Re: September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Sep 17, 2013 10:41 pm

It looks like temps will get lower tonight than they were last night. Northwestern NJ is under frost advisories.

by lenny9497 Tue Sep 17, 2013 10:43 pm

My weather station is showing a temp of 47F already, got down to 45F last night. Maybe I'll get down into the upper 30s? Or is that overdoing it?

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Sep 17, 2013 10:45 pm

Hmmm idk, I think 41-43 is more likely. But definitely let me know tomorrow. Should be interesting.

by lenny9497 Tue Sep 17, 2013 10:45 pm

Yeah most likely, and alright I will!

by **Frank_Wx** Tue Sep 17, 2013 11:27 pm

I am still at 54 degrees as of 11:30. Looks like the higher elevations are experiencing coldest temps. I'll probably only drop down into the 46-48 range.

by **Snow88** Wed Sep 18, 2013 1:50 am

55 right now in Brooklyn

by nofoboater Wed Sep 18, 2013 6:43 am

Gabreski Airport in Westhampton reported 34F just prior to sunrise this morning.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:07 am

Wow! 34*. My low overnight was 42*

by **sroc4** Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:10 am

The area currently over the Yucatan in the GOM shadowed at 70% chance to develop may play a role in our weather next week by the 24th-26th.
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Two_atl

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Two_atl

All three global weather models seem to agree that a piece of energy will break off and spin up to a LP that will ride up the front associated with the trough moving through the NE bringing with it some tropical moisture. GFS as of last night had the low as well as the majority of the moisture stay to our south leaving us dry, whereas the Euro and CMC have a decent amt of moisture making it into the area. CMC develops the energy into more of an ULL with smaller weaker LP spinning up affecting the area with moisture from the 23-27th. There is even a scenario that would hold back the energy in the GOM which could allow for a hurricane to actually get going as seen by the HWRF. Too early to tell exactly how it all shakes out.
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_51

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_us_51

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Ecmwf_t2m_precip_east_29

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Cmc_precip_mslp_east_27

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Uv900_mslp_p_43

Since it has both Tropical features, and just general weather for our area I will put this in the sept discussions thread.

by **sroc4** Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:10 am

My low was 44* this am at about 6am

by nofoboater Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:14 am

I was at 44, NOAA reported 34F at 6:15 at Gabreski.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:41 am

I got down to 49

by **amugs** Wed Sep 18, 2013 8:20 am

Hillsdale,NENJ at 45* this morning

by lenny9497 Wed Sep 18, 2013 3:40 pm

I got down to 41F by the way Frank, you were right

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Sep 18, 2013 10:47 pm

Here's a pretty crazy stat. Last September I only had 3 nights with lows in the 40's. Including tonight, I would already have 9 this year.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Sep 22, 2013 8:22 am

The cold front has cleared and will be a beautiful day Smile

by **amugs** Sun Sep 22, 2013 2:42 pm

Gorgeous day Frank - paintballing was scary - dudes in camos and sniper scopes, we were like the sacrificial lambs - got pelted big time - weather was perfect though - duped a ref to give us our own field for a few rounds with my son and his friends and that made the day. Looks like a great week ahead as well.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Sep 22, 2013 9:08 pm

amugs wrote:Gorgeous day Frank - paintballing was scary - dudes in camos and sniper scopes, we were like the sacrificial lambs - got pelted big time - weather was perfect though - duped a ref to give us our own field for a few rounds with my son and his friends and that made the day. Looks like a great week ahead as well.

I remember going as a child and I got shot in the ear. I was petrified for the longest time. But I went back for a friends birthday and it was fun. That's cool you got your own field! And yes, weather this week looks great as well.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 23, 2013 12:06 am

The next week and a half or so is going to feature tranquil weather conditions under normal temps and sunny skies. By the weekend, we should warm to above normal temps for a bit. Pretty boring pattern, once again Mad

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 5 Test8

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 23, 2013 10:17 am

September has been remarkably cool. I got down to 44 degrees last night. My 10th 40-degree night of the month.

by **docstox12** Mon Sep 23, 2013 11:10 am

Absolutely.Fired up the old boiler to get the chill out of the house this AM after being away a week.25% color in trees up in HV area my GF is in.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 23, 2013 11:17 am

docstox12 wrote:Absolutely.Fired up the old boiler to get the chill out of the house this AM after being away a week.25% color in trees up in HV area my GF is in.

Be sure to post pics in the foliage thread Very Happy

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 23, 2013 12:15 pm

I think we can officially say summer is over. 80's are done.

by **amugs** Mon Sep 23, 2013 1:04 pm

No Indian Summer?? - No possibility of seeing some spotty areas that hit the 80's in the mid October timeframe as we have in the past?
BTW the 80's were done a long time ago for us forty something year olds but the will be around for hopefully a good many years to come - Laughing

!!

by **docstox12** Mon Sep 23, 2013 2:04 pm

amugs wrote:No Indian Summer?? - No possibility of seeing some spotty areas that hit the 80's in the mid October timeframe as we have in the past?
BTW the 80's were done a long time ago for us forty something year olds but the will be around for hopefully a good many years to come - !!

80's, man, that's recent history.Let's try the 50's,LOL!

Anyhoo, you can be sure of getting a couple of those 80 degree days in mid to late October.Common around these parts to see that.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 23, 2013 4:05 pm

The 80's were great, accoring to my dad. Very Happy

And then I came in 1992 and it all went downhill from there. Lol, jk.

by **amugs** Mon Sep 23, 2013 4:43 pm

1992 - Holy Snikes - that when I started teaching !! Doc the 1950's and 1980's have some striking parallel's and I agree Indian summer and the 80's will make a comeback in mid - late Oct they always due - I can even remember in early Nov one year we were playing in the state soccer tournament and it was 80 something degrees out.

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