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Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:32 pm

That's NOT what she said lol

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Post by RJB8525 Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:32 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Ok fine I'll take 1 inch lol

if we get a sneaky one tomorrow i'll be happy

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:34 pm

Mugsy, get the homemade Bailey's ready! Party at mugs' house!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:36 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:I know we cant get into specifics but is their an estimate on start and ending time only reason I ask because my family and I are going to Williamsburg VA but may not because ill be working

5am Saurday to 9pm Saturday is a rough estimate

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:36 pm

Ok now I'm starting to get nervous. This is like the team that celebrates with two minutes left in the game and then loses.

But what the hell it's been a frustrating period since 2/16/14.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:37 pm

tonights runs and tomorrows are crucial my excitement is rising but 3 days to go before the goods arrive.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:38 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:I know we cant get into specifics but is their an estimate on start and ending time only reason I ask because my family and I are going to Williamsburg VA but may not because ill be working

5am Saurday to 9pm Saturday is a rough estimate

thanks frank just wanted a estimation
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Post by Sferra01 Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:43 pm

Hey guys.....just looking for some thoughts/advice.  Traveling with my son tomorrow to Marlborogh Massachusetts for a hockey tournament.  Tournament is expected to end Saturday afternoon.  What do you think for potential timing of this??  Should I be planning on staying put Saturday night in Massachusetts and not returning home to north shore western Suffolk county on LI?.....I guess looking for timing on LI and Massachusetts.....

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:47 pm

I would stay overnight Saturday...visibility could be pretty bad at times and 95 is not fun on a good day

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:54 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Ok now I'm starting to get nervous. This is like the team that celebrates with two minutes left in the game and then loses.

But what the hell it's been a frustrating period since 2/16/14.

We ain't the Packers but Hawks !!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:55 pm

Sferra01 wrote:Hey guys.....just looking for some thoughts/advice.  Traveling with my son tomorrow to Marlborogh Massachusetts for a hockey tournament.  Tournament is expected to end Saturday afternoon.  What do you think for potential timing of this??  Should I be planning on staying put Saturday night in Massachusetts and not returning home to north shore western Suffolk county on LI?.....I guess looking for timing on LI and Massachusetts.....

Prepare to sleep in MA Saturday night. Absolutely. Unless this storm suddenly goes OTS which is looking doubtful

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Post by sroc4 Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:57 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:I would stay overnight Saturday...visibility could be pretty bad at times and 95 is not fun on a good day
I agree with this. All indications are that its going to be bad during that time frame. A little quality time with the kiddo.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:58 pm

Sferra01 wrote:Hey guys.....just looking for some thoughts/advice.  Traveling with my son tomorrow to Marlborogh Massachusetts for a hockey tournament.  Tournament is expected to end Saturday afternoon.  What do you think for potential timing of this??  Should I be planning on staying put Saturday night in Massachusetts and not returning home to north shore western Suffolk county on LI?.....I guess looking for timing on LI and Massachusetts.....

Piece of BIG TIME advice - do not think you will be able to drive I(% or such roads during a said snowstorm - tried that once and do not jeopardize you or your sons safety - stay overnight - maybe 2 nights up there cause MA is going to get pummeled. You will be driving into the teeth of the storm. If you can get out Friday night sure but travelling IMHO Saturday afternoon is going to be bad unless things change

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Sferra01 Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:01 pm

Thanks guys!!! Do you think I will have a problem getting back Sunday? I am a little nervous....I am taking him alone to this tourney and my husband is staying home this time with our other children.....

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Post by rb924119 Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:03 pm

Just checked the EURO ensembles, and there is increasing support for H5 to close off earlier. Granted, it's still too late, but only JUST. If we can get it six hours earlier we're in the money. That said, there are still only about (maybe) 30-40% of the ensemble members that close it off the same time as the OP, and only 4% (yes, four) that close it off where we want it to.

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:05 pm

You may be able to get back late Sunday, but be prepared to stay until Monday. A lot still to be determined. Make sure you have supplies in your car just in case.

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by essexcountypete Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:19 pm

Sferra01 wrote:Thanks guys!!! Do you think I will have a problem getting back Sunday? I am a little nervous....I am taking him alone to this tourney and my husband is staying home this time with our other children.....

Depending on the timing of the snow, you might want to consider driving west inland away from the storm and spending the night in Springfield or Amherst, which is a little more than an hour's drive. They may get less snow there and then you'll have a straight shot down I-91 to Hartford on Sunday, where you can pick up I-95 or I-84. Hotels may be cheaper and more abundant out that way too. But I would check to see how far the snow has advanced before heading out.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:21 pm

Wow about half euro ensembles are big hits. Some are oddly all the way inland but those are outliers. Lp placements really consolidated within benchmark for most part and sub 980!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:22 pm

essexcountypete wrote:
Sferra01 wrote:Thanks guys!!! Do you think I will have a problem getting back Sunday? I am a little nervous....I am taking him alone to this tourney and my husband is staying home this time with our other children.....

Depending on the timing of the snow, you might want to consider driving west inland away from the storm and spending the night in Springfield or Amherst, which is a little more than an hour's drive. They may get less snow there and then you'll have a straight shot down I-91 to Hartford on Sunday, where you can pick up I-95 or I-84. Hotels may be cheaper and more abundant out that way too. But I would check to see how far the snow has advanced before heading out.  

Sound advice. I was thinking the same.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:22 pm

When I say way inland I mean the snowfall not the lp placement they are all pretty close to li to just around benchmsrk
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:26 pm

I like how everyone is giving advice. Quality posters makes this a quality board. I'm happy.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:26 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Ok fine I'll take 1 inch lol

That's the spirit Very Happy
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:27 pm

amugs wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Ok now I'm starting to get nervous. This is like the team that celebrates with two minutes left in the game and then loses.

But what the hell it's been a frustrating period since 2/16/14.

We ain't the Packers but Hawks !!!

I never named team names, but if the shoe fits.
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Post by Sferra01 Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:29 pm

Thank you all sooo much!! I really appreciate it!! I am almost hoping they cancel at this point.....

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:30 pm

Ryan maue tweeted euro could deliver 40 to 70 mph gusts to coastal locations. Never been in snow and wind like that as I can remember. Deepens 44mb into Canada from Carolinas wow.
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Post by Quietace Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:31 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Ryan maue tweeted euro could deliver 40 to 70 mph gusts to coastal locations. Never been in snow and wind like that as I can remember. Deepens 44mb into Canada from Carolinas wow.
Not during BDB?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Wed Jan 21, 2015 3:37 pm

FWIW - Back to 90% probability of snow for Saturday from 60% at noon from 90% at 6am, on TWC.

They're like a roulette wheel.
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