Update #4: Final Call Snow Map

Just watch Amy freeze on abc7 . she only talk about LI with blizzard conditions possible . Also said mixing to start in NYC. I can't listen to them anymore

Mixing to start iN NYC? Jesus everyone has to crap on us

TWC and NWS calling for gusts to at least 35 even here, I wouldnt be surprised to see the blizzard watch extended west to NYC at some pt. But all the same blizzard does not mean more snow, what I do know is OEM has a alrt when blizzard warnings go out that goes off on all smartphones, I remember the enourmous sound one year when there was one hoisted at work and hundreds of phones went off it was great, everyone came to me HOW DID YOU KNOW!

I can't believe since yesterday afternoon I'm stuck up in Poughkeepsie for my sins soccer tournament and had to miss all the fireworks. Ill be on again this afternoon. My phone sucks I had to borrow someone's

It has all the makings of one, if another tick west trend today I think blizzard watch

Going to put together a detailed blog analysis for today. That will be the 3 pm update along with a 1st guess snow map. The 6z GFS ensembles look ominously close to the 00z euro ensembles. Both are in agreement of a Roidzilla for NYC, in other words, 24 inches of snow. The dynamics at play here is something I've never seen before in my life.

That's awesome yet scary at the same tume Frank lol

My 8 year old daughter just waked in and she loves snow, looked at your picture and wanted me to let you know she loves your picture.

SoulSingMG wrote:Accuweather map means business; Everyone is on board. Even TWC map has NYC in 12-18" snows

A thing of beauty!!!!!!!!!!

Shocked holly didn't go straight to blizzard watch in Monmouth and ocean

I noticed something on AccuWeather phone app. My family In caldwell 12-18. Staten Island they Word 1-2 feet.

No one ever predicted this monster to arise

RJB accuwx text is always messed up, mine says 1-2 feet but in daily totals it says final total near 1 foot, pfff, when will they latch on, they also calling for wind gusts to 58mph tuesday, I doubt that in southern westchester but I guess it possible with a bit further west tick or more amplification, banking on about 35-40mph I would say which is still blizzard criteria or close. I wonder when OEM in NYC starts to plan. there is no way mta can run in this. I can laso see places going itno state of emergency.

And where was that accuwx snow map found bc all i see is their old story from yesterday.

nvm i just copied it but wanted story to post on my fb.

jman euro has us in the bulls eye. 28" without ratios! omg! never seen a map like that for us.

I know AL I was up lol, ya wimp your a mod! JK anyways do you forsee the NWS snowfall map increasing and b watch extending into the area? Because I see both going up.

question for frank and scott or whoever can answer. nws as of right now has 10:1 ratios. what is the most likely ratios for this storm? is it to early to figure it out?

algae888 wrote:jman euro has us in the bulls eye. 28" without ratios! omg! never seen a map like that for us.

125 year type event.Blizzard 1888.

Not being greedy but im hoping a tick west to get in that 15 to 30 range lol

jmanley32 wrote:I know AL I was up lol, ya wimp your a mod! JK anyways do you forsee the NWS snowfall map increasing and b watch extending into the area? Because I see both going up.

lol. hey i'm not as young as some of you on here plus I was up 2 straight nights tracking and following last storm as I had a hunch it would over perform. and yes if 12z stay the same I think nws will issue the b warning for most of us

Ratios are 12:1 15:1 20:1 depending where you are

algae888 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:I know AL I was up lol, ya wimp your a mod! JK anyways do you forsee the NWS snowfall map increasing and b watch extending into the area? Because I see both going up.

lol. hey i'm not as young as some of you on here plus I was up 2 straight nights tracking and following last storm as I had a hunch it would over perform. and yes if 12z stay the same I think nws will issue the b warning for most of us

Whew, I get tired just reading this,Al. Great work !

tks skins and btw everyone enjoy today partly sunny and 40* for high. after this all down hill for awhile. well not for us on here it.lol

Oh great its not even storming yet and my power just cut out for a second! crashed my computer thank god its ok, i think I should probably put the battery on as reserve.

skinsfan1177 wrote:Ratios are 12:1 15:1 20:1 depending where you are

When the bulk of the snow falls up here, it will be about 20 degrees.They predict 10 to 14 with a 10:1 ratio.How do I calculate what I would get with that temp?

algae888 wrote:question for frank and scott or whoever can answer. nws as of right now has 10:1 ratios. what is the most likely ratios for this storm? is it to early to figure it out?

Im not sure there is one solid answer for that Al.    Because the duration the storm is so long the ratios will vary higher and lower ever so slightly as we go thru time for any given location.  During the storm we are going to need to look at surface and mid layer temp profiles at any given time and location to know the answer to your question.  The warmest 850mb temp profile I saw was -4* over LI and that was only for a brief period.  In general I think 10-12:1 is the lowest ratio I think we see and that's over S and Eastern locations, I do not think periods of 20:1 ratios or perhaps a touch higher is not out of the question N and W of NYC as well as into N CT and Ma.