March 17th-18th Storm Potential Discussion

It's still a moderate snowstorm on the GFS

Well its a trend in the right direction from having nothing a day or two ago or no hit that is.

Ill look forward to what cmc and euro say overnight and 06z models, gonna hit they hay shortly.

What time dose the CMC model come out?

Frank_Wx wrote:It's still a moderate snowstorm on the GFS

Lol. That's friggen amazing considering the GFS had NO storm the last 00z run.

GFS looks lost at H5. The scary part is, if it actually did what I thought it was going to, it would have looked like the NAM

Yschiff wrote:What time dose the CMC model come out?

30-45min

Well maybe better luck tomorrow, I bet if you felt it would do something it will, you have a uncanny skill for this stuff.

jmanley32 wrote:Well maybe better luck tomorrow, I bet if you felt it would do something it  will, you have a uncanny skill for this stuff.

What you mean better luck? The NAM was a huge hit, yet shouldn't be taken seriously, and the GFS was about 6-10 inches. Great runs

Frank_Wx wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Well maybe better luck tomorrow, I bet if you felt it would do something it  will, you have a uncanny skill for this stuff.

What you mean better luck? The NAM was a huge hit, yet shouldn't be taken seriously, and the GFS was about 6-10 inches. Great runs

Yup. We are well in the zone of taking this threat seriously as we are no longer 4-5 days out. A bonafide St Patty's Day Snowstorm is becoming more likely by the run, guys.

Oh no frank no complaints you had mentioned you expected something similar to NAM, was saying maybe it will do so tomorrow. But guess who posted 84 hr snow map on twitter. I really really hope it doesnt squlech it. And dang if thats only 84 hrs how long is this supposed to last about?

According to GFS it looks like precip stops around 93 hrs so that 84 hr map (assuming it has similar time frame for end time) doesnt include another 10 hrs of snow dang.

Very good runs from the NAM and GFS, glad to see they agree somewhat with the track. Again, very sharp cutoffs for people north of NYC though

Hearing CMC is huge hit as well, but from where I get it it's not out that far so I can't confirm that

GGEM is about 25-30MM as snow

Also does not leave energy back. Ejects it all east.

Hour 66 H5 GGEM

Hour 72, still too positive

So about 10-12" from CMC, very good. 3/3 tonight so far

GGEM may actually be 12+

damn it just keeps snowing lets hope this actually happens!  

GEFS show 1.00 qpf, all snow. Look great

Not staying up for euro. Goodnight