Re: Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 21, 2015 11:59 am

I feel this trend back west a little or continue east and everyone screwed

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 11:59 am

998mb from off jersey to 980mb south of Cape cod that's why we see most snow own cooling during bombing out.

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:00 pm

I usually thought the trend west once we get into two days out.

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:00 pm

Rb my computer down as soon I can get back on. U want sur face maps or snow or both?

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:02 pm

I think nj will be fine and coast with dynamic cooling which isn't on models

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:06 pm

Both would be AWESOME lmao Thanks a bunch, Jman!!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:08 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Rb my computer down as soon I can get back on. U want sur face maps or snow or both?

Anything Jman, we're dying here!!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:11 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:I think nj will be fine and coast with dynamic cooling which isn't on models

You have to be careful there skins. Dynamic cooling won't overcome ENE winds along the coast so you don't want this to far west. Of course for others on this board that would would work out just fine.

by **algae888** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:12 pm

if the CMC would verify then precipitation will start after midnight Friday night central and southern New Jersey is almost all rain as is Long Island at least the east part New York City starts as snow a few hours of mixing and then back to heavy snow at the ends north and west of 287 all snow has to be a foot or more didn't see snow maps yet

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:16 pm

UKIE is also a MECS.

CMC has a 984 mb low sitting just west of benchmark. If that verified, there'd be a 12" + strip of snowfall somewhere close to if not on top of the city.

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:22 pm

Precip maps show NYC changing over to fredaine rain for a time period but I wouldn't take those maps verbatim. Remembrer: sometimes you gotta smell the rain to kiss the heaviest snows.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:25 pm

GGEM was great. I don't see this low tucking in that close to the coast. Pattern doesn't support it. So an east track would put it on the BM

by carvin1079 Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:25 pm

So its safe to say because we're almost in that 48 hour period that 3 to 6 is a better bet bet or should I put more on the table and take the over spread of maybe 9 to 12 just so happy

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:27 pm

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglb12.20.gif?t=1421861112

by **algae888** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:27 pm

I d o not have snow maps yet but looking at the CMC model I would say 1 to3 inches central and southern New Jersey 3 to 6 with the city 6 to 12 inches the nearby north and west suburbs and a foot or more north of 287

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:28 pm

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglb12.21.gif?t=1421861112

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglb12.22.gif?t=1421861112

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglb12.23.gif?t=1421861112

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:30 pm

Those are the GEM surface pressure and thickness maps......awaiting precip maps. I will post them as soon as I have them

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:31 pm

I need a maps posting person on here. Janet, go fetch me Wax

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:32 pm

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglbPR12.20.gif?t=1421861424
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglbPR12.21.gift=1421861424
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglbPR12.22.gift=1421861424
http://img.meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_12/gemglbPR12.23.gif?t=1421861424

by **rb924119** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:33 pm

Those are surface pressure, 6-hourly precipitation IN MILLIMETERS, and 500 hPa heights

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:34 pm

From Northern nj through just north of nyc diagonal into ct 10 to 16 highest in ct verbatim. Bring this south a bit and we dead center al.

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:34 pm

I heard the UKIE showed a MECS. Any maps?

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:35 pm

Frank I'd be doing do but I'm mobile as computer is down. Dam it lazy guys!

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:36 pm

IN SHORT: CMC, UKIE, JMA all MECS.

GFS is the outlier currently but still not a horrible run & improved from 00z.

Awaiting Miss EURO...

by **jmanley32** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:38 pm

Gfs will come back west watch tonight or tomorrow typical east then back west. Al even mentioned this. Frank ate u growing confidence in a godzilla or do we have to wait till tonight for ur update.

by **algae888** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:38 pm

still waiting on the CMC maps for total snow I don't have the Ukie.

by **algae888** Wed Jan 21, 2015 12:41 pm

[ quote="SoulSingMG"]IN SHORT: CMC, UKIE, JMA all MECS.

GFS is the outlier currently but still not a horrible run & improved from 00z.

Awaiting Miss EURO...[/quote]
just want to be clear on this all those models mentioned above would create serious precipitation type issues for coastal areas and New York City we probably want It to move about 50 miles east from those models. again north and west of 287 it would be a major East Coast storm not for the City Long Island and coastal sections

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