Re: September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 06, 2013 1:05 am

Feels amazing outside. Down to 53 degrees

by **Snow88** Fri Sep 06, 2013 2:03 am

63 right now. Beautiful sleeping weather.

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Sep 06, 2013 7:52 am

Got down to 50* overnight! Spectacular!

by **sroc4** Fri Sep 06, 2013 9:24 am

Dunnzoo wrote:Got down to 50* overnight! Spectacular!

54* by me Janet. Absolutely glorious.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 06, 2013 11:59 am

Looks like September is going to challenge August in the "most boring weather" contest.

by **docstox12** Fri Sep 06, 2013 2:08 pm

Went fishing on Lake Welch today and had to wear a light jacket even in the sun.The wind had a chill to it.A real Fall feel to it this AM, crisp, clear and breezy.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 06, 2013 3:33 pm

docstox12 wrote:Went fishing on Lake Welch today and had to wear a light jacket even in the sun.The wind had a chill to it.A real Fall feel to it this AM, crisp, clear and breezy.

I always look forward to getting that "feeling" for the first time of the season. I love it. Surprised

by lenny9497 Fri Sep 06, 2013 4:59 pm

My weather station read 47F this morning!!

by **Scullybutcher** Sat Sep 07, 2013 6:31 am

My wedding is on Saturday the 21st in Brooklyn. Can someone tell me what they think the weather pattern will be that weekend

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Sep 07, 2013 6:49 am

ooooeeee! 47* this morning!

by **Quietace** Sat Sep 07, 2013 8:03 am

Scullybutcher wrote:My wedding is on Saturday the 21st in Brooklyn. Can someone tell me what they think the weather pattern will be that weekend

Based on the CFS V2 that has been showing this for a while now, it looks like we will have a warm up mid to late month, in the 10-15 day period which falls into the 21st. It looks as if we will have some strong ridging in the Eastern Pacific allowing for a trough and cooler temps in the western part of the country. Which would make sense as the PNA is still negative at the time. But what that means is that we will have a large ridge in the East giving us above average temperatures at the time. Some where more than likely between +2 through +5 right now. The average temperature for NYC on the 21st is 71 degrees. So the temperatures will more than likely be between the mid 70s to maybe the low 80s if temperatures over perform. Precipitation wise, with the large HP over head, it doesn't look like right now that we will have any meaningful precipitation just yet, BUT that could certainly change as the CFS has a rain event 4-5 days after the planned date which could be speed up. But that right now is probably a less likely scenario until we get closer. So it looks like the weather pattern could be in your favor for your wedding. Just keep checking back here every few days to see if anything shifts as we are still a long way away!

by **docstox12** Sat Sep 07, 2013 8:06 am

Dunnzoo wrote:ooooeeee! 47* this morning!

Gonna have to do a boiler test fire real soon to make sure it's in shape for the heating season to come.

by **Scullybutcher** Sat Sep 07, 2013 9:05 am

Thank you

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Sep 07, 2013 10:09 am

Scullybutcher wrote:My wedding is on Saturday the 21st in Brooklyn. Can someone tell me what they think the weather pattern will be that weekend

Ask again in a week or so. Will be able to give you a more accurate forecast Laughing

by **sroc4** Sat Sep 07, 2013 10:13 am

Scullybutcher wrote:My wedding is on Saturday the 21st in Brooklyn. Can someone tell me what they think the weather pattern will be that weekend

Its going to rain, heavily because a Tropical system will make landfall over western suffolk. Just kidding Scull Balz. Congrats buddy.

by **Scullybutcher** Sat Sep 07, 2013 10:20 am

Thank you all. No tropical storms. Sandy put 5 feet if water into the River Cafe last year. We can't have that. Lol

by **docstox12** Sat Sep 07, 2013 11:13 am

Hey, best of luck to you for that day.

I'm leaving on a cruise with my GF on Sept 15th through 22nd to the Islands and definitely am with you for no tropical storms or hurricanes.So far, so good.Wind patterns shearing up any systems and will steer them away from the coast...for now,LOL!

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Sep 08, 2013 12:28 am

The GFS for next weekend is showing high temps in the upper 60's to low 70's and lows in the low 40's and mid 30's.

Pretty cold and unusual if that comes to fruition.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 09, 2013 4:47 pm

Looks like we will be looking at temps in the 90's Wednesday and maybe Thursday. Looks to remain fairly dry as well.

by **docstox12** Mon Sep 09, 2013 4:55 pm

Frank, I'm looking at NWS and they are calling for heavy rain, showers and thunderstorms Weds night, Thurs and Thurs night.You sure about that dry forecast? I ask because I have tickets to a Mets game thursday 1:10 PM.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 09, 2013 5:05 pm

docstox12 wrote:Frank, I'm looking at NWS and they are calling for heavy rain, showers and thunderstorms Weds night, Thurs and Thurs night.You sure about that dry forecast? I ask because I have tickets to a Mets game thursday 1:10 PM.

There will be a cold front passing through again, but as we have seen for the last few weeks, these fronts aren't packing a lot of qpf with them. Quick movers. I do think it will rain but not enough to hinder any plans, in my opinion. That being said, Thursday looks like the worst day of the week. Probably periods of showers and t-showers with heaviest period coming late afternoon. .25-.75 inches of rain with locally higher amounts whereever t-storms develop.

by **docstox12** Mon Sep 09, 2013 5:10 pm

OK, thanks Frank.

by **amugs** Mon Sep 09, 2013 9:06 pm

Looks like my kids soccer games will be cancelled Thursday after school - oh well we need some rain! Doc good luck with your Mets -= the only good thing they have right now is their gorgeous stadium - beats the hell out of the new Yankee Stadium - sorry guys just one man (and all my friends) opinions - we went there a couple of weeks ago and were totally impressed by it. Enjoy Doc

by **docstox12** Mon Sep 09, 2013 9:45 pm

Thanks, Mugs, we'll see how Thursday plays out, it may be a rain out.

I was at Citi in May, and it is a beautiful stadium, lot's of character reminding me of the old Ebbets Field.Don't know about the comparison with the new Yankee Stadium as I haven't been there.

by **Frank_Wx** Mon Sep 09, 2013 11:31 pm

September 2013 Observations & Discussions Thread - Page 2 Nam_t2m_max_ne_15

00z NAM for Wed.

by **sroc4** Tue Sep 10, 2013 7:51 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

00z NAM for Wed.

Blah! Ready for 50-70* go away humidity.

by **Snow88** Tue Sep 10, 2013 10:38 am

Tomorrow looks like a warm day around here with temps near 90.

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