March Madness! Spring Snowstorm Observations

Just woke up and scrolled Twatter. Why is Steve D cancelling the storm?

OK FINALLY, somebody flipped a switch. Starting to snow again,lol.

Either he's really seeing something, or trying to verify his map lol

Is the HRRR our most reliable meso model?

Just did a prelim measurement. I am at 2 in , Just starting to stick on sidewalks and parking lot. I think we will be surprised with the ratios come later this aft / eve. I can smell it in the air! I got a flashback when I was a kid when I was outside, that fresh smell of snow!

Latest HRRR

MAJOR DRY SLOT INCOMMING FOR MOST OF THE BOARD BY LOOKING AT RADAR. ESPECIALLY COASTAL AREAS

Forget the HRRR, or any other model, look at the 700 mb map see where the front is , I can almost guarantee the 700 mb low will follow that front ENE off the southern Delaware coast.

Brownie, also note the radar I posted is high res so it picks up well on the difference between dry areas and heavy precip. And you may have other radars that would actually show snow over that dry slot so that you might think it’s snowing by looking at the radar but you look out the window and it’s not. Some radars do better at picking up what’s really reaching the ground vs what is just falling aloft. Hope that helps.

aiannone wrote:Latest HRRR

STOOOOOPPPPPPP each new run i get less and less lmao

Snowing at a pretty good rate again. That being said, I'm going to take a break. I think you all can finally manage some of these maps and models without me!

syosnow94 wrote:MAJOR DRY SLOT INCOMMING FOR MOST OF THE BOARD BY LOOKING AT RADAR. ESPECIALLY COASTAL AREAS

Where?


This is a direct feed from NWS:

can someone please explain whats going on with the coast we had no accumulations today yet and right now theres just a light mixture of sleet and snow

Joe Snow wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:MAJOR DRY SLOT INCOMMING FOR MOST OF THE BOARD BY LOOKING AT RADAR. ESPECIALLY COASTAL AREAS

Where?


This is a direct feed from NWS:

loop the radar from out over the ocean

jake732 wrote:can someone please explain whats going on with the coast we had no accumulations today yet and right now theres just a light mixture of sleet and snow

Appetizer

Still early, but I have to say, the secondary low is really taking it's time getting it's act together and that's why areas along the coast are seeing light and broken up precip falling as sleet or light snow. Those precip rates don't cut it in March as far as accumulations. Once the low develops, the coast will see heavy accumulating snow, but there's no denying a lot of time and precip being wasted. That combined with the low looking a little east and developing the bands more east as a result, accumulations
could definitely be on the lower end of the ranges.

Frank any idea when that dry spot will fill in ?

Look at the radar loop from the NWS from mount holly.  Loop it.  See all the precip moving NW off the southern NJ coast and Delaware into southern NJ and eastern PA?  That will shift east in time with the upper system.  Patience is a virtue

Dry air winning out up here! be lucky to get a dusting, but hey got the last 3 so good luck for our southern peeps enjoy.

2” + here right now. Main roads slushy

Bob are you still with very light snow ? I'm in Livingston 5 miles from you

WeatherBob wrote:Look at the radar loop from the NWS from mount holly.  Loop it.  See all the precip moving NW off the southern NJ coast and Delaware into southern NJ and eastern PA?  That will shift east in time with the upper system.  Patience is a virtue

Correct.

WeatherBob wrote:Look at the radar loop from the NWS from mount holly.  Loop it.  See all the precip moving NW off the southern NJ coast and Delaware into southern NJ and eastern PA?  That will shift east in time with the upper system.  Patience is a virtue

Ditto this.

Snow is picking up now moderate to heavy close to over 2 inches.

Ok...Mt Holly's seen enough evidence to raise map totals again..they expanded the 10" marker and now decreased it and upped areas like me

Yupp he's trying to verify is low-ball forecast

jimv45 wrote:Dry air winning out up here! be lucky to get a dusting, but hey got the last 3 so good luck for our southern peeps enjoy.

20 miles south of you light to moderate snow now Jim but it took a long time to get to that yet it's still ahead of schedule of any model runs I saw yesterday.

Expect little give much will be our motto for the day. The further north you go the tougher it will be to get enough qpf. It's a shame to as I sit at 27.5 degrees. If we could squeeze out .5 I think we can get 6-8. Not sure if we will though, especially up as far as you.