FEB 14th-15th STORM POTENTIAL

It's crazy everything one minute trends better then it's like ah a few inches talk about roller coaster

No one really knows what totals will be skins, verbatim cmc was a pretty big hit, euro was moderate. gfs ehh but I am not locking onto gfs yet if it goes south at 10z or 00z for those who do not trust 18z then im game. Its fun just watching. And ya maine dayumm

Frank, Is there a link on this board where you keep a listing of defined terms that you guys constantly use to explain what's going on (i.e. Godzilla, Norlun trough, model names/times/ranges etc.)?. If there isn't I think it would be helpful for us newbies. I know we can look on Google but its probably better explained by you guys.

00z Friday like tonight? or 00z sat? meaning tomorrow night?

Do you by any chance have any thoughts of how far south of NYC right now it is trending...we are 50 miles...(BD/VD plans this weekend)....just curious..and would not mind..changing things up....I remember Boxing Day storm as well..we had 30 people coming over and as the hours past the predictions of snow totals got bigger and bigger..lol...we had a lot of cancellations and a few people got to sleep over and enjoy all the food in the house..that was a fantastic storm!! Thanks in advance!!

National Weather Service will probably issue winter storm watches for Suffolk County and parts of coastal Connecticut but I believe they'll be very conservative for the rest of the area with so much discrepancy between the models and have busted on the last several storms

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:I guess I will be staying up for the 00z runs tonight

LOL and ur mad about that?  Lets hope and have some fun, I have a good feeling we see blizzard warnings and at least 6+ inches with rations from NYC/ immediate suburbs east.  If not then so be it but I just have a good feeling, yet also this edgy feeling at the same time.

WHAT DID I TELL YOU ABOUT THE B WORD?!?

;-)

algae888 wrote:National Weather Service will probably issue winter storm watches for Suffolk County and parts of coastal Connecticut but I believe they'll be very conservative for the rest of the area with so much discrepancy between the models and have busted on the last several storms

hey al, I think they will include nyc metro but maybe later than the areas u mention, as its a highly volatile setup. BTW hello stranger.

SoulSingMG wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:I guess I will be staying up for the 00z runs tonight

LOL and ur mad about that?  Lets hope and have some fun, I have a good feeling we see blizzard warnings and at least 6+ inches with rations from NYC/ immediate suburbs east.  If not then so be it but I just have a good feeling, yet also this edgy feeling at the same time.

WHAT DID I TELL YOU ABOUT THE B WORD?!?

;-)

hey frank said it first! look back to the cmc posts. lol, and now we have two b words so you have to be more specific. lol

hello John I've been following but I'm trying my best not to get sucked into this. look at what happened today a few flurries that's it. if the Norlun doesn't set up right we're only going to get a few snow showers and snow squalls which will be hit and miss so playing it conservative.  by the way doc and CP I'm the speedboat that's flying by you guys.lol come on CMC!!!!

algae888 wrote:hello John I've been following but I'm trying my best not to get sucked into this. look at what happened today a few flurries that's it. if the Norlun doesn't set up right we're only going to get a few snow showers and snow squalls which will be hit and miss so playing it conservative.  by the way doc and CP I'm the speedboat that's flying by you guys.lol

Excellent

I think I will have a blog up about both systems tonight.

Can anyone sum up today's runs

skinsfan1177 wrote:Can anyone sum up today's runs

In one word?

Awesome.

Bernie Rayno just tweeted he's updating his video soon and that NE is the spot, NYC is a tough call.

That's better than his previous thoughts!

To me im still seeing wide right New England storm and maybe a few inches for us, again, LI will likely see more.significant snowfall, same song and dance

my sum is wait until tonight for weekend storm to get excited and that Tuesday into Wednesdays storm has got me excited!

algae888 wrote:hello John I've been following but I'm trying my best not to get sucked into this. look at what happened today a few flurries that's it. if the Norlun doesn't set up right we're only going to get a few snow showers and snow squalls which will be hit and miss so playing it conservative.  by the way doc and CP I'm the speedboat that's flying by you guys.lol come on CMC!!!!

OK, AL ( waving to Al as he blasts by me at 60MPH soaking me with his wake).

I know its the Weather Channel but they like a light to moderate snow for most of area!

Frank_Wx wrote:

skinsfan1177 wrote:Can anyone sum up today's runs

In one word?

Awesome.

OK, that is good news and perhaps will lead to more positive trends tomorrow and tomorrow night.Lot's of tracking fun on the way!!!

starting tonight at 0 Z we should be paying close attention to the Not A Model and rgem. I believe they do better with this type of setup and forecast should be weighed heavily towards them. can't believe I just said that especially the Not A Model.lol

Frank_Wx wrote:

skinsfan1177 wrote:Can anyone sum up today's runs

In one word?

Awesome.

 That's what I was looking for Frank!!

Omg...SREFS! Clearly trying to take H5 mean trough south of our area! Look at the spread pulling toward the south

MADONNE

what does that mean for long island frank?

frank if this keeps up will the other models trending this could be a good hit for almost everyone!!

HEATMISER wrote:what does that mean for long island frank?

If correct, Godzilla.