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March 2024 Observations and Discussion

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WeatherBob
1190ftalt
CPcantmeasuresnow
amugs
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heehaw453
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kalleg
dkodgis
docstox12
weatherwatchermom
jmanley32
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Mar 21, 2024 7:58 am

Currently 30* with a low of 28* winds currently 25 mph with highest gust overnight at 35,mph...sunny 🌞 day..hope all enjoy!

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Post by billg315 Thu Mar 21, 2024 9:38 am

Wind was whipping last night. Still pretty breezy this morning. Was a cold 28* at wake-up. Temps running about 9 degrees below normal today.

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Post by dkodgis Thu Mar 21, 2024 2:47 pm

It is 35 at 2:45. I read an article about this Saturdays’s storm. In the comments, a poster wrote: If the rain and snow keep up, it won't come down.


The next poster laughed and said she just read it to herself with a Maine accent. Might someone clue me in? Is the first part hype and the second part is what happens when we keep hyping a weather event?
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Post by docstox12 Thu Mar 21, 2024 3:02 pm

dkodgis wrote:It is 35 at 2:45. I read an article about this Saturdays’s storm. In the comments, a poster wrote: If the rain and snow keep up, it won't come down.


The next poster laughed and said she just read it to herself with a Maine accent. Might someone clue me in? Is the first part hype and the second part is what happens when we keep hyping a weather event?

Here's my answer, Damian.Get out your Bongo Drums!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDnDVlTtP6Y

36 degrees, partly cloudy, howling winds.
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Post by dkodgis Thu Mar 21, 2024 3:21 pm

Well could be, doc
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:30 am

19 degrees, chilly.

Normal low for today is 28. Imagine that a below normal day. Now how rare is that becoming? The last nine years it's going the way of the dinosaurs.
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 22, 2024 9:40 am

19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE. Wow...

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 22, 2024 10:01 am

A fitting end to the snow potential.  There's a lot of mid-level energy (first pic) but it's rather elongated and too far inland like a frontal signature. This definitely had some potential just look at the synoptics of the surface (second pic). A lot of cold H pressure in the right spots but really the storm couldn't consolidate as there is too much resistance from the TPV directly north (last pic). But I'm pretty sure if this that TPV was further east toward NL allowing the western ridge to pump inland areas would have a decent snow storm out of this. As it is NNE and upstate NY will cash in. Again it's a fitting end.

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Laston14
March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Laston13
March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Laston10

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 22, 2024 10:12 am

heehaw453 wrote:A fitting end to the snow potential.  There's a lot of mid-level energy (first pic) but it's rather elongated and too far inland like a frontal signature. This definitely had some potential just look at the synoptics of the surface (second pic). A lot of cold H pressure in the right spots but really the storm couldn't consolidate as there is too much resistance from the TPV directly north (last pic). But I'm pretty sure if this that TPV was further east toward NL allowing the western ridge to pump inland areas would have a decent snow storm out of this. As it is NNE and upstate NY will cash in. Again it's a fitting end.

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Laston14
March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Laston13
March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Laston10
I was looking at upper level winds and at one pt 60-80kt 850's pass over the area yet theres no mention of any wind with the rain, just curious as to why? Its going to rain very hard thats not going to allow for it to mix down? Too much inversion? Or not enough I forget which it is. Either way misterable day. Could be serious flooding if the upper end rainfalls verify.
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Post by dkodgis Fri Mar 22, 2024 10:17 am

Was 18 this morning. Here we are this season having watched climate change in fast forward mode
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Post by kalleg Fri Mar 22, 2024 10:26 am

Among the findings in this new report is that temps are up more than three degrees over the last 50 years:

https://buckscountyherald.com/stories/bucks-county-audubon-society-tracks-honey-hollow-watersheds-evolution,42181

Plus lots more interesting info re flora and fauna in our part of the world.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 22, 2024 2:02 pm

heehaw453 wrote:19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE.  Wow...

Temperature wise the last nine years or so have been in hyperdrive. Yes there were a couple of above normal snowfall years in there but the rising temperatures and so many warmest months ever in this time period and every other month seems to be in the top ten warmest of all time. Very disconcerting.
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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 22, 2024 3:26 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE.  Wow...

Temperature wise the last nine years or so have been in hyperdrive. Yes there were a couple of above normal snowfall years in there but the rising temperatures and so many warmest months ever in this time period and every other month seems to be in the top ten warmest of all time. Very disconcerting.

It is. I'm expecting every DJF now to have at least one of those months be record or near record breaking temperatures. Predicting a BN temperature winter month is a really bold call these days.

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Post by dkodgis Fri Mar 22, 2024 4:05 pm

Comparing apples to oranges, will we soon be seeing very hot summers around these parts or more Seattle weather?
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Post by amugs Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:45 pm

22* for my low this morning.
26* yesterday.
Fitting storm, pattern locked into this two years ago and has not let up overall. Hunga Tonga Volcano explosion 2 years ago, 1-15-22, has aides tremendously in the wetness, high qpf from almost all storms last year plus. Why?
10Tp of water = 834 plus trillion gallons of warm, 86* salt water was evaporated in hours 30km = 25 plus miles into the atmosphere.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:37 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:19 for my low this morning and coldest of March.

March so far is running +7.9 AN in Central Park, +8.5 AN in EWR, 6.6 ABE.  Wow...

Temperature wise the last nine years or so have been in hyperdrive. Yes there were a couple of above normal snowfall years in there but the rising temperatures and so many warmest months ever in this time period and every other month seems to be in the top ten warmest of all time. Very disconcerting.

Very true for our area,CP, but all during that time when we are getting rainstorms, Northern New England always is pounded with heavy snow.Look at the NWS map for the storm this weekend.It may have warmed for our area, but up in those parts, it's heavy snow.Same with the Sierra Nevada of California.Also the Lake Effect machine when it cranks up.The same in those areas as in years past.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:38 pm

We're going to get slammed tomorrow, flooding likely of the brook by mugs and me. Over 3" is going to be too much.

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Grselig Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:14 pm

Yeah. just driving by the rivers, they are visually at peak. 3 inches is concerning.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 22, 2024 11:05 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:We're going to get slammed tomorrow, flooding likely of the brook by mugs and me. Over 3" is going to be too much.
NWS is now saying 3-4 possibly even higher. And winds are going to be pretty strong, shows 40mph gusts, not good the ground is go be mud pie.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Mar 22, 2024 11:05 pm

Grselig wrote:Yeah.  just driving by the rivers, they are visually at peak.  3 inches is concerning.
Rivers are pretty high here too but not sure this will cause severe flooding but we are in the area of concern.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Mar 23, 2024 5:55 am

41* heavy rain just woke me up ..Dash wishes he was a cat with a litter box right now, instead of a dog being let out in the pouring rain
Lol
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Post by jmanley32 Sat Mar 23, 2024 8:17 am

Wind advisory issued now up to 50 mph gusts 2pm to 2am. Thats during the worst rain gonna be outages.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 23, 2024 8:54 am

34 degrees, heavy soaking rain and windy.
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Post by dkodgis Sat Mar 23, 2024 9:13 am

31 here. Pinch an inch of rain here. Trees are covered in ice. Slippery outside. Raining lightly with no wind to speak of. The Willow trees have popped up here. Forsythia too. My lilac branches look olive yellow and buds are out but not open. Looks nice.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Mar 23, 2024 9:20 am

32.4 and moderate rain. You just can't make it up.
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Post by dkodgis Sat Mar 23, 2024 9:25 am

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 5 Img_2511
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Post by docstox12 Sat Mar 23, 2024 10:13 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:32.4 and moderate rain. You just can't make it up.

A last kick in the head for a disappointing what used to be called winter.

32 degrees, heavy rain, windy.
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