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September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread

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Post by sroc4 Tue Sep 10, 2013 7:51 am

Frank_Wx wrote:September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 Nam_t2m_max_ne_15

00z NAM for Wed.
Blah! Ready for 50-70* go away humidity.

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Post by Snow88 Tue Sep 10, 2013 10:38 am

Tomorrow looks like a warm day around here with temps near 90.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 10, 2013 11:00 am

Snow88 wrote:Tomorrow looks like a warm day around here with temps near 90.
cyclops 
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 10, 2013 7:20 pm

Models are beginning to show a line of heavy t-storms develop for Thursday. I'll put up a more detailed review after 00z runs tonight.
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Post by Snow88 Wed Sep 11, 2013 1:43 am

This weather is terrible.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Sep 11, 2013 11:59 am

A line of showers and storms wll develop between 2:00 and 5:00pm tomorrow and continue into the evening hours. We will clear out by Friday morning, with cooler than normal conditions expected Friday-Sunday.

The line of storms tomorrow could produce heavy rain, but I do not think they will be severe. This is simply another cold front that will bring less than 1 inch of rain to most people, locally higher amounts wherever the heavy t-storms set up.

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Post by Quietace Thu Sep 12, 2013 2:59 pm

Severe thunderstorm watch box extend so far into Eastern PA. Well see if the NWS issues one for the area as the cold front pushes east. Most of the models keep the line strong and together. We will see how the instability and CAPE values hold as the line approaches. The HRRR keeps the CAPE high until around 6-7 Pm tonight as this is when the first of the main precipitation of the line arrives. Have to keep a eye on this as the cells in NNJ and NY today produced pronounced extremely heavy rain and good GTG lightning. Be careful tonight and watch out for lightning!!
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 Hrrr_r10
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 Hrrr_c10


Last edited by Quietace on Thu Sep 12, 2013 3:05 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Quietace Thu Sep 12, 2013 3:04 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Watch posted for our areas....
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 Nerad210
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 12, 2013 3:33 pm

Thanks for the update Ryan. Current radar shows a lot of strong storms off to our west. We'll have to see later on if they hold together by the time they get here. I think they will

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 B84ceda28ad86d11abd4c1a13e5e86a4_zpsb77136cf
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 12, 2013 3:50 pm

This satellite does a good job of showing where convection is firing up

http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/satellite/displaySat.php?region=BWI&isingle=multiple&itype=irbw
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Post by lenny9497 Thu Sep 12, 2013 8:06 pm

Storms were amazing today at my house, 1 severe storm, 2 more very strong storms. Lightning was CRAZYY!!! Soo many strikes that hit within 1 mile and there 3-4 that hit within 100 ft. Best storm day of the season in my opinion.

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Sep 12, 2013 8:36 pm

It was crazy here too...1.33" in a little over an hour. Lightning was insane! So dangerous.

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Post by Quietace Thu Sep 12, 2013 9:03 pm

Was very surprised to not have a drop so far. Most of the heaviest convection stayed to the north and now to the south. Very Very humid at 90% still. Though maybe the structure of storms in south NJ moving NE enough and will hopefully clip us and help out the fire in Seaside.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 12, 2013 9:17 pm

I was in class during the storms. Looks like it came down good though
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Post by Quietace Thu Sep 12, 2013 9:44 pm

Some nice refreshing temperatures Saturday, most highs around 70
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 Hires_10
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 12, 2013 9:55 pm

Gunna feel ahhhhhhmazing
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Sep 12, 2013 10:44 pm

If this were winter, parts of Colorado would have 100+ inches of snow. It is non-stop rain over there and three have already died. 20-foot walls of water too, apparently.
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Post by Quietace Fri Sep 13, 2013 3:06 pm

With limited cloud cover by tonight, it looks as if we will have good radiation cooling allowing for some chilly temps tonight into tomorrow morning...
September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread  - Page 3 Hires_11


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Post by nofoboater Fri Sep 13, 2013 3:18 pm

NOAA says low 40's for us tomorrow night.

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Post by Quietace Fri Sep 13, 2013 3:23 pm

nofoboater wrote:NOAA says low 40's for us tomorrow night.
Tomorrow night looks just as cold if not a touch cooler
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Post by amugs Fri Sep 13, 2013 4:14 pm

Get out the firewood and blankets!  I see 48* for me here in NENJ may get a few degrees colder if we get radiational cooling - aka clear skies.
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Post by nofoboater Fri Sep 13, 2013 5:43 pm

There is a nice little line cruising across the Sound, wonder if it will hold up by the time it gets to the North Fork?
I measured 3/4" last night but it was coming down in sheets and perhaps the gauge didn't get an accurate reading.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 13, 2013 8:14 pm

Geez, there are 29 guests viewing this forum? You all need to register! Come on! We are friendly people. Except QuietAce Wink
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Post by Quietace Fri Sep 13, 2013 8:18 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Geez, there are 29 guests viewing this forum? You all need to register! Come on! We are friendly people. Except QuietAce Wink
I have no comment Frank.........😢 Im hurt.....lol
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Sep 13, 2013 8:27 pm

Quietace wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Geez, there are 29 guests viewing this forum? You all need to register! Come on! We are friendly people. Except QuietAce Wink
I have no comment Frank.........😢 Im hurt.....lol
Haha the Yanks are just pissing me off.

In weather related news, we may not get out of the 60's tomorrow.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Sep 13, 2013 8:49 pm

"Haha the Yanks are just pissing me off. ". ace

So put the Mets game on! They're winning! lol

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
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Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
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Post by mako460 Fri Sep 13, 2013 8:53 pm

Instead of navigating all of the threads, I'm consolidating my reply to everyone at once.  Frank, Kuroda is done, 39 yrs. old, 200 innings on that elbow, he's shot, send him back to Japan next season, do not pick up his option.  As for the 29 lurkers, some of us just like to read your input and do not have anything left to add because you pretty much cover it all, (especially QuietAce) and u too Frank. To NoFo.... the wife took the kids to a BDay party tonight, wanted nothing more then to jump on the boat and go scouting for some Bass, what did i get?????????????25 MPH winds from the North , go figure.  Hopefully the seas lay down by Sunday and I can try again......

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