Re: March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2

by **Radz** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:36 pm

Radz wrote:Ryan Maue: "Bad timing, but NOAA/NCEP has been having difficulties w/its model data stream (FTP, HTTP) since this morning, Now no new data in 30-min"

apparently corrected around 9pm

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:39 pm

Radz wrote:
Radz wrote:Ryan Maue: "Bad timing, but NOAA/NCEP has been having difficulties w/its model data stream (FTP, HTTP) since this morning, Now no new data in 30-min"

apparently corrected around 9pm

oh so 00z runs will b exactly same.

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:41 pm

ok 12km nam is coming in in bits pieces up to hr 51 surface looks like a mess

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:42 pm

00z 12km nam is a inland runner, coast is toast. doesnt seem right 990mb off cape cod? thats really weak.

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:42 pm

Omg. The 00z para NAM is practically an INLAND RUNNER.

by **Math23x7** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:42 pm

TheAresian wrote:How did you get the plume in? I have got to show you the one for my area.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:44 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Omg. The 00z para NAM is practically an INLAND RUNNER.

I'd say now we can start to worry that this is not pulling together how we want it, but let see maybe nam is having one of its bad times we used to enjoy often.

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:45 pm

3km para is the para nam yes? it looks way west.... rain for coast.

by Guest Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:45 pm

I got that far, but I can't get my city to show up. Every time I paste, it defaults to OKC.

by **Snow88** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:47 pm

8-12 inches for NYC on the 12k Nam

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:48 pm

WOW white plains not far from me, holy cow a max of 27.5 and mean of 16!! srefs

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:49 pm

Snow88 wrote:8-12 inches for NYC on the 12k Nam

I dunno I just feel like the NAM is not right on this, maybe wishcasting but thinking about all the other models several of which have no rain and 3x that at max i just wonder.

by Guest Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:51 pm

9 runs on my SREF plume are 28+ with a mean of 20".

by Guest Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:51 pm

The NAM has been the most consistent all day with its track and rainy solution but EVERYONE wants to discount it. Why??

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:54 pm

wow 3km para is ALOT better, 14 mm per hr!!! Ive never seen that much pink and its from the snow bar not the other ones wow. LOL omg did the math thats 5.5 inches an hr holy snikeys!!

March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2 - Page 13 Nam3km10

March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2 - Page 13 Nam3km10

by **jake732** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:56 pm

wheres frank? looks like jersey shore gonna get messed with rain....again...i cant belive it

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:56 pm

jake732 wrote:wheres frank? looks like jersey shore gonna get messed with rain....again...i cant belive it

Out with the GF giggity LOL

by **jake732** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:57 pm

jman, how come 3k nam is a good hit for me but the reg nam sucks? is that possible?

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 9:58 pm

Yes the higher the resolution I believe the better grasp a model has on the dynamics and the fact that maybe cold overcomes any rain. I mean if that band right over me is true dayumm, that will be thunder lighning wind and snow like ive never seen.

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:00 pm

Does no one else see the 3km para, my lord its like heaven on earth but is that even possible?! I have to imagine extrapolated out totals are roid if not frankzilla.

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:02 pm

HAHAHAHA 6-12 inches by 7am!! With those snow rates this might be a frankkzippitydodahzilla!!

March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2 - Page 13 Nam3km11

March 14th Godzilla Discussion Part 2 - Page 13 Nam3km11

by **Snow88** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:04 pm

Latest RPM has 15 inches for NYC with over 20 inches just to the west

976 low inside the benchmark

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:05 pm

Snow88 wrote:Latest RPM has 15 inches for NYC with over 20 inches just to the west

976 low inside the benchmark

What hr is the 15 inches at, did the storm pass or is it still going at that time? Checkc the 3km holy crap right.

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:06 pm

jmanley32 wrote:WOW white plains not far from me, holy cow a max of 27.5 and mean of 16!! srefs

Wow! I'm in the process of opening a gastropub there, Jman! My contractors won't be able to get in the door! Btw, I moved to Port Chester from Manhattan. Officially a Westchesterite with you! ;-)

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:06 pm

Srefs,nam,rpm are all inside the BM all intensifying as well I'm not worry about temps with that track and intensity

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:07 pm

Run the run, you can see as it comes sup the RS line actually pushes south through jersey into the last several frames, maybe this is what the lower resolution nam is not picking up on, those rates are so insane the column cools regardless.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017031200&fh=60&xpos=0&ypos=631

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 11, 2017 10:08 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:WOW white plains not far from me, holy cow a max of 27.5 and mean of 16!! srefs

Wow! I'm in the process of opening a gastropub there, Jman! My contractors won't be able to get in the door! Btw, I moved to Port Chester from Manhattan. Officially a Westchesterite with you! ;-)

Boo thats technicall CT in our minds LOL, JK

by Sponsored content