March 17th-18th Storm Potential Discussion

Grselig wrote:Come Sunday night I will be gorging on corned beef and cabbage.   Washing it down with homemade baileys melodramatically cursing the dry cold sky knowing that SROC will not be obligated to keep his word and make snow angels in the near buff to the amusement of this board.   Yes thus winter was good to us and lots of fun.   Thanks again to everybody as your posts taught me quite a bit about the weather.  Cheers and happy spring.  But one more storm could not have hurt.    

The THREAD is now DEAD.

Keep hope alive.

12z euro says...snow flurries!

oh yippeee lol, I say we just wait till the next round of models and hope there starts a trend to happiness tomorrow into sunday.

Agree. I'm working until 11:30. Will update the GFS later tonight, including the GGEM.

Will look for it with cautious optimism.

Just got back from a workshop - WTF?? I left this morning and even the GFS (Garbage Forecast System IMO) had a moderate hit now we are down to nada as I read the posts - SOB !! 3-3 ??

CP - deleted the thread - finally - HAHAHA!

We need a major shift in the models for this to come North and since CP killed the thread and the Euro is now showing Snow Flurries all hope is no lost and like I said yesterday we need that ridge in the west to be up not flat - keeping the faith.

Off the catch up on grading and other work.

Frank_Wx wrote:12z euro says...snow flurries!

Wow, just can't beat this trend that got set up in mid February.Seems the recent years we get a lot of snow, it's in a 6 to 8 week period, then it totally shuts down.

Also, if this one busts out, Rayno did it again with his "energy that no one is seeing." Yeah, they aren't seeing it because it isn't coming.

KOD number 2 if this one craps out, for Rayno.

Can somebody tell me a good app where I can see the euro or a good web page? I believe you have to pay for the euro just don't know how much and where to get?

docstox12 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:12z euro says...snow flurries!

Wow, just can't beat this trend that got set up in mid February.Seems the recent years we get a lot of snow, it's in a 6 to 8 week period, then it totally shuts down.

Also, if this one busts out, Rayno did it again with his "energy that no one is seeing." Yeah, they aren't seeing it because it isn't coming.

KOD number 2 if this one craps out, for Rayno.

Mob rule. Let's get a bunch of torches and cause pain to this trend so it's afraid to show itself next year. Just like in those awesome old Frankenstein movies. Death to the Trend!

LMAO!!   found this on Facebook

15Z Jama showing blizzard, 36-54 inches area wide, 23.9 in Central Park. Still snowing when run finished, kidding obviously.

pdubz wrote:LMAO!!   found this on Facebook

very funny

All kidding aside I still don't believe, or accept this one is dead yet. I can't accept that we will be screwed this many times in such a short time period, it doesn't seem mathematically possible, but I have nothing to base it on other than that.

Of course the evil thread is dead, and that doesn't hurt either.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All kidding aside I still don't believe, or accept this one is dead yet. I can't accept that we will be screwed this many times in such a short time period, it doesn't seem mathematically probable, but I have nothing to base it on other than that.

Of course the evil thread is dead, and that doesn't hurt either.

Face it CP all bad things come in three's. We had 2 misses so far this month and you know what that means "IT'S OVER JOHNNY" !!!   Believe me I hate to see this season end this way, but I have a feeling that we will not be seeing anymore snow until next season. HOW DEPRESSING.

No way am I giving up on this just because today 12z was different lets see tonight and tom runs first

skinsfan1177 wrote:No way am I giving up on this just because today 12z was different lets see tonight and tom runs first

I'm with you. I REFUSE TO LET HER GO, i just refuse.   

Same here, and CP you had my heart stop for a second with your joke lol

NAM is running up to hr 26.

SNOW MAN wrote:

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:All kidding aside I still don't believe, or accept this one is dead yet. I can't accept that we will be screwed this many times in such a short time period, it doesn't seem mathematically probable, but I have nothing to base it on other than that.

Of course the evil thread is dead, and that doesn't hurt either.

Face it CP all bad things come in three's. We had 2 misses so far this month and you know what that means "IT'S OVER JOHNNY" !!!   Believe me I hate to see this season end this way, but I have a feeling that we will not be seeing anymore snow until next season. HOW DEPRESSING.

Refuse to lose!!

but just in case send me your snow therapists number.

I have a very good therapist too, she says I need to limit my time tracking wx lol for real.

wolves, you can see the pressure mb here the ecmwf (euro). Its free. Wxbell is a decent pay site but alot of people post their maps so you can catch them for free alot of the time. Ryan Maue hates this says copyright violation.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

hr 36 of 18z nam has 1003mb low over central US.

jmanley32 wrote:wolves, you can see the pressure mb here the ecmwf (euro).  Its free.  Wxbell is a decent pay site but alot of people post their maps so you can catch them for free alot of the time. Ryan Maue hates this says copyright violation.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

Thank you.

woah NAM has a beast comin across country already 1000mb at hour 39, I know its still not in range but is it ok if I post a map of the low, not a snow map.

NAM going to be a big hit again, not sure how far north though but looks on target for the area.

Mt holly has put out a snow map. 2 to 4 inches North four to six inches south. Both mt holly and upton not buying the dry solutions from todays 12z runs..it was a confusing discussion but it had to do with the sampling from the shortwave in the northwest. if anyone can make sense of their discussion please post it

algae good to hear, NWS is the authority with the wx so I hope they are right.