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March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:31 pm

I love you all. Haha

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Post by dsvinos Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:32 pm

Just want to put my 2 cents in....March 3rd is my birthday and I always remember huge snowstorms on or around my birthday...this storm will make me so happy...then I'll be able to accept the warmer temps. I'm feeling pretty lucky being smack in the middle of NJ!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:32 pm

dsvinos wrote:Just want to put my 2 cents in....March 3rd is my birthday and I always remember huge snowstorms on or around my birthday...this storm will make me so happy...then I'll be able to accept the warmer temps.  I'm feeling pretty lucky being smack in the middle of NJ!!

Welcome! Happy early birthday

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Post by pdubz Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:33 pm

Eye candy for now 12Z CMC
March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 Post-26143-1393470396
to help you convert http://mdmetric.com/tech/cvtcht.htm
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:35 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:00z GFS has started. Looks very warm.

That was great Frank, I was like WTF, that can't be.











...jk
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:35 pm

IS that mm pdubz, why is it so much more on that map than on others?  That equates to 50mm for me which is 1.96 so almost 20 inches in 10:1.
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Post by dsvinos Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:35 pm

Thank you Frank  Smile Smile 
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Post by devsman Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:37 pm

I'm not listening to Frank or anyone else on here. DOE Chancellor Farina already said that mondays going to be a beautiful day and School will not be cancelled. And no, she does not look like a crazy old lady that sweeps her lawn.  Rolling Eyes 
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:37 pm

pdubz wrote:food for thought
March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 3d4fa002d1

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_144HR

Yes, because the clown maps are exactly what's going to happen 120 hours out.....













..jk haha
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Post by pdubz Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:38 pm

yeah its in mm but take it lightly since its only Wednesday night, start jumping if it shows this Friday
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Post by pdubz Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:39 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
pdubz wrote:food for thought
March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 3d4fa002d1

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_144HR

Yes, because the clown maps are exactly what's going to happen 120 hours out.....













..jk haha

If only it were that easy  lol! 
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:39 pm

devsman wrote:I'm not listening to Frank or anyone else on here. DOE Chancellor Farina already said that mondays going to be a beautiful day and School will not be cancelled. And no, she does not look like a crazy old lady that sweeps her lawn.  Rolling Eyes 

You made a funny.  Laughing 

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:40 pm

devsman wrote:I'm not listening to Frank or anyone else on here. DOE Chancellor Farina already said that mondays going to be a beautiful day and School will not be cancelled. And no, she does not look like a crazy old lady that sweeps her lawn.  Rolling Eyes 

hysterical  lol! 
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:40 pm

I know pdubz, just like to look at the maps I know when time frames are more solid. thx
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:40 pm

Tom, I'm admin of this board and only I can use the "jk" joke. Next time, you'll be banned indefinitely.














Jk

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:41 pm

We all seem to be in a great mood tonight. GFS better keep this mood going...

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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:42 pm

At hour 57, the PV looks very nice. Hopefully it sets up right where I want it to...just southeast of the Hudson Bay

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:42 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Tom, I'm admin of this board and only I can use the "jk" joke. Next time, you'll be banned indefinitely.














Jk

Lol, I find it slightly re-assuring the 0z NAM was so cold at 84, good sign, the NAM is usually terrible in the long range but it's bias there is usually far to the NW. Like the fact the pregame is cold but it doesn't mean much.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:43 pm

GFS is not splitting the PV like the EURO. No way this run. Euro was a blip run I think. It's ensembles disagreed with it.

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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:45 pm

1050 HP to the NW of North Dakota, strong NW flow for them, they've got to be several tens of degrees below zero. Makes me shiver thinking about it.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:49 pm

Blocking is stronger this run, PV is further south, energy in the southwest conus is impressive. This is looking awesome...

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 Post-40-0-39609300-1393472918

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Post by pdubz Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:51 pm

If the PV is stronger wont it push the boundary too far south?
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:51 pm

PV flexing its muscle on the GFS, heights are oriented completely flat west to east instead of that SSW to ENE or even SW to NE deal we had in the past EURO runs.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:52 pm

pdubz wrote:If the PV is stronger wont it push the boundary too far south?

Highly unlikely. Warm solution is a bigger threat when looking at OP runs and ensembles. Almost none show suppressed solution.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:52 pm

Good thing I assume .
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:52 pm

Snow has officially started at 87 here in NNJ, light snow.
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Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Feb 26, 2014 10:53 pm

87

March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm  - Page 8 Usa_pc22
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