Re: Wx Banter Thread 3.0

by **HectorO** Thu Dec 20, 2018 8:09 pm

dkodgis wrote:Dry is good for a while. The mud is bad. Cold is better. Ground is friozen. I sink into the ground when I get firewood

Which reminds me, I tired to use my shop vac to clean up the fireplace and it wasn't clipped at the top completely and ashy fog filled the room and house. Smelled awful too.

by **SENJsnowman** Fri Dec 21, 2018 10:08 am

Since it's me quoting The Weather Channel, this definitely goes in banter. But there's nothing funny about how spot on, once again, the pros on this board have been for the past 2 weeks (really the past 2 months). And there's also nothing funny about how much I appreciate the brilliance and the time you all share so generously!

But anyway, here is El Jefe met at TWC saying you all have been right all along:

"The current magnitude/flavor of El Niño event and expected high-latitude blocking associated with the solar minimum (and backed up by the November blocking) add up to heavily skewed odds toward a colder, stormier late-winter period," said Dr. Todd Crawford, chief meteorologist with The Weather Company.

"The stratospheric polar vortex has been taking a beating, and there are indications that a significant stratospheric warming event is coming soon, by displacement or split, which may also help to increase probabilities of the sort of high-latitude blocking that would favor a colder late-winter look," Crawford said.

"Everything is still on track for a notably cold, stormy late-winter period in the eastern and southern U.S., especially in February," Crawford said.

Link to the article below. But be warned, it's filled with unadulterated winter weenie optimismmmmmmmmmmmm......... santa

https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2018-12-20-january-february-march-2019-us-temperature-outlook-the-weather

by **dkodgis** Fri Dec 21, 2018 10:33 am

I love hearing the Polar Express is coming. Hector, get a diuble HEPA VAC from HD for $90. Works

by Guest Fri Dec 21, 2018 1:29 pm

This weather sucks sooooooooooooo bad. Please get me to January in one piece

by **Dunnzoo** Fri Dec 21, 2018 2:31 pm

syosnow94 wrote:This weather sucks sooooooooooooo bad. Please get me to January in one piece

Hence (love that word!) the attempt for a get together on the 30th!

by **billg315** Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:16 am

The two time frames that I'm most interested in because it coincides with the projected pattern change and the models seems to be persistent in hinting about something are NYE/New Years Day followed quickly by something in the Jan 4-6 time frame. While far off, those two potential event time frames feel "real" to me.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:26 am

Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Dec 22, 2018 10:37 am

jmanley32 wrote:Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

Beg to differ

by **heehaw453** Sat Dec 22, 2018 11:38 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

Beg to differ

Yes, there's definitely some potential there. Hopefully by this time the pattern is less conducive to cutters because cold air should be in better supply if that's the case.

by **billg315** Sat Dec 22, 2018 11:48 am

jmanley32 wrote:Yep GFS shows two beautiful big rain storms : ) Why change regularity right?

Actually (although I don’t take models verbatim that far out anyway) the 12z GFS just out shows snowstorms both dates/time frames.

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:17 pm

Courtesy of Joe Cioffi!

TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE CHRISTMAS (snow lover version) I wrote this December 2014.

Twas the night before Christmas and all through the east
Not a snowflake was flying, Not one in the least
Snow lovers where checking inside of a stocking
To see if Santa would leave them some blocking
The pattern you see is very complex
Because ot the northernmost polar vortex
While some models show the pattern will switch
there is always a model that puts up a hitch
The weenies all lined up along side a bridge
And threatened to jump because of the ridge
But whether it changes or just stays the same
The day to day weather will always remain
A challenge to forecast for which is your call
From Joe Cioffi the wish, Merry Christmas to All!

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:31 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Courtesy of Joe Cioffi!

TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE CHRISTMAS (snow lover version) I wrote this December 2014.

Twas the night before Christmas and all through the east
Not a snowflake was flying, Not one in the least
Snow lovers where checking inside of a stocking
To see if Santa would leave them some blocking
The pattern you see is very complex
Because ot the northernmost polar vortex
While some models show the pattern will switch
there is always a model that puts up a hitch
The weenies all lined up along side a bridge
And threatened to jump because of the ridge
But whether it changes or just stays the same
The day to day weather will always remain
A challenge to forecast for which is your call
From Joe Cioffi the wish, Merry Christmas to All!

Ohhh that was great! LOL

by **sroc4** Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:06 am

by **sroc4** Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:08 am

Jimmy and Jman……….

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Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 Now-6b6a77c9-9faa-464e-b9ab-9cc6741a36a9-1210-680

by **sroc4** Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:10 am

Don't you worry. Daddy wont let the no snow monster hurt you. Trust me the no snow monster isn't real. Go to sleep. And when you wake Daddy will have a nice surprise for you in January. SHHHHHhhhhhhhhhhhh

Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 E4471f82dcc2c048b42578954fe5c905

Wx Banter Thread 3.0 - Page 38 E4471f82dcc2c048b42578954fe5c905

by Guest Sun Dec 23, 2018 7:10 am

sroc4 wrote:Jimmy and Jman……….

Very good and in my case accurate

by **SENJsnowman** Sun Dec 23, 2018 8:07 am

Lost in all of y'alls northern-ist hysterics is the fact that us southern folk are just getting beaten D.O.W.N. by this pattern. I mean not even a real hope of even mood flakes. MOOD FLAKES!!! Twisted Evil

So, while you all are wondering will it or won't it, just know that from about exit 125 on down, exit 100 for sure...it won't. Sad

As down as I am about that, I am just as jacked up about the 'new' pattern. They say it's coming...they say it will deliver. At least around when "they" say it, it's when, not if. cheers

by **sroc4** Sun Dec 23, 2018 10:19 am

Jimmy. Look at this crap!!

by **billg315** Mon Dec 24, 2018 11:23 am

Do not sleep on 12/31 and 1/4 time frames.

by **SENJsnowman** Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:18 am

SROC thanks for those updates on the SSW...still have an 80-90 day window of time to capitalize, so a 2-3 week delay in the grand scheme of things could be quickly forgotten!

Would be nice if the atmosphere can throw us a bone or two in the meantime though...

by **sroc4** Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:36 am

billg315 wrote:Do not sleep on 12/31 and 1/4 time frames.

Def not Bill

by Guest Wed Dec 26, 2018 8:50 am

SENJsnowman wrote:SROC thanks for those updates on the SSW...still have an 80-90 day window of time to capitalize, so a 2-3 week delay in the grand scheme of things could be quickly forgotten!

Would be nice if the atmosphere can throw us a bone or two in the meantime though...

A 2-3 week delay is HUGE. We only get a 10 week window of prime snow time for us and this cuts 20% off of that

by **SENJsnowman** Wed Dec 26, 2018 9:43 am

I'm trying to stay positive, diplomatic and optimistic...just cuz that feels better to me. And I do think IF the pattern does deliver the goods over a 4-6 week period, the atmosphere's Great December Fail will quickly fade to an ironic footnote.

But there is no arguing that mid-late December is prime time and this lost potential could prove costly...

by **Scullybutcher** Wed Dec 26, 2018 10:15 am

Tomorrow is the 27th where is my snow. Lol

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