Re: Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5

by **rb924119** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:51 pm

You have total QPF for the UKMET, Frank?

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:53 pm

00z GEFS - Madonne

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f54

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f60

by **rb924119** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:53 pm

Yeah, NYC and south gonna get nailed. Pretty much the Op now :/

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:54 pm

Destroys NYC and south but N&W does very well, too

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 GFS-ENS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f66

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:56 pm

I am stopping at the GEFS tonight so I go to bed happy. Buonanotte amici

by Yschiff Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:56 pm

GEFS!!!!

by Biggin23 Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:56 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Destroys NYC and south but N&W does very well, too

by **rb924119** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:56 pm

You ready for this??? Ensemble mean total snowfall based on 10:1

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/00/snosums/0072/GFS_00_enUS_SF_0072.png

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:57 pm

rb924119 wrote:You have total QPF for the UKMET, Frank?

Nope, that will be a long time. Gotta check it tomorrow. But everything kind of looks to be in agreement now? Besides the NAM of course. This leaves me kinda worried hahaha.

Goodnight

by Yschiff Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:58 pm

So that's like 12 - 18 inches with ratios?

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:59 pm

rb924119 wrote:You ready for this??? Ensemble mean total snowfall based on 10:1

http://www.earthsat.com/misc/mod-images/GFS/EN/00/snosums/0072/GFS_00_enUS_SF_0072.png

WE ALL WIN

by **jimv45** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:59 pm

Looks like a good storm for everyone still got to get through tomorrow night too.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:59 pm

Yschiff wrote:So that's like 12 - 18 inches with ratios?

No. Everyone is 8-12 probably, including northern peeps. Probably a 12+ area around central/southern NJ

by **rb924119** Mon Mar 02, 2015 11:59 pm

Yeah me too. The precipitation shield is more expansive, the snowfall totals reflect that. Screw it; it's snow NOT rain/slop. Hopefully I'll see the EURO and the rest of the 06z guidance in line with the NAM lmfao 'Night all!!!

by **rb924119** Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:01 am

I am going to expect (hope) for a continued northward trend over night lmao

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:03 am

Ray, it came out! UKMET total precip. No way of telling how much of this is snow

Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 PA_036-072_0000

by dsvinos Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:28 am

Oh my goodness...is this precp for Thursday only?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:31 am

dsvinos wrote:Oh my goodness...is this precp for Thursday only?

Yes. This does not include anything before noon on Wednesday. Remember it is in mm though and it's liquid equivalent to 25 = 1 inch of liquid or roughly 10 inches of snow. In southern jersey all of that is most likely not all snow even in CNJ some will be sleet or freezing rain. As always that can be subject to change.

by **SoulSingMG** Tue Mar 03, 2015 1:21 am

Euro 00z rocks NYC's world, shakes out 9-12 inches! We are in the GAME, kids.

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Mar 03, 2015 2:07 am

So every model with exception to the Nam is a big hit for Sun,cnj, NYC area. Only the Nam is north and not a big hit for cnj. So imo the Nam is in it's own world and can't be taken seriously .

by **algae888** Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:43 am

6z nam has started it's s/e shift. nice hit for whole area.
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 Nam_namer_057_850_temp_mslp_precip

by **snow247** Tue Mar 03, 2015 3:50 am

Now I'm hoping for only an expansion north with the heaviest stuff (50-75 miles or so) and a large increase in QPF for us HV guys to get in the game more! Then we are all golden.

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Mar 03, 2015 5:01 am

So it has begun with the Nam shifting s/e I guess it's catching on to the other models

by **algae888** Tue Mar 03, 2015 5:19 am

4k nam snow map for both storms
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 Nam4km_asnow_us_21

could be some sleet acc with this map

by **SNOW MAN** Tue Mar 03, 2015 5:20 am

Does anyone have an idea when this will come to an end on Thursday ?
Local Mets still calling for flurries for my area.

by **algae888** Tue Mar 03, 2015 5:21 am

6z gfs stayed about the same as 00z.
Possible Snowstorm Thursday, 3/5 - Page 19 Gfs_asnow_us_15

2 storm totals

by **skinsfan1177** Tue Mar 03, 2015 5:22 am

Just watched ABC news and they are calling for 1-3 inches weds night into Thursday. I understand why they play conservative but how can you with all models showing big snows. Maybe they are concerned when the change over to snow occurs. If it verify with 6 plus inches and all that rain that has fallen talk about a slop fest. But then again for US plowing guys the underneath layer may work for us it should peel it right to the blacktop which is what us plow guys like lol

by Sponsored content