May Observations and Discussion
+21
essexcountypete
ak926
Snow88
snow247
rb924119
RJB8525
Dunnzoo
weatherwatchermom
Dtone
dkodgis
billg315
algae888
Radz
missmorris
skinsfan1177
jmanley32
Frank_Wx
docstox12
Math23x7
frank 638
amugs
25 posters
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Thanks everyone for all the input on the weekend forecast. Stay dry people!
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
From what I'm understanding is it depends on when the transfer takes place if sooner then not as much rain coming north later transfer more rain north. Many seem to be thinking the transfer will be early. These are called Miller's b storms.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
RGEM wow THE COAST IS FRICKIN TOAST!!
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Mugs
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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
CMC says hello
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Euro still no unmet no
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
skinsfan1177 wrote:Euro still no unmet no
UKMET says YESSS!!
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
GEFS WETTER - INTERESTING NOW!!
SAYS OP IS ON CRACK
SAYS OP IS ON CRACK
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Is this go b all day or will the first half of tomorrow b ok? What will gusts b like about 30 to 40? I remember frank say add 15 to sustained. That's just nasty aweful. May have plan indoor.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
This really better hold off till late afternoon or the close to 15,000 of us at Fordham's commencement ceremonies will NOT be happy
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
amugs wrote:GEFS WETTER - INTERESTING NOW!!
SAYS OP IS ON CRACK
Why is this exciting you? WHY
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
What are the specifics at this time with winds and amounts for coastal areas
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Frank_Wx wrote:amugs wrote:GEFS WETTER - INTERESTING NOW!!
SAYS OP IS ON CRACK
Why is this exciting you? WHY
I ain't no rain lover but if it going to be crappy lets go all in not some pittly showery stuff/light rain garbage we had for a week plus earlier this month - just who I am - love a good storm - just wish it was frickin' SNOW!!!
I am going to be at the shore helping my sis get her house ready - I want to see some action waves - 8 footers would be nice.
Sorry for those who had outdoor plans.
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/user-images/573f86cbd7300.png
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
GFS is a miss wow this is crazy that just shows showers
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
skinsfan1177 wrote:GFS is a miss wow this is crazy that just shows showers
I'll take it!
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Gfs maybe out ton lunch with tjis, could very well be suffering from convective feedback issue with its two time dog year bold physics. Short Range models like gnam, em lam amd rgem still showing a solid hit. They do not suffer from this issue. Let's recall this past wintwr with these storms. May want to take the middle ground here as Frank said and make this a niwcast.
RAP buries us.
We'll see.
Anyway, beautiful fricking night tonight!
RAP buries us.
We'll see.
Anyway, beautiful fricking night tonight!
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
NAM gives the business to the NJ coast and LI.
S&E my god
S&E my god
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Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Yep, S&E, S&E.....
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Dunnzoo wrote:Yep, S&E, S&E.....
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Meanwhile, the 0Z Hi-Res NAM is a swing and a miss for NYC.
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Recent nam model still showing south and east these models are a joke can't get it right and we are hours away.
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
Its funny because almost all the models say a massive rainstorm to nothing thank god it not winter
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
The latest hrrr has no rain for the New York City area through 11 p.m. tonight. All guidance has shifted South it figures since this has been the trend lately
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
This is what I was saying a day or two ago south and east
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
The 12z nam and 4k nam have zero rainfall for the New York City area what a joke yesterday was showing 1 to 2 inches even 3 inches or more in some spots south of the city
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
So the short range models, and the GGEM, go from showing 3 inches of rain to basically nothing. Looking at the radar, it looks like we'll get basically nothing other than scattered showers. Horrible modeling with this storm.
Luckily, temps in the 80s beginning from Wednesday on with plenty of sun
Luckily, temps in the 80s beginning from Wednesday on with plenty of sun
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Re: May Observations and Discussion
The not a model is a big loser I will never trust it. Great job Euro sniffed this out days ago
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
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