March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

12z CMC is unbelievable

GFS

I don’t think any serious forecaster is going to put stock in the GFS especially it’s thermal profiles inside of 24 hours

Looking at radar, moisture moving north rapidly after stalling a bit earlier. Hard to know what's actually hitting the ground, but it looks like we may get precip a little sooner than expected.

syosnow94 wrote:I don’t think any serious forecaster is going to put stock in the GFS especially it’s thermal profiles inside of 24 hours

Many TV mets probably will. They love to hump that model which is aggravating to say the least.

Frank_Wx wrote:12z CMC is unbelievable

Why is SFC temp so warm on the CMC. I'd assume it doesn't do well with mesoscale features

If I were going to make a change to my snow map, which I won't, it would be to included "isolated 15-20" amounts within the orange area." I think that some in my 10-15 range may jackpot even higher.

Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.

Wowee cmc!! All models except gfs now showing well over 12.

jmanley32 wrote:Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.

JMan if they pull the trigger with a blizzard warning not only will you be included but probably all of eastern NJ (myself included) as well. Tell you the truth, I'd rather not have an all out blizzard cause they tend to mess with snow ratios. On the other hand when you get a blizzard warning in your area you get sense of bravado. To each their own I guess.

nutleyblizzard wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.

JMan if they pull the trigger with a blizzard warning not only will you be included but probably all of eastern NJ (myself included) as well. Tell you the truth, I'd rather not have an all out blizzard cause they tend to mess with snow ratios. On the other hand when you get a blizzard warning in your area you get sense of bravado. To each their own I guess.

that's it it doesn't mean much impact wise but it's fun to say I got a blizzard warning lol. But ur right bout totals.

Our temp dropped 4 degrees since I went into school down to 31 feels like snow....need to catch up on posts

12z HRDPS

amugs wrote:GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

Beat me to it lol

CMC

amugs wrote:GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

I don't know a lot but even I know I haven't personally seen anything like this in I don't know when.

UKIE TOO - JESUS H this is escalating biggly!!

40-50MM = 1.6" - 2" of QPF
Christ at 8:1 is a Godzilla!
UKIE a bit more tucked as well
All we need is EURO and BOOYAAAHHH NWS have their hands full!

Ironic. Godzilla stomping Tokyo (my son loves Godzilla) just popped up on my playlist. Gotta archive the GEM.

Grselig wrote:Ironic.  Godzilla stomping Tokyo (my son loves Godzilla) just popped up on my playlist.  Gotta archive the GEM.

In the spirit of this storm, I just ordered a Godzilla roll for lunch from my local sushi restaurant haha

nutleyblizzard wrote:

jmanley32 wrote:Frank is NYC metro including Bronx and southern wc or just NYC itself? I would live to see a blizzard warning then school will def b called.

JMan if they pull the trigger with a blizzard warning not only will you be included but probably all of eastern NJ (myself included) as well. Tell you the truth, I'd rather not have an all out blizzard cause they tend to mess with snow ratios. On the other hand when you get a blizzard warning in your area you get sense of bravado. To each their own I guess.

High winds do tend to lower snow ratios. It's another reason I can do without high winds in a snow storm. That of course and all of the damage, destruction and power outages. Like you say to each his own though.

THIS IS EASILY RAMPING UP TO NESIS TERRITORY!!!!!!

A HISTORIC EC BLIZZARD IN THE MAKING HERE PEEPS AND ITS SPRING!!!!!!

EURO COMES IN WITH A BANG AND WE HAVE A CLEAN SWEEP AND.............................. PULL THE PLUG!

Taffy wrote:

amugs wrote:GEM LAM HOLY SHT!!!!!!!

I don't know a lot but even I know I haven't personally seen anything like this in I don't know when.

It's like I was saying yesterday and this morning and Frank has reiterated about the northern area cutoffs.

Very sharp cutoffs in the north, really sharp. I'm sitting pretty in that depiction but a 25 mile shift south and I'm whining like a three year old tomorrow.

Can we hug TWC?

do we have a sense of the time frame for NYC (where my office is) and the Union County area (where I live)? Is this they type of thing where it picks up in the afternoon or is it bad all day Wednesday?