NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

+77
Artechmetals
snowlover78
Lnda23
cooladi
Dtone
WeatherBob
mancave25
snemiroff
Dunnzoo
dad4twoboys
jldio
Radz
Sparky Sparticles
lisalamb
petep10
heehaw453
toople
jake732
Snow88
Joe Snow
2004blackwrx
SENJsnowman
devsman
oldtimer
freezerburn
docstox12
brownie
HeresL
Math23x7
mwilli5783
SkiSeadooJoe
hurrysundown23
frank 638
emokid51783
Vinnydula
mikeypizano
Aiosamoney21
richb521
GreyBeard
Carter bk
sroc4
bluebythec
dkodgis
Angela0621
deadrabbit79
bobjohnsonforthehall
larryrock72
skinsfan1177
Smittyaj623
rb924119
nujerzeedevil
shawnerak
bloc1357
gigs68
jjlane25
Grselig
nutleyblizzard
essexcountypete
mmanisca
dsix85
crippo84
RJB8525
jimv45
algae888
Scullybutcher
Quietace
adamfitz1969
aiannone
amugs
billg315
Taffy
jmanley32
weatherwatchermom
CPcantmeasuresnow
SoulSingMG
Sanchize06
Frank_Wx
81 posters

Page 3 of 40 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 21 ... 40  Next

Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:30 am

amugs wrote:Upton hinting at possible now dont blow teh roof here but possibly hoisting B warnings for LI and then redressing for NYC Metro. I know Goodman from Upton and he said they just are waiting for 12Z suite to finish - need a little more support but it is on the table for NYC Metro.

Woah so blizzard warnings should be issued within an hour or 2?

aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Join date : 2013-01-07

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:31 am

I will take the latest Nam for southern Dutchess, but boy northern areas get the shaft big time.

jimv45
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1168
Join date : 2013-09-20

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:32 am

The 12z NAM just laid down the Godzilla hammer

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 5ab1198ff41b8_download(20).thumb.gif.73d5277cbadd81a59035f75cbb204777

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:35 am

GODZILLA ON THE WAY!

NEW SNOW MAP AROUND 3PM

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by RJB8525 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:36 am

has the south and east trend begun for us north westerners?
RJB8525
RJB8525
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1994
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 38
Location : Hackettstown, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:38 am

The Nam looks likes it backs in some nice precip into Thursday.

jimv45
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1168
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : Hopewell jct.

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by billg315 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:44 am

32* here with a dewpoint of 10*. Under this morning's thick cloud cover and with a chilly NE breeze the temperature has not risen a degree since 7 a.m. Unless that changes much in the next few hours, this storm should get going tonight with plenty of cold at the surface.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by amugs Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:45 am

aiannone wrote:
amugs wrote:Upton hinting at possible now dont blow teh roof here but possibly hoisting B warnings for LI and then redressing for NYC Metro. I know Goodman from Upton and he said they just are waiting for 12Z suite to finish - need a little more support but it is on the table for NYC Metro.

Woah so blizzard warnings should be issued within an hour or 2?

Alex, next update 12PM? Or they wait till Euro and 2PM?

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by crippo84 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:47 am

Correct me if I'm wrong but the NAM shows surface temps below freezing this time for the duration of the heaviest precip no? Are we still thinking 8:1 ratios and very wet snow again?
crippo84
crippo84

Posts : 383
Reputation : 20
Join date : 2013-11-07
Age : 40
Location : East Village, NYC

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:47 am

billg315 wrote:32* here with a dewpoint of 10*.  Under this morning's thick cloud cover and with a chilly NE breeze the temperature has not risen a degree since 7 a.m. Unless that changes much in the next few hours, this storm should get going tonight with plenty of cold at the surface.

25 here Bill. Lots of cold air to filter down to you tomorrow and help you out. It's what we do in the HV.
CPcantmeasuresnow
CPcantmeasuresnow
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7265
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by amugs Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:49 am

Peeps just look at all the latent heat in teh gulf states with the tornados and severe weather t-storm etc. This going to be a beast. Whenever you see this there are tremendous dynamics at play that models will under do. Not saying more than what NWS has put up but the possibility of over performing is on teh table from this observation.

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 DYvQPrbVwAAZVDe

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 DYvL8UoXkAInP7f

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by billg315 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:51 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
billg315 wrote:32* here with a dewpoint of 10*.  Under this morning's thick cloud cover and with a chilly NE breeze the temperature has not risen a degree since 7 a.m. Unless that changes much in the next few hours, this storm should get going tonight with plenty of cold at the surface.

25 here Bill. Lots of cold air to filter down to you tomorrow and help you out. It's what we do in the HV.

Much appreciated. You send the cold air down here tonight and tomorrow and I'll ship the heavy precip bands up your way during the day tomorrow after I'm done with them here.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by billg315 Tue Mar 20, 2018 10:59 am

Currently moderate rain in South Jersey. Light snow in Philadelphia. Be interesting to see how far north that makes it during the day today. Seems to be making progress aloft, but the air is so dry over me now (32* temp/10* dewpoint) that I don't expect anything much to reach the ground in the next few hours.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:00 am

12z RGEM is Madonne. Note I am showing this in 2 hour increments.

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 I_nw_EST_2018032012_028

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 I_nw_EST_2018032012_030

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 I_nw_EST_2018032012_032

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 I_nw_EST_2018032012_034

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 I_nw_EST_2018032012_036

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 I_nw_EST_2018032012_036

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by dsix85 Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:05 am

Frank- you anticipate blizzard warnings to go up in some areas?

dsix85
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 349
Reputation : 8
Join date : 2014-01-01
Location : New York

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:08 am

Frank, correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems the significant sleet threat for the coast has been basically eliminated or at most reduced to a brief period at the onset.

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:08 am

The RGEM and the NAM show 12-18” for many on our forum on March 21st. Incredible

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Quietace Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:14 am

aiannone wrote:Frank, correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems the significant sleet threat for the coast has been basically eliminated or at most reduced to a brief period at the onset.
For LI yes, some parts of JS, especially further south may have potential mixing until mid-day. This would be specific for extreme coastal areas. Check the skew-t's off of the 3km NAM for verification. There seems to be a warm nose in the mid-layers (approx 850 or so) for a bit. I would side for more sleet than a liquid p-type, though it would cut down on totals.
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Quietace Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:19 am

Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Frank, correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems the significant sleet threat for the coast has been basically eliminated or at most reduced to a brief period at the onset.
For LI yes, some parts of JS, especially further south may have potential mixing until mid-day. This would be specific for extreme coastal areas.  Check the skew-t's off of the 3km NAM for verification. There seems to be a warm nose in the mid-layers (approx 850 or so) for a bit. I would side for more sleet than a liquid p-type, though it would cut down on totals.
This is gone though by 18z or earlier but 850s are rather borderline until after that. Such that the amount of snow lost is equivalent to the length of time that sticks around. I would bet on the shorter rather than the longer given the track of the mid-level lows even with the strong WAA out of the east. Surface temps along the coast have to be watched during this time as well, though I am less inclined to worry this time around given the rates.
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3687
Reputation : 33
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 26
Location : Point Pleasant, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Sanchize06 Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:37 am

12z GFS coming in west of 6z, should be a huge hit like 0z was

Sanchize06
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1041
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:41 am

Only issue with 12z GFS is it's slightly warmer than 0z

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:48 am

Crapola and Regular
March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Captur75
March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Captur76

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Sanchize06 Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:49 am

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Sn10_acc.us_ne

Sanchize06
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1041
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by mmanisca Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:53 am

Agreed. I don't like those 850 temperatures.
mmanisca
mmanisca
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 298
Reputation : 3
Join date : 2013-01-23
Age : 65
Location : Deer Park, Long Island

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:55 am

dsix85 wrote:Frank- you anticipate blizzard warnings to go up in some areas?

Yes, NYC Metro, eastern NJ and LI

aiannone wrote:Frank, correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems the significant sleet threat for the coast has been basically eliminated or at most reduced to a brief period at the onset.

Correct and...

Quietace wrote:
aiannone wrote:Frank, correct me if I'm wrong, but it seems the significant sleet threat for the coast has been basically eliminated or at most reduced to a brief period at the onset.
For LI yes, some parts of JS, especially further south may have potential mixing until mid-day. This would be specific for extreme coastal areas.  Check the skew-t's off of the 3km NAM for verification. There seems to be a warm nose in the mid-layers (approx 850 or so) for a bit. I would side for more sleet than a liquid p-type, though it would cut down on totals.

...this is the reason why

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:55 am

12z CMC is unbelievable

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 C262D802-C6DB-4497-A844-80D847CDB8B1.thumb.png.dce30d507575c6d2e5eff57b6e4c64ff

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:56 am

GFS

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 7B52DD0D-1EE8-4CB7-B4FE-EA1E617F6D4B.thumb.png.e95d76ad09fc537b1c51cbe734d44450

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 3925F8A1-D4F7-4013-B59A-7F92914206F3.thumb.png.4168e1619d83166e6ec374ba48236597

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21303
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 3 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 40 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4 ... 21 ... 40  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum