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July Disco/ Observations

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Post by amugs Sat Jul 08, 2017 9:07 am

Zoo,
The Ark was needed last night.
It poured from about 20:30 till.midnight. 
My rai gauge reads .25" and why??
STUNUDO me left it under our patio umbrella! !LOL

For those looking ahead may have some feel for August here and ENSO looks to still be in a La Nina base state.

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Img_2019
July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Img_2020

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Sat Jul 08, 2017 9:11 am

This Earthlight for the next week.
Closed off low in Gulf of Alaska allowing big ridge in the western us that produces a trough on the backside for us along the NE/ MA region

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Temps-10

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jul 09, 2017 9:34 pm

A chance of showers or storms everyday this week. Looks pretty warm, too. mid 80's to low 90's.

Went to AC this weekend. Man..that place has changed!

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jul 09, 2017 9:43 pm

Hey Frank happy July. Never been AC one day we might go down. Changed how?
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Post by aiannone Tue Jul 11, 2017 10:30 am

Hey y'all
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Post by frank 638 Tue Jul 11, 2017 5:26 pm

National Weather Service has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for my area

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Post by sroc4 Wed Jul 12, 2017 1:42 pm

We finally look to be getting into a true easterly phase QBO with easterlies propagating down to the 30mb level.  QBO officially came in with its first negative reading since May of 2015.  A warm biased Enso with an easterly QBO...sign me up.  All good things...preliminary for winter.  

https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/qbo.data

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Qbo_wind

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
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Post by frank 638 Wed Jul 12, 2017 2:32 pm

91* with a real deal of 95 *.I don't know about u guys but I am ready for winter I hope we get blasted with blizzards and cold I hate the heat esp working in it

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jul 12, 2017 10:00 pm

@frank 638 wrote:91* with a real deal of 95 *.I don't know about u guys but I am ready for winter I hope we get blasted with blizzards and cold I hate the heat esp working in it

Heat isn't too aweful, its the humidity that kills me. It could be 75 and terribly humid and i'd be more uncomfortable than 90 and dry. It was only 73 the other night but I was with AC blasting in car cuz it was so humid. Couldnt get car windows to defog was annoying. I hope we get a blizzard or two but at my old age of 36 lol I am getting tired of digging cars out on the street daily, im not in good shape and it kills my back.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jul 12, 2017 10:01 pm

@frank 638 wrote:National Weather Service has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for my area
Really? Well must have missed westchester cuz I got no warning, weird as we are neighbors, did not see or hear any storms either.
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Post by amugs Thu Jul 13, 2017 10:19 am

Talk about a gradient!! 

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Img_2021

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 11:14 am

With that heat comes the boomers! Watch likely hopefully we see some good ones!

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Mcd13010
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Post by amugs Thu Jul 13, 2017 11:47 am

Yup good shear, instability and a s/w mixing it all up today and tomorrow. 

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Img_2022

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 12:08 pm

The mcs to our west could bring big trouble. The high heat and sun is really going to let things fire today I hope anyways. Haven't really seen a good storm all summer yet.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Jul 13, 2017 1:20 pm

@sroc4 wrote:We finally look to be getting into a true easterly phase QBO with easterlies propagating down to the 30mb level.  QBO officially came in with its first negative reading since May of 2015.  A warm biased Enso with an easterly QBO...sign me up.  All good things...preliminary for winter.  

https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/qbo.data

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Qbo_wind

YES YES YES!!!!!! I said it before and I'll say it again; I LIKE HOW THIS PATTERN HAS BEEN EVOLVING Laughing Laughing Laughing

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Post by rb924119 Thu Jul 13, 2017 1:21 pm

Scott, you just made my day lmao

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 1:39 pm

Weird no watch, they had it pegged at 80% chance wonder what the 20% was that made the SPC decide not to issues a SVR Ts W.
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Post by amugs Thu Jul 13, 2017 1:59 pm

Incoming for us PEEPS - look at the cell up by DOC !!

July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Northeast_loop


July Disco/ Observations - Page 2 Inxr1Knyca_h

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 2:07 pm

spoke too soon watch just issued mostly northern NJ and north.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 2:09 pm

Alot of quarter sized hail being observed in warnings in CT!
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Post by frank 638 Thu Jul 13, 2017 2:49 pm

Jman just got the alert for a severe thunderstorm storm watch for NYC and long island

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 3:08 pm

Yeah but look radar everything is forming way north og here and into CT, already reports of damage in New Haven county
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Post by frank 638 Thu Jul 13, 2017 3:18 pm

Not that I want a severe thunderstorm with damaging winds and hail .I just want a good thunderstorm

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 13, 2017 3:52 pm

Future cast radar shows NYC area and all surround areas missing out completely. loot into CT and MA holy smokes.
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Post by jimv45 Thu Jul 13, 2017 3:57 pm

I am not missing out! Getting pretty good in Hopewell jct.

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