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March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

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March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 Empty Re: March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 20, 2018 11:57 am

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 Image.thumb.png.c48f78bc142c1f80c2300df1dc6aefe2

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:00 pm

I don’t think any serious forecaster is going to put stock in the GFS especially it’s thermal profiles inside of 24 hours

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Post by essexcountypete Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:02 pm

Looking at radar, moisture moving north rapidly after stalling a bit earlier. Hard to know what's actually hitting the ground, but it looks like we may get precip a little sooner than expected.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:04 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I don’t think any serious forecaster is going to put stock in the GFS especially it’s thermal profiles inside of 24 hours
Many TV mets probably will. They love to hump that model which is aggravating to say the least.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:05 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:12z CMC is unbelievable

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 C262D802-C6DB-4497-A844-80D847CDB8B1.thumb.png.dce30d507575c6d2e5eff57b6e4c64ff

Why is SFC temp so warm on the CMC. I'd assume it doesn't do well with mesoscale features
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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:08 pm

If I were going to make a change to my snow map, which I won't, it would be to included "isolated 15-20" amounts within the orange area." I think that some in my 10-15 range may jackpot even higher.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:22 pm

Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:25 pm

Wowee cmc!! All models except gfs now showing well over 12.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:31 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.
JMan if they pull the trigger with a blizzard warning not only will you be included but probably all of eastern NJ (myself included) as well. Tell you the truth, I'd rather not have an all out blizzard cause they tend to mess with snow ratios. On the other hand when you get a blizzard warning in your area you get sense of bravado. To each their own I guess.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:35 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.
JMan if they pull the trigger with a blizzard warning not only will you be included but probably all of eastern NJ (myself included) as well. Tell you the truth, I'd rather not have an all out blizzard cause they tend to mess with snow ratios. On the other hand when you get a blizzard warning in your area you get sense of bravado. To each their own I guess.
that's it it doesn't mean much impact wise but it's fun to say I got a blizzard warning lol. But ur right bout totals.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:42 pm

Our temp dropped 4 degrees since I went into school down to 31 feels like snow....need to catch up on posts
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Post by amugs Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:43 pm

GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 SN_000-048_0000

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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:45 pm

12z HRDPS

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 Hrdps_asnow_neus_48

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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:45 pm

@amugs wrote:GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 SN_000-048_0000

Beat me to it lol

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Post by Sanchize06 Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:47 pm

CMC

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 Sn10_acc.us_ne

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Post by Taffy Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:49 pm

@amugs wrote:GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 SN_000-048_0000





I don't know a lot but even I know I haven't personally seen anything like this in I don't know when.
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Post by amugs Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:51 pm

UKIE TOO - JESUS H this is escalating biggly!!

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Post by amugs Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:54 pm

40-50MM = 1.6" - 2" of QPF
Christ at 8:1 is a Godzilla!
UKIE a bit more tucked as well
All we need is EURO and BOOYAAAHHH NWS have their hands full!

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Post by Grselig Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:55 pm

Ironic. Godzilla stomping Tokyo (my son loves Godzilla) just popped up on my playlist. Gotta archive the GEM.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:57 pm

@Grselig wrote:Ironic.  Godzilla stomping Tokyo (my son loves Godzilla) just popped up on my playlist.  Gotta archive the GEM.

In the spirit of this storm, I just ordered a Godzilla roll for lunch from my local sushi restaurant haha
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:02 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.
JMan if they pull the trigger with a blizzard warning not only will you be included but probably all of eastern NJ (myself included) as well. Tell you the truth, I'd rather not have an all out blizzard cause they tend to mess with snow ratios. On the other hand when you get a blizzard warning in your area you get sense of bravado. To each their own I guess.

High winds do tend to lower snow ratios. It's another reason I can do without high winds in a snow storm. That of course and all of the damage, destruction and power outages. Like you say to each his own though.
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Post by amugs Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:07 pm

THIS IS EASILY RAMPING UP TO NESIS TERRITORY!!!!!!

A HISTORIC EC BLIZZARD IN THE MAKING HERE PEEPS AND ITS SPRING!!!!!!

EURO COMES IN WITH A BANG AND WE HAVE A CLEAN SWEEP AND.............................. PULL THE PLUG!

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:07 pm

@Taffy wrote:
@amugs wrote:GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 SN_000-048_0000





I don't know a lot but even I know I haven't personally seen anything like this in I don't know when.

It's like I was saying yesterday and this morning and Frank has reiterated about the northern area cutoffs.

Very sharp cutoffs in the north, really sharp. I'm sitting pretty in that depiction but a 25 mile shift south and I'm whining like a three year old tomorrow.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:07 pm

Can we hug TWC?
March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations - Page 4 Captur19
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Post by jjlane25 Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:15 pm

do we have a sense of the time frame for NYC (where my office is) and the Union County area (where I live)? Is this they type of thing where it picks up in the afternoon or is it bad all day Wednesday?

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