Re: March 2nd Nor'easter Update

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:27 pm

Woah actually this still looks really good and winds at 850 go all way I to upstate wow! Heavy snow down to coast 977 mb

by **billg315** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:28 pm

I don't think that run is awful. I think it is in the ballpark of the previous run. Maybe a few slight differences that may not be favorable, but nothing I'm going to jump of the bandwagon for. Especially knowing we have about 4 more model runs before the storm is upon us.

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:29 pm

Hr 45 holy crap central NY with 28 already and still snowing eowee. Rb look at the 850 mb wind field it's insane!!

by **billg315** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:31 pm

I mean it still has the changeover around the same time, H5 didn't move too much. And it looks like it's still giving me over half-a-foot of snow (which for this storm, given where we came from, I would take).

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:31 pm

Peeps this is better than 18z!

by **nutleyblizzard** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:33 pm

rb924119 wrote:I disagree Frank. H5 actually looks better than 18z did.

I agree. H5 does look better than the last run.

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:33 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Peeps this is better than 18z!

Who seems to be wrong now, Jman???? told ya

by **aiannone** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:37 pm

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:38 pm

Wow just north of me sees Godzilla central NY frankzilla. I see 4 to 6 with 24 plus hrs of winds gusting to at least 50 to 60 mph. This go be eild no matter what.

by track17 Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:38 pm

Wait I am confused is it better or worse because frank said it was a bad trend or did I misunderstand?

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:39 pm

rb924119 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Peeps this is better than 18z!

Who seems to be wrong now, Jman????

I spoke to soon. It's not to great down here wish held as 18z but insane amounts just north.

by track17 Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:40 pm

Still has time to change for better or worse jman just gotta see

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:40 pm

I GET A FRANKZILLA ON THIS RUN!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:42 pm

Saw pivotal wx snow map with ratios and amounts are my chances higher. How? It's a warm wet snow?

by **hyde345** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:43 pm

I sent a message to NWS Albany asking for an explanation of their forecast in my area in mid HV. They have me in a flood watch with almost all rain with barely any mention of snow below 500 ft in elevation. I understand the thermal profiles are tricky with this system but shouldn't there be a mention of a chance of more significant snow accums given the latest Euro, Nam, and HRDPS. It seems like the Hi-res models are able to handle the dynamics of this system a little better. I know I won't get an answer but I thought I would try. This could be a major fail on their part if they are hugging the GFS as they normally do.

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:43 pm

rb924119 wrote:I GET A FRANKZILLA ON THIS RUN!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!

u got a spare room? Is this at all feasible? And if so could we at least see a godzilla in NYC the cut off is drastic from 30 up by you to 4 a hr south

by **billg315** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:44 pm

This gives me 6-10" with an afternoon and evening of solid snow. Sounds good to me. lol.

by **jmanley32** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:45 pm

Rb look at snow with ratios u see nearly 40 inches lmao

by **SoulSingMG** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:47 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Rb look at snow with ratios u see nearly 40 inches lmao

Jman, we still get 6-12!!! Laughing

by **jimv45** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:47 pm

My Hyde rb 2 feet here and like Hyde said we have a flood watch. It might mean they will wait for this to melt will see how this goes. but things could get bad if that comes close to happening with heavy wet snow and strong winds means trouble.

by **amugs** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:48 pm

NAMMMMMM

by **amugs** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:49 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I GET A FRANKZILLA ON THIS RUN!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
u got a spare room? Is this at all feasible? And if so could we at least see a godzilla in NYC the cut off is drastic from 30 up by you to 4 a hr south

Yup and no wah wah now let them win for once!!

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:51 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
algae888 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
amugs wrote:
does that ALLL have to come through the area before it ends so those 20+ totals will crash into coast too? All I care about is the bright reds and yellow over beantown haha!!!
yes jon probably another 6 hours of snow. you can see the low is still strengthening and is starting to shift south. the snow map would look very similar to the nam
humminah humminah lol

I've said it for a week but this still looks like Feb 26 2010. Pouring snow here and pouring rain in Red Sox Suck. As RB explained to me though very different dynamics but that rain snow line is still very similar on many runs.

by **amugs** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:51 pm

hyde345 wrote:I sent a message to NWS Albany asking for an explanation of their forecast in my area in mid HV. They have me in a flood watch with almost all rain with barely any mention of snow below 500 ft in elevation. I understand the thermal profiles are tricky with this system but shouldn't there be a mention of a chance of more significant snow accums given the latest Euro, Nam, and HRDPS. It seems like the Hi-res models are able to handle the dynamics of this system a little better. I know I won't get an answer but I thought I would try. This could be a major fail on their part if they are hugging the GFS as they normally do.

Hyde I have been harping on this since Monday the GFS is humps by our home grown met
GFS in these latent heat dynamic systems with marginal temp IS GOOD FOR SHIT!!
I HAVE SAIDNALLMALONG EURO, NAM BLEND. BOOK IT

by **billg315** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:52 pm

I'm about 6-10" but only a 30 minute drive to the north is 15-20" so I'm close to a pasting here.

by **oldtimer** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:53 pm

Where is Frank?? since last observation

by **rb924119** Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:53 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:I GET A FRANKZILLA ON THIS RUN!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
u got a spare room? Is this at all feasible? And if so could we at least see a godzilla in NYC the cut off is drastic from 30 up by you to 4 a hr south

Don't worry about snow maps verbatim - I absolutely think a Godzilla is possible.....broken record here...... NORTH OF I-78 lmao I don't think likely until north and west of the city, but certainly possible. Hell, this run gave you almost that anyway!!!!

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