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March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:31 pm

Para-NAM snow

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_0810


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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:31 pm

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 IMG_1543.GIF.c0b4d193642d550c963e75f86f78a9ac

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:32 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Para-NAM snow

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_0810


Is that 10:1?

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Post by Radz Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:32 pm

WOW
March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Nammar10
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Post by Guest Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:35 pm

Question: Is it best to look at the 12k, the 4k or the 3k on the NAM?

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Post by amugs Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:35 pm

Hi Res smokes Zoo, Snow 247, Doc and CP here 4" plus rates here

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 58c604e2834ff

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Post by larryrock72 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:35 pm

Frank,
Your opinion on the winds.....LI, NYC and JS......Your map showing the sustained w/gusts could be a major issue with cold temps wed and thurs.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:36 pm

3kMarch 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_8411
March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_8412
March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_8413
March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_8414
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Post by Guest Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:36 pm

@rb924119 wrote:Here, Track: top-left is probability of greater than 1", top-right is greater than 4", bottom-left is greater than 8", and bottom-right is greater than 12" (all in percent):

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_0716

This at the time of maximum values for all panes.....

I'm confused. On the NWS website we are shown to have a 90% chance IMBY of 12"+. Then on the Same Web Site we are shown to have a 60% chance of greater than 12" and now this shows almost no chance of greater than 12". Really Confusing

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Post by amugs Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:37 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 IMG_1543.GIF.c0b4d193642d550c963e75f86f78a9ac
Frank that purple/white area in NNJ is 3-5/6" hr snowfall rates

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:38 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Para-NAM snow

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_0810


Is that 10:1?

Pretty sure aha

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:39 pm

@TheAresian wrote:Question: Is it best to look at the 12k, the 4k or the 3k on the NAM?

4k has done well this winter

@amugs wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 IMG_1543.GIF.c0b4d193642d550c963e75f86f78a9ac
Frank that purple/white area in NNJ is 3-5/6" hr snowfall rates

Madonneeee

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:39 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:Here, Track: top-left is probability of greater than 1", top-right is greater than 4", bottom-left is greater than 8", and bottom-right is greater than 12" (all in percent):

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Img_0716

This at the time of maximum values for all panes.....

I'm confused.  On the NWS website we are shown to have a 90% chance IMBY of 12"+.  Then on the Same Web Site we are shown to have a 60% chance of greater than 12" and now this shows almost no chance of greater than 12". Really Confusing

No Syo, these are from the latest SREFS, not the NWS. Totally different aha

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Post by billg315 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:40 pm

3-5/6" per hour snow rates directly overtop of my house. I'll sign now. Thank you.
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Post by Guest Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:41 pm

12k NAM: 10"
4k NAM: 16"

Should I just split the difference?

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Post by RJB8525 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:42 pm

Fox5 10pm news tonight

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 TP9H99e
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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:42 pm

One thing is still very apparent; models still have zero idea of what to do with banding. One mega-band, two parallel bands, bandlets? This depends on H5 and the how the jets evolve.

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Post by Guest Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:43 pm

Thank you, Frank.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:44 pm

@amugs wrote:Hi Res smokes Zoo, Snow 247, Doc and CP here 4" plus rates here

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 58c604e2834ff

You too buddy. Already exhausted from this thing.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:45 pm

Check out 3k Nan snow mapMarch 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Nam3km10
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Post by Snow88 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:45 pm

Para has 15-20 for everyone
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Post by amugs Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:48 pm

WOWZA!!

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 58c608058f079

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:49 pm

This is 10:1

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 FB_IMG_1489373292931.jpg.e269b7293433d65ce0ec99a59f12c88f

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Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:51 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:Check out 3k Nan snow mapMarch 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 Nam3km10

ARE YOU KIDDING ME????? THIS MAP HAS A SNOW HOLE LITERALLY OVER MY APARTMENT IN SOUTHWESTERN DUTCHESS!!!! I AM THROWING THIS MODEL OUT!!! ITS LOST ahahahahaha

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:52 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:This is 10:1

March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis - Page 5 FB_IMG_1489373292931.jpg.e269b7293433d65ce0ec99a59f12c88f
Southern westchester, or general area just north of NYC (I know you do not like IMBY questions, sorry) but will rations be any higher than 10:1 or will those insane winds keep it at 10:1? Also how confident are you that winds will reach or exceed 60mph gusts in your red area? What do u think ceiling is?


Last edited by jmanley32 on Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:53 pm; edited 1 time in total
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