Re: Wx Banter Thread 2.0

[Quietace]

One thing that may elate folks early on this winter is the premise that if NYC metro has R+,Boston will also have a high probability of R+ with coastal systems....Especially with polar air corralled north of the border. At least Boston will not be thrashing you guys.

[jmanley32]

W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

wow of course that has to happen when I have paid uncancellable plans in eastern ct and would b on I 95 at this exact time. That would b fun!

[jmanley32]

W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

Point Pleasant jackpot.

I jackpot there too I'll have to watch this I have paid plans if it's bad enough and it's a big if I can get a cancellation. What's up with watching 348 hrs lol I used get crap about that we are all desperate lol

[NjWeatherGuy]

12z run showed a GLC and the 18z run shows an amped up hugger which is mixing solution with heavy snow inland. This timeframe should be watched.

[jmanley32]

Instantweathermaps.com only place I know u can see snow totals to 384 hrs. No runs show snow anywhere near coast all well inland. The cutter one crushes upstate with 2 feet!

[jmanley32]

12z run showed a GLC and the 18z run shows an amped up hugger which is mixing solution with heavy snow inland. This timeframe should be watched.

14 days away still find it funny u guys are all get excited thus far out. I don't even bother anymore until 5 to.7 days. 14 is fantasyland. End next week if still there I'll start get excited.

[Quietace]

W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

Point Pleasant jackpot.

I jackpot there too I'll have to watch this I have paid plans if it's bad enough and it's a big if I can get a cancellation. What's up with watching 348 hrs lol I used get crap about that we are all desperate lol

Yeah, jackpot of moderate rain with moderate gusts out of the east. Just a tease of what all winter will be like.

[jmanley32]

W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

Point Pleasant jackpot.

I jackpot there too I'll have to watch this I have paid plans if it's bad enough and it's a big if I can get a cancellation. What's up with watching 348 hrs lol I used get crap about that we are all desperate lol

Yeah, jackpot of moderate rain with moderate gusts out of the east. Just a tease of what all winter will be like.

Frank said it would be a godzilla verbatim, unless he was joking but the 0 line is way offshore.

So here is my totally made up winter storm forecast, lol can you tell I am bored?

Now till the new year: One big storm, high winds, inland snow (maybe heavy) ice storm just inland from coast and sroc and syo get all rain : )

January will see the change and will get much colder and lets go with Franks timeframe and we get a Roidzilla, not just a godzilla. Then maybe one or two other smaller storms.

February is really cold with a few warmer days and constant snow and a giant blizzard for alll!! Frankzilla : )

March terrible ice storms galaore (not wishing this on anyone remember I just making this all up.)

[amugs]

MY BDAY STORM CHUGGING ALONG HOLY HANNAH AND THE 5OO LOOKS GOOD!!

[amugs]

That deep blue spot is over me, janet, cp ,doc and Hector YEAH BABY!!

[amugs]

I will gladly take this big cutter on the 14th to set up a 50/59 block fir the next one on the 17th as the stj pumps and some cold air gets wrapped in behind the system as it deepens while going up into HBAY area.

[amugs]

Here is I am talking about

[NjWeatherGuy]

Seeing that signal on the CMC too, a ways to go before this storm comes into range, into fantasy land but GLCs can be notoriously predictable and can set the stage for a general pattern for this to occur. Now we wait...

http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=240

[Quietace]

W00T W00T hop on the Arctic Express - 06z GFS showing Godzilla on 12/18

Point Pleasant jackpot.

I jackpot there too I'll have to watch this I have paid plans if it's bad enough and it's a big if I can get a cancellation. What's up with watching 348 hrs lol I used get crap about that we are all desperate lol

Yeah, jackpot of moderate rain with moderate gusts out of the east. Just a tease of what all winter will be like.

Frank said it would be a godzilla verbatim, unless he was joking but the 0 line is way offshore.

So here is my totally made up winter storm forecast, lol can you tell I am bored?

Now till the new year: One big storm, high winds, inland snow (maybe heavy) ice storm just inland from coast and sroc and syo get all rain : )

January will see the change and will get much colder and lets go with Franks timeframe and we get a Roidzilla, not just a godzilla.  Then maybe one or two other smaller storms.

February is really cold with a few warmer days and constant snow and a giant blizzard for alll!! Frankzilla : )

March terrible ice storms galaore (not wishing this on anyone remember I just making this all up.)

Just as a result of the 0*c Isotherm locating in a favorable position offshore does not equivalate a conductive surface for accumulating snow.

[sroc4]

Kind of cool if anyone is interested: http://gizmodo.com/why-the-brutal-sea-voyages-of-the-19th-century-are-so-i-1746205997

[jmanley32]

Ace I was just messing around. On a more real note wow 12z euro seriously intense 966mb cutter brings us heavy rain and 50 to 60 kt wind gusts verbatim around 8 to 10 day. That possibly could change our pattern? I'm fine with wait till Jan too much running around to do this month. I'll take a good windstorm though heh. Yeah so I have ptsd from wizard of Oz lmao

[skinsfan1177]

Is their a get together in Janruary.

[amugs]

EPS at 240



GFS at 240




AK vortex weakening, height rising in NW Canada and heights shifting N from our area into SE CAN and Greenland area.

[amugs]

EPS at 240



GFS at 240




Look at 18z at 240 - Improvement?? Hells yes !!



Okay -epo and - nao showing up - not toooooo far out there like hrs 340. We can start to work with this I say. Maybe transient but beats the hell out of this upcoming week. Strong cutters I will take now and they will help us down the road

[Guest]

Just thought I would post this for all of us impatiently waiting for snow here on the East Coast. This forecast is from NOAA for the area near Mt Raineer, Washinton State south of Seattle in the mountains.

Today
Snow before 10am, then snow showers after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 13 by 4pm. Windy, with a southwest wind 37 to 42 mph increasing to 43 to 48 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible.
Tonight
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 21 by 9pm. Windy, with a southwest wind 33 to 37 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 28 to 34 inches possible.
Monday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to near 25 by 9am, then falling to around 16 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with a west southwest wind 32 to 37 mph increasing to 42 to 47 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible.
Monday Night
Snow. Low around 12. Windy, with a west southwest wind 33 to 43 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible.
Tuesday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Windy, with a southwest wind 46 to 49 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 36 to 42 inches possible.
Tuesday Night
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 15. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 31 to 37 inches possible.

THATS ANYWHERE FROM 163" to 199" FROM NOW TILL TUESDAY NIGHT. THAT's 3" PER HOUR AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT 60 HOURS. HOLY SHIT I WANNA LIVE THERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Frank_Wx]

I think I know where our next get together will be...

[Grselig]

it will snow Christmas week. Godzilla. I will be in Florida at that time so that's how I know. There will be flood warnings as a result of my crying.

[jmanley32]

Dang, 1st cutter, or close to a apps runner on this run as it appears, really ramps up gives us about 24 hrs of winds 40mph plus this being the height. Yet very little rain so I am not sure those winds could mix down even though these are marked as surface gusts. Still that will be pretty wild if it happens, imagine if it was coupled with snow....accuwx has ice and some snow in the week after that too haha.

[jmanley32]

Interesting the GFS gets nowhere near as intense, thats not usual for Euro to exceed the GFS and CMC.

[jmanley32]

Just thought I would post this for all of us impatiently waiting for snow here on the East Coast.  This forecast is from NOAA for the area near Mt Raineer, Washinton State south of Seattle in the mountains.

Today
Snow before 10am, then snow showers after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 13 by 4pm. Windy, with a southwest wind 37 to 42 mph increasing to 43 to 48 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible.
Tonight
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to around 21 by 9pm. Windy, with a southwest wind 33 to 37 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 28 to 34 inches possible.
Monday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Temperature rising to near 25 by 9am, then falling to around 16 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with a west southwest wind 32 to 37 mph increasing to 42 to 47 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible.
Monday Night
Snow. Low around 12. Windy, with a west southwest wind 33 to 43 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible.
Tuesday
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Windy, with a southwest wind 46 to 49 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 36 to 42 inches possible.
Tuesday Night
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 15. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 31 to 37 inches possible.

THATS ANYWHERE FROM 163" to 199" FROM NOW TILL TUESDAY NIGHT.  THAT's 3" PER HOUR AVERAGE FOR THE NEXT 60 HOURS.                 HOLY SHIT I WANNA LIVE THERE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

This does not help, OMG! Thats friggin crazy, both my favorites days of high winds and rediculous snow, lucky!

[Dunnzoo]

Something cool to watch tonight..

[Snow88]

12 years ago today. Beautiful 2 part storm. One day I got 6 inches with a winter storm warning and then a blizzard warning the day after with 8 inches of snow.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/December_2003_nor'easter

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