Re: 02/13 Godzilla Storm Obs. Thread / Final Discussions

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:14 pm

New data from NEXRAD, very intense cells building off the Florida coast, tops spiking ABOVE 40000

Mesocyclone UNCO T6 over water FL 58 dBZ 42,000 ft. 60 kg/m² 60% Chance 100% Chance 1.25 in. 35 knots SW (221)

That 100% chance is for Hail and 60% for severe hail, many storms breaking towers shooting up rapidly. Strong updrafts.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:15 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/map.asp

by **Quietace** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:17 pm

H5 looks good so far.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/s19/500mb/500mb.gif?1392250539598

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:20 pm

Ace i know we get some snow then rain but i got feeling we may get more snow. Winds gonna be real bad for us

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:21 pm

Quietace wrote:H5 looks good so far.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/s19/500mb/500mb.gif?1392250539598

Yea it does.

by **Quietace** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:22 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Ace i know we get some snow then rain but i got feeling we may get more snow. Winds gonna be real bad for us

Glad you have that feeling i dont. lol

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:23 pm

Wishful thinking lol

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:23 pm

Wow I do not think I have ever seen a 32 hour WSW before! I am wondering, the wording in this makes me wonder if it includes the CCB:

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...HUDSON...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER...NEW YORK...BRONX...
RICHMOND...KINGS...NORTHERN QUEENS...SOUTHERN QUEENS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 12 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE DURING THE
DAY THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY NIGHT. SLEET AND RAIN
WILL LIKELY MIX WITH THE SNOW DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS THURSDAY.

by **Quietace** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:23 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Wishful thinking lol

I guess we will see if something special happens overnight.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:23 pm

Quietace wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Ace i know we get some snow then rain but i got feeling we may get more snow. Winds gonna be real bad for us
Glad you have that feeling i dont. lol

Still very concerned about mixing besides the furthest 3 or so NW counties in NJ.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:24 pm

02/13 Godzilla Storm Obs. Thread / Final Discussions - Page 13 BgUEa3UIgAAdekN

Maybe some thundersnow! That is intense frontogenesis!

by **Quietace** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:24 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
Quietace wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Ace i know we get some snow then rain but i got feeling we may get more snow. Winds gonna be real bad for us
Glad you have that feeling i dont. lol

Still very concerned about mixing besides the furthest 3 or so NW counties in NJ.

I think its more than likely a given, but whether its in the mid levels and their is Frz rain or sleet, or low levels also with rain.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:27 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

Maybe some thundersnow! That is intense frontogenesis!

Maxing out the scale, wow...

by Yschiff Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:30 pm

Is there any way the storm moves more east and we do not get mixing?

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:31 pm

Yschiff wrote:Is there any way the storm moves more east and we do not get mixing?

No, it's a question of how much.

by **pdubz** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:33 pm

when the intense frontogenesis passes over long island that's when will switch to a mix or rain, that's what happened on Wednesday during the ice storm the 50 dbz band brought sleet with it

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:34 pm

pdubz that was some really heavy sleet, like pouring!

by **RJB8525** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:36 pm

nbc going with this

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by **docstox12** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:46 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
Quietace wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Ace i know we get some snow then rain but i got feeling we may get more snow. Winds gonna be real bad for us
Glad you have that feeling i dont. lol

Still very concerned about mixing besides the furthest 3 or so NW counties in NJ.

NWS agrees with that.I had no mixing earlier today, now they mention freezing rain and sleet.Thinking more towards 10 than 18 if that happens.

by meeka312 Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:47 pm

NBC hasn't even gotten the Olympic coverage right I won't hold my breathe over there weather forecast lol

by **2004blackwrx** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:49 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:49 pm

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:49 pm

RJB8525 wrote:nbc going with this

Well, I can say they're half right with that prediction. With the juiced up radar down south, those amounts should cover the front end dump! Razz

by **Quietace** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:50 pm

I should have snow falling within the next hour.

by **pdubz** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:50 pm

no matter what...
02/13 Godzilla Storm Obs. Thread / Final Discussions - Page 13 Post-16334-1392251381

by **RJB8525** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:53 pm

pdubz wrote:no matter what...

i think first time we can use this both

02/13 Godzilla Storm Obs. Thread / Final Discussions - Page 13 E0ffe6fe3ee58054aacadef84427f5aa

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Feb 12, 2014 7:55 pm

Wall clouds being reported in Florida. Bernie Rayno's last video say thundersnow is likely. It's a hard forecast though so I'm pretty much 50/50 on it, someone tell me when heaviest snow is supposed to arrive? I don't feel like doing UTC conversion haha. Gonna set an alarm, 8am good or too late?

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