Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

by **algae888** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:38 pm

still waiting on the CMC maps for total snow I don't have the Ukie.

by **algae888** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:41 pm

[ quote="SoulSingMG"]IN SHORT: CMC, UKIE, JMA all MECS.

GFS is the outlier currently but still not a horrible run & improved from 00z.

Awaiting Miss EURO...[/quote]
just want to be clear on this all those models mentioned above would create serious precipitation type issues for coastal areas and New York City we probably want It to move about 50 miles east from those models. again north and west of 287 it would be a major East Coast storm not for the City Long Island and coastal sections

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:42 pm

Jman, can you post that when you get the chance? And hold on blizzard, let me check....

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:44 pm

algae888 wrote:[ quote="SoulSingMG"]IN SHORT: CMC, UKIE, JMA all MECS.

GFS is the outlier currently but still not a horrible run & improved from 00z.

Awaiting Miss EURO...

just want to be clear on this all those models mentioned above would create serious precipitation type issues for coastal areas and New York City we probably want It to move about 50 miles east from those models. again north and west of 287 it would be a major East Coast storm not for the City Long Island and coastal sections[/quote]

Yeah, I guess a tiiiiiiick east. But as frank said, he doesn't see the pattern suggesting a track as west as CMC. And even still, with isothermal cooling it's a paste bomb from NYC on north and west.

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:46 pm

I can only the UKMET through hour 72, but here-

1000-500 hPa thickness and sea level pressure
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/ukmet12.11.gif?t=1421862206

500 hPa heights, 6-hourly precipitation in millimeters and sea level pressure
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/ukmetPR12.11.gif?t=1421862307

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:47 pm

12z JMA is nice. BM track

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 42BYdNY

by Guest Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:47 pm

We're getting close to be inside of 72 hours. starting to get a little more excited but don't want to hear about coastal precip. issues. If it bombs the way it looks we should be ok.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:49 pm

Ok got on another computer hold for CMC snow map, many won't like it some will. Al we get it good, and this probably does not totally take into consideration any of that cooling stuff people talking about because verbatim some rai nfalls too which could actually be snow. Any others you guys want?

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 Cmc_sn11

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 Cmc_sn11

by **crippo84** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:51 pm

And the Euro is now rolling...

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:52 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Ok got on another computer hold for CMC snow map, many won't like it some will. Al we get it good, and this probably does not totally take into consideration any of that cooling stuff people talking about because verbatim some rai nfalls too which could actually be snow. Any others you guys want?

BAMMMM. ~ a foot in MHT.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:52 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I need a maps posting person on here. Janet, go fetch me Wax

ROTFL Frank.

Only the old channel 7 board members will get that one.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:53 pm

surface map.

look at it from off coastal midatlantic to just NE of cape 998 to 969!

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 Cmc_pr11

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:53 pm

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:54 pm

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 Cmc_pr13

That's all I have for now. Wxbell dunno where JMA and navgem doesn't have snow map nor does ukie,.

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:54 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:I need a maps posting person on here. Janet, go fetch me Wax

ROTFL Frank.

Only the old channel 7 board members will get that one.

I did not even see this ahahahaha ooh that's too funny hahaha

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:57 pm

jmanley32 wrote:

That's all I have for now. Wxbell dunno where JMA and navgem doesn't have snow map nor does ukie,.

Nice work, JMAN. The rest of us on our phones await with baited breath lol

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:01 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Ok got on another computer hold for CMC snow map, many won't like it some will. Al we get it good, and this probably does not totally take into consideration any of that cooling stuff people talking about because verbatim some rai nfalls too which could actually be snow. Any others you guys want?

BAMMMM. ~ a foot in MHT.

I wouldn't change a thing here, however I know it will change several times before Saturday, hopefully for the better for all.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:02 pm

A lot of time for shifting back east

by **devsman** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:05 pm

Not a good snow map for us south Long islanders. Need that thing to tick 50 miles south east.

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:05 pm

12z Euro is 4mb deeper with the surface low at hour 60.....

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:06 pm

Hearing chatter the Euro is coming in a tick west at hr 63...

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:06 pm

12z EURO about to show a nice storm, I think,

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:07 pm

Hour 72, still stronger and a tick west from 00z

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:07 pm

Trough is definitely neutral here, working on going negative

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:07 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:08 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:09 pm

And dont worry about temps. Only areas who saw rain was jersey shore but only for a brief period

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

Update #4: Final Call Snow Map - Page 9 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f81

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