HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

sroc4 wrote:

all your fault scott. well not really you but you know who?

934mb. Poor Haiti.

Jesus. That's going to do so much damage. They're so poor, they have very little infrastructure. I hope that they are prepared, but with no infrastructure to take shelter in I am very fearful.

Wow 934mb. Good chance it will regain Cat 5 status. Pray for the folks in Haiti. They're about to get demolished.

Oy I was wondering if he was strengthening. U serioys frank we can't talk bout matthew in the matthew thread lol.

Guess they missed that pressure for 8pm update 11pm I bet cat 5. Haiti is done for I saw news where people there actually admitted they may die. So sad.

Matthew seems to be growing in size from the latest satellite pic.

Why can't the leave is there no airport to st least try to get as msny people out as possible. It should b free.

nutleyblizzard wrote:
Matthew seems to be growing in size from the latest satellite pic.

I'm sorry I love storms but matthew is scary as hell. If he does decide to come this way and looks like that I may just head for canada. He is rapidly intensifting I think. We could see a high cat 5 than b4. Just astonishing look.

I heard Matthew may absorb Nicole I think that's the name of the other disturbance.

How much can hati suffer they are still rebuilding from the devastating earthquake now to this beast my prayers go out to them

skinsfan1177 wrote:I heard Matthew may absorb Nicole I think that's the name of the other disturbance.

That would b interesting. May intensify more and sheesh he like pacman. Eats every thing in site.

rb924119 wrote:Jesus. That's going to do so much damage. They're so poor, they have very little infrastructure. I hope that they are prepared, but with no infrastructure to take shelter in I am very fearful.

They only hAve shelters to hold up to 300,000 thousand....they still have 60,000 people living in tents...I am so sad for them...

Got quiet in here. All the 12z models trended to a hit 18z didnt. Doesn't mean 00z wont. And as frank said gotta look at pacific.

When are next model runs

Hurricane models are all over the place for the northeast but getting pretty close to Florida with some hitting Florida.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/14L_tracks_latest.png

I think the Euro is suffering from "summer lag". The upper levels looked so flat and "summerish" in previous model runs. Seems like it might be coming around to a more intense upper level system developing from the pacific disturbance(s).

Holy crap just read 10 pages, feeling really bad for the people of Haiti. We are definitely not out of the woods. going to be interesting run after run until we get a lock. If this beast comes at us it will set the area back several years. We are just getting over Sandy.

Snow88 wrote:Hurricane models are all over the place for the northeast but getting pretty close to Florida with some hitting Florida.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/14L_tracks_latest.png

dang was so well clustered earlier. Just back and forth. Note none are a sharp turn ots like euro. Well a few are. This changes so much though.

[quote="Joe Snow"]Holy crap just read 10 pages, feeling really bad for the people of Haiti. We are definitely not out of the woods. going to be interesting run after run until we get a lock. If this beast comes at us it will set the area back several years. We are just getting over Sandy.

 Yeah that's what has me nervous the shore area is still recovering. The beaches took a beating this past weekend from those winds and that is nothing compared to what Matthew can do

jmanley32 wrote:

Snow88 wrote:Hurricane models are all over the place for the northeast but getting pretty close to Florida with some hitting Florida.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/14L_tracks_latest.png

dang was so well clustered earlier. Just back and forth.

Looks like an even split

934 mb right now

skinsfan1177 wrote:

Joe Snow wrote:Holy crap just read 10 pages, feeling really bad for the people of Haiti. We are definitely not out of the woods. going to be interesting run after run until we get a lock. If this beast comes at us it will set the area back several years. We are just getting over Sandy.

 Yeah that's what has me nervous the shore area is still recovering. The beaches took a beating this past weekend from those winds and that is nothing compared to what Matthew can do

frank said another day and a half so that should be sometime on wed. If ypu see storm mode go up ypu know he means business.

Go go Google Earth and zoom in on Western Haiti. There really is not much there. it is the most thinly populated part of the country. You can see though a few small towns that could be wiped off the surface. The zoom in shows mostly metal clad shacks.

Les Cayes, Haiti, is going to be underneath the northeast quadrant of Matthew. 72,000 population there alone.

I did a quick elevation check from Google Earth. On the western end of Haiti, there is an east / west mountainous range with a peak elevation of around 3,400 ft. This is only 6 miles from the coast at 0 elevation. Imagine 140 mph south winds being forced up 3,000 ft in 6 miles!!, as the hurricane passes just to the west. Talk about upslope rains!!!! Maybe thats why they are saying 40 in in some spots.