Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5

That said, timing is still uncertain. If it manages to stop snowing late morning or early afternoon flights may resume without any delays depending on the severity of the storm and how much snow fell. A lot of factors still to consider. If you rather be safe than sorry reschedule to Wednesday. Might have to wait until tomorrow night to make a decision.

Frank_Wx wrote:

aiannone wrote:I am going back to school tomorrow afternoon. Looks like I'm going to miss this one

Coast > Interior

haha

This year, I can't argue with that. Biggest Storm all year was a slow pileup of 7" and it only happened once. Rest of the storms were like 2-4". Cold has been brutal up there though. We had -46* wind chills a couple weeks ago there.

Frank_Wx wrote:Another factor to consider: Ratios

They may start as 9:1 but could end as high as 20:1 in some spots. So areas to the N&W who do not get into the heaviest precip may get just as much as S&E area due to ratios. Temps are going to come crashing and get down to record levels by Friday

Frank, that's the HV Effect CP talks about and I have seen it with my own eyes living up here this past winter.CP is a man whose serious about his stats and is to be believed!!!!

aiannone wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

aiannone wrote:I am going back to school tomorrow afternoon. Looks like I'm going to miss this one

Coast > Interior

haha

This year, I can't argue with that. Biggest Storm all year was a slow pileup of 7" and it only happened once. Rest of the storms were like 2-4". Cold has been brutal up there though. We had -46* wind chills a couple weeks ago there.

Brutal cold like that is not even enjoyable. Once it's below +10*F I hibernate inside. I must say, besides LES, interior over recent years has had a tough time getting large scale synoptic events.

Alex, I think your location up there was too far W to get into the Boston Blasts.Welcome to the club (Doc in HV NY).

docstox12 wrote:Alex, I think your location up there was too far W to get into the Boston Blasts.Welcome to the club (Doc in HV NY).

Yupp we were. Flurries to a couple inches at most.

Frank_Wx wrote:

aiannone wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

aiannone wrote:I am going back to school tomorrow afternoon. Looks like I'm going to miss this one

Coast > Interior

haha

This year, I can't argue with that. Biggest Storm all year was a slow pileup of 7" and it only happened once. Rest of the storms were like 2-4". Cold has been brutal up there though. We had -46* wind chills a couple weeks ago there.

Brutal cold like that is not even enjoyable. Once it's below +10*F I hibernate inside. I must say, besides LES, interior over recent years has had a tough time getting large scale synoptic events.

Yea storms above 6" are rare up there to begin with and have been even more hard to come by over the recent years. Maybe late March will deliver something there. Usually that's when they occur.

We had the cold but never the big time moisture.

Frank_Wx wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

sroc4 wrote:Just keep in mind global models have done poorly with these types of set ups.  Lets see how the rgem, Nam when in range etc do as we get into Wed.  

UKIE is amp'd and cold. At least 8-12" for the area, I believe.

Nice, close enough to a Godzilla, I still have hope but will not complain for 8-12.  These 3-6 inchers are getting boring though I will still take it.

You're getting spoiled Jman.  3 to 6" is a good storm around here!!!

I agree. The 8-12"+ storms are not common around here. I welcome 3-6" with open arms any day of the week

8-12 inch storms are not common in most places in the country, if you mean by common like a few times a season. Consider NYC has had 64 snowfalls of 10 inches or greater in a 145 year period or approx once every two years.

The only places that see on average two or more of those a year are favorite lake effect areas, and northern parts of New York and northern New England and of course various places in the Rockies and that's about it.

The ukie snow map just came out and it looks absolutely incredible!

Not sure if I can post it on here because it's from wx bell and I'm on mobile, but it's 8"-14" areawide with 10:1 ratio!

snow247 wrote:The ukie snow map just came out and it looks absolutely incredible!

Map please Snow?

GEFS!!! They are Tom Petty?? How do you say? Petty fans? Anyone? Anyone? Buehler? Fry





WON"T BACK DOWN!!!!

SREF's getting wetter each run and more NW - come on baby come to Poppa Mugs!!

Is timing on this storm Thursday morning or night?

Wednesday about midnight through Thurs. evening

Ukie Snow map!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
UKIE< UKIE< UKIE!!!




SREF

Not sure if anyone caught this or not...Look at the title of this thread?? Is it like the movie groundhog day? we trying to live thru the month of February again!!! LOL, I guess everyone is so caught up in the storm didnt realize the date is off by a month!!!

Frank_Wx wrote:That said, timing is still uncertain. If it manages to stop snowing late morning or early afternoon flights may resume without any delays depending on the severity of the storm and how much snow fell. A lot of factors still to consider. If you rather be safe than sorry reschedule to Wednesday. Might have to wait until tomorrow night to make a decision.

 Frank - great thanks for the knowledge.  Keep up the good work!

But Frank already took the "Godzilla Potential" down off the Banner, LOL

amugs wrote:GEFS!!! They are Tom Petty?? How do you say? Petty fans? Anyone? Anyone? Buehler? Fry





WON"T BACK DOWN!!!!

Love Tom Petty, one of my top five of all time.

amugs wrote:Wednesday about midnight through Thurs. evening

Ukie Snow map!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
UKIE< UKIE< UKIE!!!




SREF

Where do I sign for the ukie?

Gosh darn it I wish this storm were tonight - ugghhh!!

Synoptics and pattern looking very good at this point - H5,H7 levels look nice - ticking NW IMO. Good snow growth at the 700 level as well. NYC may start as rain and then quickly switch to snow - those details are too far out now so let's get through tomorrow night - for Petes sake RGEM showing .25 - .75 of sleet for NNJ

I will take sref right now thank you. All winter the nw tick happens this far out and then by the time weds. comes its south and east that gets crushed feelling BIG SNOWS for Coastal plain IMO.

Trends are looking really awesome i hope the current storm tues-wed isn't playing screwy with the models

FWIW the 18z NAM is about to DELIVER THE GOODS I think........

yes it does say 2/5 lol, totally missed that. UKIE! Sign me up NOW! Such a big difference than other models though, highest as of right now. So I would take caution to that. If others trend I am sure Frank would put back his Go0dzilla potential, but not enough support, even UKIE is mainly 8-12 which is not a Godzilla, but still damn good!

Might be further northwest though