Re: February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm

by **rb924119** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:31 pm

[quote="aiannone"]

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:Here is my first call for this event:

RB, NWS has less than one inch here in BGM. You thinking a less progressive system with a more westward extending precip field?

Not less progressive, just hedging my bets on a continued west shift in the modeling and also yes, a more expansive precipitation shield. I didn't realize I barely missed putting the actual city on the 6" line or just inside the 3-6" zone, though lmao I meant to, but I lost track when I had to correct a prior mistake ahaha oh well, it's close enough for a first call. I am figuring between 4/5-6-7 for you, put it that way aha

Ahh I see your point. Interesting how the SREF mean has near 10" for BGM and only 5" for ISP lol

Mixing for the coastal sections.

by **rb924119** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:49 pm

UKMET!!!!!!

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:51 pm

rb924119 wrote:UKMET!!!!!!

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 UkmetPR00.7

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 UkmetPR00.8

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:52 pm

984mb on the BM

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 Pres_short.gif.4ff05220b25eac0e53e4727ca2374f84

by **aiannone** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:52 pm

Wow even BGM cashes in on that. Looks like your map RB

by **Math23x7** Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:59 pm

Frank, I like how you have 100% on the home page for the Thursday event. If this system somehow ends up not happening, I will screen cap that and tell you the odds were not in your favor. Razz

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 08, 2017 12:06 am

aiannone wrote:Wow even BGM cashes in on that. Looks like your map RB

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 08, 2017 12:07 am

UKMET accumulations:

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 Scree100

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:04 am

It's EURO time. Laughing

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:07 am

No maps to post but hearing from several sources that the euro is SE, jackpotting Philly, C-S NJ, eastern LI.

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:13 am

Euro 00z

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 Img_2712

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:17 am

SoulSingMG wrote:Euro 00z

freaking boston! still not to shabby, let me get one for the area.

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:19 am

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:Euro 00z

freaking boston! still not to shabby, let me get one for the area.

Yeah, SE Mass is really cashing in this winter. I do think the 12z suite will balance out and jackpot us, Jman! ;-)

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:21 am

Heaviest precip shifted well S and east into eastern CT and Mass. Shoot I hope this SE thing is not a trend, Euro did deepen more though to 979 just south of LI. this is with ratios.

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 Ecmwf_29

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 Ecmwf_29

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 08, 2017 4:23 am

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 08, 2017 4:26 am

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 08, 2017 4:49 am

Rgem,euro seem to be big hitters for South and east and gfs too I believe

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 08, 2017 5:10 am

by gigs68 Wed Feb 08, 2017 5:21 am

rb924119 wrote:UKMET accumulations:

On the UKMET what is the conversion to inches from mm?

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 08, 2017 5:34 am

gigs68 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:UKMET accumulations:

On the UKMET what is the conversion to inches from mm?

I believe 30mm is a little over an inch of liquid so at 10:1 ratio 10 inches of snow.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:01 am

6z RGEM

February 9th Godzilla: Fast & Furious Storm - Page 5 IMG_4255.JPG.3f64d1f61f7252e08beaa3a5e467052d

by **oldtimer** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:13 am

All Warnings are up through out NWS General 6-10

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:34 am

Frank_Wx wrote:6z RGEM

Wow frank

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:6z RGEM

With the jet structure the RGEM was showing last night, I knew it would shift NW. The model is now within the 36 hour timeline-its starting to hone in where the heaviest bands will set up. Hope it holds onto this solution. 12z model run is going to be telling.

by **amugs** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:54 am

DAS BOAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

SREFS!!!!!!!!!!!!! 3Z WOWZA!!

by **oldtimer** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:54 am

Did the Euro shift SE?

by **billg315** Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:57 am

38* and Partly Cloudy, headed toward the upper 50s this afternoon and forecast to be back into the mid 40s by the weekend. Who would think that's the set-up for nearly a foot of snow later tonight and tomorrow. Haha. This shows a couple things: 1.) If the right storm hits at the right time, you can get a snowstorm even in the midst or on the edges of a relatively warm pattern. And 2.) sometimes the energy needed for a big snowstorm can come from a system bringing a dramatic change in temperature which means sometimes a you need a little warmth to get some snow.

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