FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
+22
algae888
Grselig
Radz
CPcantmeasuresnow
bobjohnsonforthehall
Dunnzoo
Dtone
billg315
jmanley32
frank 638
RJB8525
Snow88
Math23x7
rb924119
Frank_Wx
docstox12
essexcountypete
amugs
hyde345
jimv45
aiannone
sroc4
26 posters
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Pouring snow. Huge flakes. Everything covered including highways. 28 degrees
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
latest hrrr and nam have this over by 6pm for nyc n and w. doc and cp you should stay all frozen through this event.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Maybe a few hours Al.Maybe we can get a few inches of snow before it changes over.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Coating of snow so far I will be happy with 3 inches but I doubt it
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
n/e winds temps in the 20's I do not see low level cold eroding as quickly as models indicate. even down near me this could get very nasty when we flip. good thing precip is falling during the daylight.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Good to see the Island and Shore folks getting snow now.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
this is a nice surprise Al snowing at a pretty heavy clip right now. Radar shows mix line very close but let's hope it stays put!algae888 wrote:n/e winds temps in the 20's I do not see low level cold eroding as quickly as models  indicate. even down near me this could get very nasty when we flip. good thing precip is falling during the daylight.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Absolutely pourng snow - in school - this mthr better change over or else heads will roll in my school - Low Level Cold air is stubborn!!
_________________
MugsÂ
AKA:King:Â Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Heavy snow, coming up to an inch.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
I think our wwa says 1 inch. It's the glaze of ice that's go make messy. They did a ton salt last night but roads still got covered. School in full swing better not change minds. By pickup time it should be okay here.frank 638 wrote:Coating of snow so far I will be happy with 3 inches but I doubt it
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Heavy snow
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
30* and snowing here. Moderate snow with occasionally large flakes. Started as a mix of light sleet and snow at just after 7 a.m., then went to all snow by 8 and has been snowing since. Ground is coated with snow/sleet.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
It's apparent the cold is always underestimated this year especially on models.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Same here daughter at school. hey guess what I may b joining the teacher crew. I have my second half of interview to be a early intervention specialist with kids with developmental delays and autism spectrum disorder. In a scientifically based school model using statistics to judge progress. Kids ages 1 to 3. I have to do a demo lesson plan tomorrow so wish me luck!amugs wrote:Absolutely pourng snow - in school - this mthr better change over or else heads will roll in my school - Low Level Cold air is stubborn!!
Last edited by jmanley32 on Wed Feb 07, 2018 9:39 am; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
yes. models do a good job with the mid levels. however are poor with low level cold air.jmanley32 wrote:It's apparent the cold is always underestimated this year especially on models.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
21.7 moderate/heavy snow.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Started off as sleet now heavy snow for the last 35min. Ground coated temp 30.7
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
well good lol. Gotten very fine now. In dd so can't tell if sleet or very fine snow.algae888 wrote:yes. models do a good job with the mid levels. however are poor with low level cold air.jmanley32 wrote:It's apparent the cold is always underestimated this year especially on models.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Moderate Snow big flakes sticking on all 30*
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
.6" so far back to smaller flakes. one concern is dry slot working through N.J.. precip could shut off for a while. most guidance has me flipping around noon so we could lose some qpf during coldest part of storm.
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
And back to sleet now haha. Temp 30
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Latest HRRR is warm for northern areas


aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
algae888 wrote:how is it possible to have changed in the Bronx when it is snowing in midtown Manhattan.Dtone wrote:20 mins of snow mostly changed to sleet and rain/frz rain now.
31*
It changed back to snow again here, Coating the streets now.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Dtone wrote:algae888 wrote:how is it possible to have changed in the Bronx when it is snowing in midtown Manhattan.Dtone wrote:20 mins of snow mostly changed to sleet and rain/frz rain now.
31*
It changed back to snow again here, Coating the streets now.
Seems like when the precip is light, it's sleet, then heavy, it's snow.
aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Looked good for about 20 minutes Got nothing now don't hear any sleet yet Soon 30*
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
Current 850:

925:


925:

aiannone- Advanced Forecaster
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Re: FEB 7th 2018---Front End Thump
aiannone wrote:Dtone wrote:algae888 wrote:how is it possible to have changed in the Bronx when it is snowing in midtown Manhattan.Dtone wrote:20 mins of snow mostly changed to sleet and rain/frz rain now.
31*
It changed back to snow again here, Coating the streets now.
Seems like when the precip is light, it's sleet, then heavy, it's snow.
Yeah was thinking the same. Its lightened up some and more sleet is returning again.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
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