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March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:56 pm

now that's a map where you can say everybody wins lol. SORRY MIKEY this is just our local


Last edited by RJB8525 on Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:57 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:57 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...A major snowstorm is on the way for portions of our area on
Wednesday...

.Unfortunately, a major nor`easter will be intensifying rapidly
Wednesday afternoon along the New Jersey coast. It is expected to
produce heavy wet snow for eastern Pennsylvania and portions New
Jersey Wednesday. Highest amounts should be in the hilly areas.
While this storm is still in watch phase, we recommend everyone
with activities in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey to have
contingency plans for altering travel and how to handle possible
power related impacts. These plans can then be applied once
warnings are issued, which will express more confidence in this
oncoming probable very high impact event. Wednesday may be a good
day to just stay home and be safe.


NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-061000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.A.0005.180307T0000Z-180308T0800Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-
Lehigh-Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading,
Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont,
and Perkasie
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14
inches are possible, heaviest amounts in the higher elevations.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northwest New Jersey and east
central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will probably be very difficult to
impossible, including during the evening commute on Wednesday.
Significant reductions in visibility are likely. Snow will
probably accumulate at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour for
several hours, especially during Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Power outages may develop from newly broken tree limbs
or from uprooted trees in the softened ground, especially where
6 inches or more accumulates on the branches. This could become
a dangerous situation and contingency plans should be developed
for altering activities as a high impact major snow storm is
expected Wednesday. If and when warnings are issued, those
contingency plans can be implemented. We recommend following the
advice of local officials and this may be a good day to just stay
home, to ensure safety.



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Post by mikeypizano Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:57 pm

HET STORM! COME WEST!!!!
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:59 pm

i hope the Jersey coastal folk here get in on the goods. you're due
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:00 pm

billg315 wrote:URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...A major snowstorm is on the way for portions of our area on
Wednesday...

.Unfortunately, a major nor`easter will be intensifying rapidly
Wednesday afternoon along the New Jersey coast. It is expected to
produce heavy wet snow for eastern Pennsylvania and portions New
Jersey Wednesday. Highest amounts should be in the hilly areas.
While this storm is still in watch phase, we recommend everyone
with activities in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey to have
contingency plans for altering travel and how to handle possible
power related impacts. These plans can then be applied once
warnings are issued, which will express more confidence in this
oncoming probable very high impact event. Wednesday may be a good
day to just stay home and be safe.


NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-103-105-061000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.A.0005.180307T0000Z-180308T0800Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-
Lehigh-Northampton-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading,
Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Collegeville, Pottstown, Chalfont,
and Perkasie
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14
 inches are possible, heaviest amounts in the higher elevations.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and northwest New Jersey and east
 central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will probably be very difficult to
 impossible, including during the evening commute on Wednesday.
 Significant reductions in visibility are likely. Snow will
 probably accumulate at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour for
 several hours, especially during Wednesday afternoon and
 evening. Power outages may develop from newly broken tree limbs
 or from uprooted trees in the softened ground, especially where
 6 inches or more accumulates on the branches. This could become
 a dangerous situation and contingency plans should be developed
 for altering activities as a high impact major snow storm is
 expected Wednesday. If and when warnings are issued, those
 contingency plans can be implemented. We recommend following the
 advice of local officials and this may be a good day to just stay
 home, to ensure safety.


yep I knew power outages go b issues again. Where's Upton they should basically b same from central long islsnd west.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:00 pm

Yes Godzilla mode!!!!
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Post by mikeypizano Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:01 pm

Hope it comes about 50 miles west...
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Post by crippo84 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:01 pm

This is seeming more long duration than earlier modeled no? What timeframe are we looking at? Start early morning Wednesday and ending around or after midnight wednesday night / thursday morning?
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:01 pm

-Godzilla mode activated. Thinking most places will come very close to 1 foot of snow.

-Chat tonight at 8:45pm. Check the other pinned thread for more details. Note, that is an old thread from last year but the instructions are the same. I posted the link in the last post of that thread

-Blog and 1st call snow map sometime before chat starts

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:02 pm

mikeypizano wrote:Hope it comes about 50 miles west...

you need to make good use out of that stocked fridge
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:02 pm

3km just nailed high end Godzilla 20 inches NYC I snow literally from midnight tomorrow to 10 pm wed. Nuts!
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:03 pm

crippo84 wrote:This is seeming more long duration than earlier modeled no?  What timeframe are we looking at?  Start early morning Wednesday and ending around or after midnight wednesday night / thursday morning?

1-2am Wednesday to 5-6pm Wesnesday

Fairly long but depends on whether or not the low pressure retrogrades or not

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Post by mikeypizano Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:03 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:Hope it comes about 50 miles west...

you need to make good use out of that stocked fridge

I need money Laughing
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:04 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:-Godzilla mode activated. Thinking most places will come very close to 1 foot of snow.

-Chat tonight at 8:45pm. Check the other pinned thread for more details. Note, that is an old thread from last year but the instructions are the same. I posted the link in the last post of that thread

-Blog and 1st call snow map sometime before chat starts
frank is 3km out to lunch or achievable?
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:05 pm

30 to 55 mph gusts on 3km nam too not good.
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Post by adamfitz1969 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:06 pm

March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 12.png.f0618e4f064e047599dbcb6e32de6139

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Post by amugs Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:13 pm

Who wants some Candy??
March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 Nam3km_asnow_neus_61

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Post by hurrysundown23 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:16 pm

PARLIN, NJ
Your Radar | Current Conditions | 15-Day Forecast
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
340 PM EST Mon Mar 5 2018

...A major snowstorm is on the way for portions of our area on
Wednesday...

.Unfortunately, a major nor'easter will be intensifying rapidly
Wednesday afternoon along the New Jersey coast. It is expected to
produce heavy wet snow for eastern Pennsylvania and portions New
Jersey Wednesday. Highest amounts should be in the hilly areas.
While this storm is still in watch phase, we recommend everyone
with activities in eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey to have
contingency plans for altering travel and how to handle possible
power related impacts. These plans can then be applied once
warnings are issued, which will express more confidence in this
oncoming probable very high impact event. Wednesday may be a good
day to just stay home and be safe.
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6
inches, with localized amounts up to 13 inches possible,
especially near and just west of the Interstate 95 corridor and
in the hilly areas of southeastern Pennsylvania and northeastern
New Jersey.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and southern New Jersey,
southeast Pennsylvania, northeast Maryland and northern
Delaware.

* WHEN...From Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions at
times, including during both commutes on Wednesday. Significant
reductions in visibility are likely. Snow should begin Tuesday
night with slushy accumulations by dawn Wednesday. There may be
a brief change to rain during the early morning daylight hours
but precipitation should change back to snow by midday and all
heavily for several hours during midday and the afternoon with 1
inch per hour rates. Wind gusts to 45 MPH will be possible in
northeastern New Jersey. The snow will be wet and may result in
power outages. So while there is still uncertainty, strong
consideration should be given to contingency plans should a
warning be issued for snow amounts exceeding 5 inches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:23 pm

Hearing RPM also obliterates us. Anyone have a map of it?
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Post by WeatherBob Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:23 pm

Anyone thinking TSNOW with that run?
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Post by mikeypizano Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:24 pm

March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 2d8ad410March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 2d8ad410
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Post by WeatherBob Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:28 pm

Uptown not out with forecast discussion and it 4:30 pm. Very ominous!!!!!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:29 pm

Anyone have the discussion for upton no not taking this lightly but NYC sees similar impscts and nw
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:30 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Uptown not out with forecast discussion and it 4:30 pm.  Very ominous!!!!!
lol we literally posted the same time. Ominous how? Like they aren't ready to post the beast that is to come?
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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:31 pm

Upton downgraded for eastern areas
March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 41aa0710

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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:31 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Uptown not out with forecast discussion and it 4:30 pm.  Very ominous!!!!!
Was thinking same thing. There are probably disagreements among forecasters since its the coast. I bet they are collaborating with other offices.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Mar 05, 2018 4:32 pm

March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 Stormt23

March 7th-8th 2018 Storm Potential - Page 17 Snowam13
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