Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump

by **aiannone** Wed Feb 07, 2018 9:59 am

Current 850:
FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump - Page 5 85011

925:

FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump - Page 5 92510

by **Dtone** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:03 am

aiannone wrote:
Dtone wrote:
algae888 wrote:
Dtone wrote:20 mins of snow mostly changed to sleet and rain/frz rain now.
31*
how is it possible to have changed in the Bronx when it is snowing in midtown Manhattan.

It changed back to snow again here, Coating the streets now.

Seems like when the precip is light, it's sleet, then heavy, it's snow.

Yeah was thinking the same. Its lightened up some and more sleet is returning again.

by **algae888** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:05 am

lga just reported 1" of snow. at least parts of the area will measure correctly. .8" here very small flakes att.

by Guest Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:08 am

Stopped completely. Solid coating.

by **oldtimer** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:15 am

Alex I got nothing going on here It brightened up also

by **docstox12** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:20 am

Weird storm, it rips, then almost stops.No "ooomph" to this storm at this juncture.Guess the heavy stuff comes later when it changes over.Don't see how there is going to be 3 to 5 inches up here at this rate.Got an inch now.

by **aiannone** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:21 am

Dry slot approaching.

by **jimv45** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:26 am

Yea Doc change coming soon don't see much snow from this. I am expecting bad icing.

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:28 am

docstox12 wrote:Weird storm, it rips, then almost stops.No "ooomph" to this storm at this juncture.Don't see how there is going to be 3 to 5 inches up here at this rate.Got an inch now.

That's how these types of events generally work. Then you'll finally get into decent snow and you'll start hearing the pinging of sleet mixing in. That's why I said earlier on the totals by the NWS were too high, even for areas further north and west. Climatologically these storms are only ever good for totals in the ~2-6" range with isolated 6-9" lollipop amounts in your orographically enhanced regions, even where it remains snow the whole time.

by **algae888** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:30 am

Doc and CP light sleet freezing rain and snow mixed mostly freezing rain flipped sooner than I thought. Not a good sign also I'm hearing it's sleeting and State College in PA so the warm air looks like to be winning out at the mid-levels

by **jimv45** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:34 am

Yea Rb starting to mix with some sleet at times already not expecting much. You in Hopewell today?

by **docstox12** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:36 am

algae888 wrote:Doc and CP light sleet freezing rain and snow mixed mostly freezing rain flipped sooner than I thought. Not a good sign also I'm hearing it's sleeting and State College in PA so the warm air looks like to be winning out at the mid-levels

Huge flakes now.That indicates the changeover is coming real soon.No way we get 3 to 5 up here.So much for Bernie's "the cold air will hang tough" thesis,LOL.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:39 am

docstox12 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Doc and CP light sleet freezing rain and snow mixed mostly freezing rain flipped sooner than I thought. Not a good sign also I'm hearing it's sleeting and State College in PA so the warm air looks like to be winning out at the mid-levels

Huge flakes now.That indicates the changeover is coming real soon.No way we get 3 to 5 up here.So much for Bernie's "the cold air will hang tough" thesis,LOL.

I thought so too before, but it is still snowing here, looking at the radar, the rain was starting to move north, but then the cold pushed back and is pushing snow a little south.. amazing!

by **jimv45** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:45 am

yep Doc not much snow today. Thought this might be a nice northern people event for nice snow but that looks unlikely as Rb said.

by **amugs** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:46 am

LLC is stubborn - still ripping here in Allendale
Latest HRRR says we stay snow till 2PM (?) here in NNJ - maybe
FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump - Page 5 5a7b105fd9f3e

FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump - Page 5 5a7b105fd9f3e

by **docstox12** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:46 am

Dunnzoo wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Doc and CP light sleet freezing rain and snow mixed mostly freezing rain flipped sooner than I thought. Not a good sign also I'm hearing it's sleeting and State College in PA so the warm air looks like to be winning out at the mid-levels

Huge flakes now.That indicates the changeover is coming real soon.No way we get 3 to 5 up here.So much for Bernie's "the cold air will hang tough" thesis,LOL.

I thought so too before, but it is still snowing here, looking at the radar, the rain was starting to move north, but then the cold pushed back and is pushing snow a little south.. amazing!

OK, Janet.When your area goes over, it's about 15 minutes until it gets here.HOLD THAT LINE,LOL!!!

by **docstox12** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:48 am

amugs wrote:LLC is stubborn - still ripping here in Allendale
Latest HRRR says we stay snow till 2PM (?) here in NNJ - maybe

I LIKE I LIKE.

Back to ripping, pouring snow again,LOL.I should criticize Bernie more often,LOL.

by **aiannone** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:53 am

WWA Extended for LI:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
1046 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

NYZ078-177-179-071800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-180207T1800Z/
Northwestern Suffolk-Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau-
1046 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a light
glaze are expected.

* WHERE...Northwestern Suffolk, Northern Nassau and Southern
Nassau Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in very slippery
conditions on sidewalks, roads and bridges.

by **Grselig** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:54 am

light snow here. Just measured 1 inch

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:58 am

docstox12 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Doc and CP light sleet freezing rain and snow mixed mostly freezing rain flipped sooner than I thought. Not a good sign also I'm hearing it's sleeting and State College in PA so the warm air looks like to be winning out at the mid-levels

Huge flakes now.That indicates the changeover is coming real soon.No way we get 3 to 5 up here.So much for Bernie's "the cold air will hang tough" thesis,LOL.

I thought so too before, but it is still snowing here, looking at the radar, the rain was starting to move north, but then the cold pushed back and is pushing snow a little south.. amazing!

OK, Janet.When your area goes over, it's about 15 minutes until it gets here.HOLD THAT LINE,LOL!!!

I'm trying Doc! Thumbs up

by **docstox12** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:00 am

Dunnzoo wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
Dunnzoo wrote:
docstox12 wrote:
algae888 wrote:Doc and CP light sleet freezing rain and snow mixed mostly freezing rain flipped sooner than I thought. Not a good sign also I'm hearing it's sleeting and State College in PA so the warm air looks like to be winning out at the mid-levels

Huge flakes now.That indicates the changeover is coming real soon.No way we get 3 to 5 up here.So much for Bernie's "the cold air will hang tough" thesis,LOL.

I thought so too before, but it is still snowing here, looking at the radar, the rain was starting to move north, but then the cold pushed back and is pushing snow a little south.. amazing!

OK, Janet.When your area goes over, it's about 15 minutes until it gets here.HOLD THAT LINE,LOL!!!

I'm trying Doc!

Atta Girl Janet!!!! Kick that pink in the radar outta here,LOL!

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:00 am

jimv45 wrote:Yea Rb starting to mix with some sleet at times already not expecting much. You in Hopewell today?

Currently in Fishkill, but I will be out there this afternoon for work, unfortunately.......if I can make it there with the ice lol should be an interesting ride to work today, that's for sure haha

by **dkodgis** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:09 am

11 am. Two inches, snowing nicely. 23 degrees. This storm could be a contender.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:10 am

1.5" with a little mix of sleet, 28*

by **docstox12** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:13 am

Still snow here.Looks like 2 inches.At least there was 2 inches before the changeover.NWS had said 2 to 4.

by **aiannone** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:18 am

Have to say, I am impressed how long the cold air is hanging on over the coast

by **jimv45** Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:22 am

taking the kids to Hunter Mountain to ski, roads not good and with the ice coming got to be careful RB.

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