Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

by **Sanchize06** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:01 pm

NHC really likes the GFS and those hurricane models lol

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:03 pm

amugs wrote:Alex feel better and c u all in da morning. Rb bring it home kid. Can u imagine if he does actually do a UKIE track??
Euro will be interesting tonight.

This run better not verify verbatim or I'll be so mad; literally 25 miles away from a landfall lol if Ima miss, at least let me miss by a respectable amount; this 25-mile thing would be like hanging a pizza from a fishing pole attached to my back while on a treadmill and do nothing but add insult to injury ahahaha

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:04 pm

Channel 7 shows it far off shore..on tropical winds on tip of long island

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:06 pm

rb924119 wrote:
amugs wrote:Alex feel better and c u all in da morning. Rb bring it home kid. Can u imagine if he does actually do a UKIE track??
Euro will be interesting tonight.

This run better not verify verbatim or I'll be so mad; literally 25 miles away from a landfall lol if Ima miss, at least let me miss by a respectable amount; this 25-mile thing would be like hanging a pizza from a fishing pole attached to my back while on a treadmill and do nothing but add insult to injury ahahaha

Lmao. Let's see what GFS does. I'm up so far......

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:06 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:NHC really likes the GFS and those hurricane models lol

Yeah they do, and idk why because they have been getting burned by them for many of these storms. The global models have been better sooner for most events so far this season, including the big-hitters of Harvey and Irma.

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:07 pm

RGEM is east through 30

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:09 pm

rb924119 wrote:RGEM is east through 30

SHHHH you SHHHUUUSSSHHH

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:13 pm

aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:RGEM is east through 30

SHHHH you SHHHUUUSSSHHH

. Well it is aha I wouldn't mind if this missed only for sake of damages, though lol

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:14 pm

rb924119 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
rb924119 wrote:RGEM is east through 30

SHHHH you SHHHUUUSSSHHH
. Well it is aha I wouldn't mind if this missed only for sake of damages, though lol

Is this going to be a nowcast hurricane? I mean that'll be a first.

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:15 pm

And I'm not expecting much from any other models tonight, tbh; if I wake up and something changes I'll deal with it then aha

by **Snow88** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:15 pm

Good evening everyone

Here for the late night with everyone

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:19 pm

RGEM isnt loading for me on tidbits

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:20 pm

And RGEM is headed OTS off the Carolinas AhahAha omg this is terrible; 48 hours out and we have no better idea so far lmfao

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:23 pm

Channel 7 said this is like a noreaster...

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:25 pm

Oh boy off topic..looks like Maria going to be a cat 4 when it passes over or close to Puerto Rico

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:28 pm

Notable difference is GFS and NAM also has a expanded windfield by a good 50 miles around, this could probably be due to the recon data.

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:28 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Oh boy off topic..looks like Maria going to be a cat 4 when it passes over or close to Puerto Rico

Couldn't tell ya lol Jose has all of my attention right now, but that would be terrible for those islands :/

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:31 pm

0z GFS is running. I might make it! Powering through lol

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:32 pm

Bah 18 hrs GFS is East, NAM is either onto something or it was a nutty run.

by **Sanchize06** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:33 pm

GFS basically the same at hr 24, maybe a little north

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:34 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Bah 18 hrs GFS is East, NAM is either onto something or it was a nutty run.

???? It's exactly the same through 30

by **rb924119** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:34 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Bah 18 hrs GFS is East, NAM is either onto something or it was a nutty run.

No, it's the same so far....

by **Sanchize06** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:37 pm

Maybe slightly NE at hr 36, basically the same

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:39 pm

No real change through 48

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:39 pm

It is about the same at 36 but western precip is pretty much devoid.

by **Sanchize06** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:40 pm

Still really the same at hr 48, which means the GFS is still east of EURO, NAM, and UKMET

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:40 pm

tick NW at 54

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