March 14, 2017 Roidzilla 1st Call Snow Map / Synopsis

Para-NAM snow

rb924119 wrote:Para-NAM snow

Is that 10:1?

WOW

Question: Is it best to look at the 12k, the 4k or the 3k on the NAM?

Hi Res smokes Zoo, Snow 247, Doc and CP here 4" plus rates here

Frank,
Your opinion on the winds.....LI, NYC and JS......Your map showing the sustained w/gusts could be a major issue with cold temps wed and thurs.

3k

rb924119 wrote:Here, Track: top-left is probability of greater than 1", top-right is greater than 4", bottom-left is greater than 8", and bottom-right is greater than 12" (all in percent):



This at the time of maximum values for all panes.....

I'm confused. On the NWS website we are shown to have a 90% chance IMBY of 12"+. Then on the Same Web Site we are shown to have a 60% chance of greater than 12" and now this shows almost no chance of greater than 12". Really Confusing

Frank_Wx wrote:

Frank that purple/white area in NNJ is 3-5/6" hr snowfall rates

Frank_Wx wrote:

rb924119 wrote:Para-NAM snow

Is that 10:1?

Pretty sure aha

TheAresian wrote:Question: Is it best to look at the 12k, the 4k or the 3k on the NAM?

4k has done well this winter

amugs wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:

Frank that purple/white area in NNJ is 3-5/6" hr snowfall rates

Madonneeee

syosnow94 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:Here, Track: top-left is probability of greater than 1", top-right is greater than 4", bottom-left is greater than 8", and bottom-right is greater than 12" (all in percent):



This at the time of maximum values for all panes.....

I'm confused.  On the NWS website we are shown to have a 90% chance IMBY of 12"+.  Then on the Same Web Site we are shown to have a 60% chance of greater than 12" and now this shows almost no chance of greater than 12". Really Confusing

No Syo, these are from the latest SREFS, not the NWS. Totally different aha

3-5/6" per hour snow rates directly overtop of my house. I'll sign now. Thank you.

12k NAM: 10"
4k NAM: 16"

Should I just split the difference?

Fox5 10pm news tonight

One thing is still very apparent; models still have zero idea of what to do with banding. One mega-band, two parallel bands, bandlets? This depends on H5 and the how the jets evolve.

Thank you, Frank.

amugs wrote:Hi Res smokes Zoo, Snow 247, Doc and CP here 4" plus rates here

You too buddy. Already exhausted from this thing.

Check out 3k Nan snow map

Para has 15-20 for everyone

WOWZA!!

This is 10:1

skinsfan1177 wrote:Check out 3k Nan snow map

ARE YOU KIDDING ME????? THIS MAP HAS A SNOW HOLE LITERALLY OVER MY APARTMENT IN SOUTHWESTERN DUTCHESS!!!! I AM THROWING THIS MODEL OUT!!! ITS LOST ahahahahaha

Frank_Wx wrote:This is 10:1

Southern westchester, or general area just north of NYC (I know you do not like IMBY questions, sorry) but will rations be any higher than 10:1 or will those insane winds keep it at 10:1? Also how confident are you that winds will reach or exceed 60mph gusts in your red area? What do u think ceiling is?