Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Upton has my area in west/central LI for 2-4” Monday night and 2-4” Tuesday morning. I say they go WS Watches for Suffolk LI at 4 pm and WWA for 3-5 back west through eastern NJ and LHV

syosnow94 wrote:Upton has my area in west/central LI for 2-4” Monday night and 2-4” Tuesday morning. I say they go WS Watches for Suffolk LI at 4 pm and  WWA for 3-5 back west through eastern NJ and LHV

at this pt sounds ok to me. I honestly just want one more snow day Tues lol

Already up syo. Even Fairfield county that's 15 miles from me very close to getting a wsw. Here. But no advisory guess still not sure.

Oh warnings u meant. Nws says low to moderate chance of warning level snows here but advisory likely. And aren't their updates now 5 pm with dst?

WSWatchws issued for Nassau Suffolk 4-8”. 6-12” waaaaynout east.

jmanley32 wrote:Already up syo. Even Fairfield county that's 15 miles from me very close to getting a wsw. Here. But no advisory guess still not sure.

Woah! It's true! I'm having brunch right now just over the river in the Byram Village of Greenwich and am under a Winter Storm Watch! I'll drive a quarter mile back over the bridge in Port Chester and be home...with no WSW. Haha

syosnow94 wrote:Soul that has most of our firumnat over a 50% chance of greater than 4”. That’s pretty aggressive on their part. I hope my map busts

Agreed, it's aggressive. Even Upton suggests trends will bring the storm closer west to the benchmark in their write-up.

It’s like the NWS copies my map

syosnow94 wrote:It’s like the NWS copies my map

I'm going with this theory.

Okay now I think we can start thinking this may be over 12km nam is well east and almost ots

Uptown Disco.

Timing for steadiest and heaviest snow appears to be overnight
Monday night into early Tuesday. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches
per hour are quite possible over eastern sections, based on
latest frontogenesis and likely banding. The Tuesday morning
commute will be impacted.

Assuming the track and intensity forecast is correct, a 970 hpa
low near or just east of the benchmark, would expect heaviest
snow and highest accumulations to be placed along the coast,
east of NYC.

Have expanded the Winter Storm Watch from Monday evening
through Tuesday to Long Island (east of NYC) and southern CT,
with highest amounts east. A foot of snow is possible in spots
over SE CT and eastern LI.

Well precip is still heavy for a while into the area. I just don't know anymore. Yeah soul the stmsntics ate just silly the cut off isn't go b that drastic though could be close.

oooo... nice looking improvements already on the 18z NAM run. Looks more phase-friendly...

SoulSingMG wrote:oooo... nice looking improvements already on the 18z NAM run. Looks more phase-friendly...

it's not great on surface lp is east and s.

Actually is it inside the bm? It was east but then came more north

jmanley32 wrote:Actually is it inside the bm? It was east but then came more north

It dug deeper. Surface is less important right now than the upper level interactions.

West and stronger south of Nantucket sub 970!!

Their was better phasing with the nam that's why their was a tug west. H5 was Definetly better. If we get a earlier phase by 3 hours then its on its still trending better

jmanley32 wrote:Okay now I think we can start thinking this may be over 12km nam is well east and almost ots

No where near OTS, actually looks closer to the coast...

MUCH BETTER! Long Island gets snow bombed!

Radz wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Okay now I think we can start thinking this may be over 12km nam is well east and almost ots

No where near OTS, actually looks closer to the coast...

It was it tugged west better phase

Wow eastern CT to ma roudzilla

I will post my 1st call snow map after analyzing the NAM run.

Wow the prep totals expanded at least 100 miles west.

I moved my reply to banter. Don't want to crowd the space here.

Things are getting interesting.

If we can get this 50 to 100 miles more west NYC on east sees a Godzilla maybe even far eastern nj.