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3/20 Spring Snowstorm Observations / Final Call Snow Map

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Post by algae888 Fri Mar 20, 2015 5:27 am

well temps are between 33-35* for the city and urban nnj. temps should rise now in these area's until precip starts (around noon). I could see some of these locales getting to 40* by late morning. going to be real hard to accumulate in these area's.
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Post by snow247 Fri Mar 20, 2015 5:29 am

@2004blackwrx wrote:So frustrating to see more snow south.

I'm used to it lol, it's crazy.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 20, 2015 5:49 am

When I saw the NAM yesterday and 00Z RGEM, I knew this was going south.Glad you are used to it because that has been the trend for the last five years.What it is, I do not know, but until that trend is decisively broken, it remains.Just glad I got almost 70 inches this season, even with the Juno big bust up here.What set us straight up here was the November storm, a classic snowstorm favoring the N and W areas.We got 9 inches and southern areas got nil.

Anyway,26 degrees here and radar looks pretty good.Just want to hit 70 inches with this storm.Also will be fun to watch.Very well may be the last accumulating snow until next Fall-Winter.
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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 20, 2015 6:12 am

@algae888 wrote:latest nws snow map
3/20 Spring Snowstorm Observations / Final Call Snow Map - Page 2 StormTotalSnowFcst

That's 4!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 20, 2015 6:37 am

24* wading River. Current dew point is 13*

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by Guest Fri Mar 20, 2015 6:47 am

30 in Syosset. Dew point 14. we're good. I got ya Doc!!! Razz Razz Razz

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Mar 20, 2015 7:15 am

Looks like it's moving in quickly but I think that's virga. Could start between 9-10am now.

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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 20, 2015 7:23 am

Yeah dew points are pretty low area wide. Some of it has to be virga.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by Dtone Fri Mar 20, 2015 7:33 am

34* here

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Post by Dtone Fri Mar 20, 2015 7:33 am

34* here

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Post by rb924119 Fri Mar 20, 2015 7:53 am

I think we will be seeing virga for a while, especially across central and northern NJ, eastern PA, the lower Hudson Valley, and Long Island. Dew points here are in the single-digits and teens with temps in the 20s and 30s. That's going to take a few hours to saturate through to the surface....at least.

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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 20, 2015 8:01 am

syosnow94 wrote:30 in Syosset.  Dew point 14.  we're good.  I got ya Doc!!! Razz Razz Razz

Whoa Nellie, there, Pal.It hasn't started yet and as Doc said, that was the fourth map!!!

I got my ruler ready!!!!!!!!

Cloudy, no wind.Virga about to arrive.Radar shows a good deal of snow N and W of me so that's a good sign for me, I think?
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 20, 2015 8:05 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:Looks like it's moving in quickly but I think that's virga. Could start between 9-10am now.

That's a few hours earlier, Frank.Guess this little baby is moving quick!
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Mar 20, 2015 8:07 am

25 and waiting on the virga.

Here in the northern suburbs I'm expecting a snooze fest. Heaviest precip keeps nudging south, anti-virga looks like it will be the code word again today up here. Anything more than 2 inches will surprise me.

Our storm will come in April when even I won't care, well maybe a little.

Doc stop looking at the radar, didn't you learn your lesson from the last storm? Meaningless

Just make sure the humidity continues increasing today not decreasing.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 20, 2015 8:16 am

You're always right, CP, I shouldn't bother with the radar.Just going to look out my window.Humidity only 35 percent.Forgot all about that and I will watch it.

This particular pattern that got locked in had storms that went S and E this season but nonetheless giving us a "ham and egg" or journyman's winter, no big blowout storms but a lot of smaller events that added up nicely.

I'm locked in a race here with Jimmy out in LI to see who hits 70 inches,LOL!

Oh, and if we get an event in April like we did in November, you'll get lit up for it.Once a snow weenie, always.... Your fellow addict, DOC

Oh, 26, cloudy, 35% and the Doc Radar( my eyeballs) see NADA
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Post by Quietace Fri Mar 20, 2015 8:25 am

36.7 degrees haha

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Post by Guest Fri Mar 20, 2015 8:45 am

I'm a nowcast radar guy and looking at it, the radar looks bad. One narrow decent band from NYC west all the way to extreme western PA. Mad Mad Mad The returns are moving due east so IMO anyone north of central NJ will see very little accumulating snow, UNLESS it starts filling in.

Hope I'm wrong.

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Post by sroc4 Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:08 am

I personally dont think the heaviest precip occurs until mid to late afternoon at the earliest...esp out here on LI  Long way to go.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by Quietace Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:10 am

38.1 haha

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Post by rb924119 Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:17 am

I think that I may have a very few very lost snow flakes outside ahaha current temp is 22. No wind.

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Post by devsman Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:18 am

Love syo. Storm is still hours away yet it's already a bust. LOL. Best snows won't be around til between 4 and 5pm. Let's just give it a chance.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:24 am

@rb924119 wrote:I think that I may have a very few very lost snow flakes outside ahaha current temp is 22. No wind.

rb, feel sorry for you Man, you've been the outlier all winter season with these storms S and E bias.We need a coastal from the Gulf a little west of the BM to get blasted N and W.Ain't happening this season.

Cloudy,humidity dropping to 33%, 28 degrees.Nary a flake,LOL!
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Post by Guest Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:27 am

2 things.

1. I never said "bust" I said the radar doesn't look good so I'm not confident about accumulating snows right now.

2. Quietace has to be the most contrarian/negative person on this board when it comes to a snow forecast rabbit rabbit

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Post by Guest Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:28 am

Radar from about State College west looks good. From there east just spotty light returns. Moving due east. I'll put my trust in what sroc4 said for now!!

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Mar 20, 2015 9:31 am

We already have some good frontogenesis over the area. Once it starts snowing it should come down rather heavily.

3/20 Spring Snowstorm Observations / Final Call Snow Map - Page 2 7fnt

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