Re: Tracking Hurricane Irma

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Sep 01, 2017 5:07 pm

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:12z Canadian Ensembles are just peachy

You're going to have to show some images haha

Jeez. Some of these long range tracks (albeit a shot in the dark at this point) paint a very dire scenario for these parts of they were to come to fruition.

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 5:26 pm

Well that was short lived weakening now almost cat 4. Cmc ensembles wow yikes a lot of heavy hitters even up here. Are euro out yet?

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 5:36 pm

18z gfs is stronger so far.

by **rb924119** Fri Sep 01, 2017 5:41 pm

Most of the Euro Ensembles were OTS. I believe Mike (Math) mentioned that a little earlier

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Sep 01, 2017 5:44 pm

JMA huge east coast hit Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 2 P1_gz_10

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 5:53 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:JMA huge east coast hit

what u mean that's well offshore is it continuing nw? Right rb he did mention but I don't think ots is right. That looks like if it is headed nw it would crush midatlsntic to the northeast.

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:07 pm

Much stronger and further north wipers continue lol. Wow 20 mb stronger or so.

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:27 pm

18z about slam into midatlsntic as a cat 5. Much faster than euro within 10 day.

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:30 pm

Correction looks like on a b line for Western li or nj nnw snikeys!

by **jake732** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:32 pm

Question, we see often that snowstorms will change even significantly even a day before the storm arrives , that is y we throw models away from a week out. Is a hurricane different meteorological speaking? Does a storm a week out have more accuracy to predic then a snow storm?

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:34 pm

Mother of God NYC wiped out direct landfall cat 4 or 5 next sun wow....Scott now I need new shorts. Am mobile or I'd post pics I dunno how do on mobile. Off run as rb would say so take grain salt but that would just be...I can't put in words.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:55 pm

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:56 pm

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:57 pm

by **frank 638** Fri Sep 01, 2017 6:57 pm

Omg I hope to God this this storm does not happen because a lot of people many people are still recovering from Sandy and we don't need another storm like this

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:01 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

thank goodness we 10 days out...I saw this and my heart did a flip flop..I literally almost threw up...this thing really needs to be a beautiful fish storm...

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:02 pm

This threat is becoming more real

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:02 pm

frank 638 wrote:Omg I hope to God this this storm does not happen because a lot of people many people are still recovering from Sandy and we don't need another storm like this

that would wipe most of us off the map

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:03 pm

This run would b far worse than Sandy at least in terms of winds. Maybe close to double. Frank I know imby questions but the center in ur image is literally Imby....what are the chances of this. Thetorical question I know it's pretty impossible to know at this time.

by **hyde345** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:04 pm

These ops are all over the place. I wouldn't be too concerned about anything right now. If they show this 5 days from now then we can worry.

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:06 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

frank even I'm petrified by that image. Look at rain totals well over a foot and winds I imagine would be cat 3 maybe higher. Good this is gonna nibble at me for the next 10 days why lol

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:07 pm

hyde345 wrote:These ops are all over the place. I wouldn't be too concerned about anything right now. If they show this 5 days from now then we can worry.

hyde my thoughts too...It was a shock to see this..but if this were next week..I would start packing my valuables..but where the heck would we go is the question.. half the state would be wiped out..

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:08 pm

hyde345 wrote:These ops are all over the place. I wouldn't be too concerned about anything right now. If they show this 5 days from now then we can worry.

right but who's to say it couldn't show that in a week.

by EnyapWeather Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:10 pm

Holy moly is that a CAT 4?

by **hyde345** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:13 pm

It could but it's still 10 days or so out. There are many variables at play and each model run could still be quite different from the next. 00z could show something totally different. This is just entertainment right now.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:16 pm

hyde345 wrote:It could but it's still 10 days or so out. There are many variables at play and each model run could still be quite different from the next. 00z could show something totally different. This is just entertainment right now.

lets hope!! in the mean time..a little drunken

might help!

by **hyde345** Fri Sep 01, 2017 7:18 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
hyde345 wrote:It could but it's still 10 days or so out. There are many variables at play and each model run could still be quite different from the next. 00z could show something totally different. This is just entertainment right now.

lets hope!! in the mean time..a little might help!

You got that right Smile

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