.
Fitting storm, pattern locked into this two years ago and has not let up overall. Hunga Tonga Volcano explosion 2 years ago, 1-15-22, has aides tremendously in the wetness, high qpf from almost all storms last year plus. Why?
10Tp of water = 834 plus trillion gallons of warm, 86* salt water was evaporated in hours 30km = 25 plus miles into the atmosphere.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE.  Wow...

Temperature wise the last nine years or so have been in hyperdrive. Yes there were a couple of above normal snowfall years in there but the rising temperatures and so many warmest months ever in this time period and every other month seems to be in the top ten warmest of all time. Very disconcerting.

Very true for our area,CP, but all during that time when we are getting rainstorms, Northern New England always is pounded with heavy snow.Look at the NWS map for the storm this weekend.It may have warmed for our area, but up in those parts, it's heavy snow.Same with the Sierra Nevada of California.Also the Lake Effect machine when it cranks up.The same in those areas as in years past.

We're going to get slammed tomorrow, flooding likely of the brook by mugs and me. Over 3" is going to be too much.

Yeah. just driving by the rivers, they are visually at peak. 3 inches is concerning.

Dunnzoo wrote:We're going to get slammed tomorrow, flooding likely of the brook by mugs and me. Over 3" is going to be too much.

NWS is now saying 3-4 possibly even higher. And winds are going to be pretty strong, shows 40mph gusts, not good the ground is go be mud pie.

Grselig wrote:Yeah.  just driving by the rivers, they are visually at peak.  3 inches is concerning.

Rivers are pretty high here too but not sure this will cause severe flooding but we are in the area of concern.

Wind advisory issued now up to 50 mph gusts 2pm to 2am. Thats during the worst rain gonna be outages.

34 degrees, heavy soaking rain and windy.

32.4 and moderate rain. You just can't make it up.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:32.4 and moderate rain. You just can't make it up.

A last kick in the head for a disappointing what used to be called winter.

32 degrees, heavy rain, windy.