Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

by **NjWeatherGuy** Wed Dec 02, 2015 8:35 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:Nothing ticks me off more than rain this time of the year. With all the xmas lights and displays I have outside, it causes havoc when moisture gets inside of them and knocks them out due to my outlet which has a safety feature if it senses moisture. I was just out there for an hour fishing for the bad line! Arrgghh!!!

I usually dont put mine up until it starts to cool down, ill wait until after next weeks soaker then put em up. After that it may get interesting pattern wise.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Dec 02, 2015 9:01 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Frank your snowstorm is making the bottom of my browser twitch and flicker (not to mention myself wishing to see some white instead of wet) lol, is that happening to anyone else?

Yes! It's annoying. I'll try to fix it this weekend. If I can't I'm taking it away haha

by **HectorO** Wed Dec 02, 2015 10:50 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:Nothing ticks me off more than rain this time of the year. With all the xmas lights and displays I have outside, it causes havoc when moisture gets inside of them and knocks them out due to my outlet which has a safety feature if it senses moisture. I was just out there for an hour fishing for the bad line! Arrgghh!!!

I usually dont put mine up until it starts to cool down, ill wait until after next weeks soaker then put em up. After that it may get interesting pattern wise.

I remember warlock from the ABC board. He said he refused to put lights up until it snowed. I'm sure he went plenty of Decembers without putting them up. Last year it snowed on my birthday and two years before that I believe it did too.

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Dec 02, 2015 11:10 pm

algae888 wrote:
HectorO wrote:
algae888 wrote:Jman my expectations for this winter is much lower than the previous ones. That doesn't mean that we will not experience any winter weather of course we will. to have a 4th year in a row of above normal snowfall.....well that doesn't happen very often.

4? Are you including 11/12? Because that winter was awful.
Hector the last 3 years where above normal snowfall that includes 12/13, 13/14, and 14/15. If this year ends up above normal it would make it the 4th year in a row. the chances of that happening are low. maybe mike (math) can look up how many times we had above normal snowfall for four consecutive years.

2012/13 was not an above normal snowfall year, at least not in NYC, it was pretty much an average year by all historical standards.

There were 26.1 inches that season in Central Park, the historical average is 28.8 inches and the 30 year average is 25.8, so we've had 2 consecutive seasons above average. Of course the last 2 years have been over 50 inches in NYC and that has only happened in consecutive years 4 times.

If NYC did go over 50 inches this season it would be the first time that has happened in 3 consecutive years. With this current pattern the odds of that happening are about 1,000 to 1 against.

by **amugs** Thu Dec 03, 2015 12:59 pm

Do anyone know why we will get this storm??????

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f336

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f348

CAUSE ITS MY FRIGGIN BDAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! lol!

AND JIM WITT IS CALLING FOR!

by **amugs** Thu Dec 03, 2015 1:08 pm

HAPPY BDAY ME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_48

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Dec 03, 2015 2:30 pm

Mugsy, if that does show up, I'll meet you at Cornerstone to track it and buy you some birthday drinks after you celebrate with the family party

by **amugs** Thu Dec 03, 2015 3:39 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Mugsy, if that does show up, I'll meet you at Cornerstone to track it and buy you some birthday drinks after you celebrate with the family

As the great Austin powers would say:

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Dec 03, 2015 4:30 pm

Mugs for your sake I hope your right. My birthday Nov 9 it was freezing cold and I had to be at work at 6am.

by **amugs** Thu Dec 03, 2015 7:41 pm

Nor is back!!!!
Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_21

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Dec 03, 2015 7:45 pm

Thought GFS has been showing it and cmc. Euro a little different

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:29 am

W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f348

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:30 am

The lack of patience this year is poorer than syosnow's was last year Wink

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:30 am

Frank_Wx wrote:W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

Point Pleasant jackpot.

by **sroc4** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:31 am

amugs wrote:Nor is back!!!!

Mugs thats 18z yesterday...sorry bud

by **NjWeatherGuy** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:34 am

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=348&image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_348_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151204+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:40 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=348&image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_348_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151204+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area

Nice Miller A. Verbatim, it is a tad warm. Easterly fetch and undeveloped low.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:42 am

Quietace wrote:
NjWeatherGuy wrote:http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=348&image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_348_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151204+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area
Nice Miller A. Verbatim, it is warm. Easterly fetch and undeveloped low.

Yup, though over time these type of coastal systems trend colder as we get closer. I am not buying into the -NAO block just yet. If that is still on the models by next week I would be VERY excited.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Fri Dec 04, 2015 9:45 am

That would be a wide spread storm if it verified, so many lately were so compact to the low, thats a true big miller A I havent seen in a while besides Feb 2014.

by **sabamfa** Fri Dec 04, 2015 12:00 pm

Any idea on the odds of this happening? Or if the date could change? I bought my dad tickets to something in the city for that afternoon and it so seems like it wasn't meant to be =\

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Fri Dec 04, 2015 12:23 pm

Quietace wrote:The lack of patience this year is poorer than syosnow's was last year

The warmest autumn and November ever recorded in these parts will do that.

by **sroc4** Fri Dec 04, 2015 12:29 pm

Quietace wrote:The lack of patience this year is poorer than syosnow's was last year

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 - Page 18 Best-boxing-combo-jab-jab-cross

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 04, 2015 1:27 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
Quietace wrote:The lack of patience this year is poorer than syosnow's was last year

The warmest autumn and November ever recorded in these parts will do that.

Just wait until Summer arrives in March similar to 2011....... Sleep

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 04, 2015 1:30 pm

by **Taffy** Fri Dec 04, 2015 2:24 pm

Many are preaching patience........that's a virtue I can hardly wait for! told ya

by **Quietace** Fri Dec 04, 2015 4:48 pm

One thing that may elate folks early on this winter is the premise that if NYC metro has R+,Boston will also have a high probability of R+ with coastal systems....Especially with polar air corralled north of the border. At least Boston will not be thrashing you guys.

by **jmanley32** Fri Dec 04, 2015 6:56 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

wow of course that has to happen when I have paid uncancellable plans in eastern ct and would b on I 95 at this exact time. That would b fun!

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