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March 2024 Observations and Discussion

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WeatherBob
1190ftalt
CPcantmeasuresnow
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heehaw453
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weatherwatchermom
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March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Empty Re: March 2024 Observations and Discussion

Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Mar 27, 2024 5:07 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
frank 638 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:I'm more concerned with Thursday. Mets Opening Day forecast is all over the place. This morning, the models were all day rain Thursday, now it looks like the rain will end by the afternoon (per Channel 7). Why can't we just get a week or 2 with no rain??????
I think for the Mets opener you guys have a chance of playing I would say in the morning it’s gonna be cloudy, rainy, but I think by the afternoon it will be cloudy. It will be nice to see the sun, but I’m happy baseball season is here.

Postponed until Friday, thank goodness they called it this afternoon, repeat of last year. Can't risk players getting hurt the first game. Going to be another day of staying home watching the rain. Then running to Queens Friday and Saturday.

and Friday will be warmer!

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Mar 28, 2024 4:53 pm

Just want to wish the family here a Happy Easter! Looks like a mostly overcast weekend with spotty showers possible. In fact, the cloudiness and rain will extend into next week as well. We are heading into a -NAO long range pattern (go figure it comes now instead of during the winter) which will call for a very cool April. Potentially looking at -3 to -5 temp departures for the entire month Sad

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March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Empty Re: March 2024 Observations and Discussion

Post by Frank_Wx Thu Mar 28, 2024 4:55 pm

Absolutely RIDICULOUS -NAO

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Eps_z500a_namer_24

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March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Empty Re: March 2024 Observations and Discussion

Post by frank 638 Fri Mar 29, 2024 9:10 am

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Img_5910

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Post by heehaw453 Fri Mar 29, 2024 3:02 pm

April or not this setup is interesting for the local interior. IMO it looks to be dependent on wave spacing between the storm and the Atlantic trough. Nice split flow dual jet (1st pic). Good ridge and western NAO for the storm (second pic), but notice the last picture the system is getting interfered with by the 50/50 trough. That cannot happen for local interior because the ULL needs to be closed off and digging as it approaches the coast. If it opens and tries to reconsolidate it's NE storm. Don't care what surface maps may or may not show it's got to be closed off and pass underneath us for it to work. Very skeptical for now and climatology adds to that.

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Dualje10
March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Laston12
March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Laston13

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 29, 2024 4:05 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Absolutely RIDICULOUS -NAO

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Eps_z500a_namer_24

Of course, just in time for April the same as last year. What did we do wrong to deserve this?
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Post by billg315 Fri Mar 29, 2024 5:03 pm

Keeping an eye on Wednesday evening. Probably a long-shot, but we all know accumulating snow in April isn’t unheard of.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 29, 2024 9:17 pm

billg315 wrote:Keeping an eye on Wednesday evening. Probably a long-shot, but we all know accumulating snow in April isn’t unheard of.

I've seen several big time snows, a foot or more, in April in this area but I just don't see this as the year for it. Will watch with interest though, it wouldn't make up for a lousy winter but it would be a nice way to go out.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 31, 2024 9:18 am

Canadian model says we’ll have a shot of snow Wednesday night. Interesting. Other models aren’t quite there yet

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Post by dkodgis Sun Mar 31, 2024 9:23 am

Happy Easter.

Today hitting 56. Any yard work this coming week, any baseball games these parts, and anything outside-looks like rain almost the entire week and a CP/Doc special on Thursday. ┬áDo we not suffer the cluelessness and calumnies and vagaries of the models…
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Post by frank 638 Sun Mar 31, 2024 11:01 am

March 2024 Observations and Discussion - Page 7 Img_6010
Happy Easter to you and your family 🐣rabbit

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Mar 31, 2024 11:48 am

Happy Easter! 00Z Canadian has the ULL further south. It does reconsolidate and gets caught under the 50/50. The Atlantic is a plugged up which aids to the crawl effect. Most likely there will be a decent storm out of this but my thought is interior CNE/NNE is where the sig snow occurs with this. I could see a little bit in our immediate interior but not much. UNLESS that ULL closes off around WV/KY then it's another another matter for our local interior. Anything above Pittsburgh not going to work here.

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Post by 2004blackwrx Sun Mar 31, 2024 8:05 pm

I had to come check this site out after my friend told me he saw a forecast of 3 to 6 inches of snow for later this week where he lives near Batam Conneticut. Got me Interested to see how close of a shot do we really have for the people on this board N&W of NYC

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Post by dkodgis Sun Mar 31, 2024 8:46 pm

There already is a warning up for moderate to heavy snow for Bantam, CT on the NWS. The warming says "...increasingly likely...for moderate to heavy snow" and in higher terrains. I do not have a warning in my area. This will be a somewhat heavy to heavy rain event and for some a bit of snow. We all hope we get snow even thought most of us think the winter failed us. However, if the NWS has a warning out already for Bantam then most likely you have things going on Wed night into Thurs. Check back and read what the board says. if you like snow, I hope you get yours.
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