APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Page 3 of 10
Page 3 of 10 • 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
I can't believe its 60 today and its supposed to snow in about 12 hrs....Hard believe it will stick to anything. Am I hearing a bigger storm for Fri-Sat?! This is nuts.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 17938
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
@jmanley32 wrote:I can't believe its 60 today and its supposed to snow in about 12 hrs....Hard believe it will stick to anything. Am I hearing a bigger storm for Fri-Sat?! This is nuts.
The only hope is that the sun isnt shining bright. 60 with all the pavement/asphalt etc soaking up direct sunlight asorbs and stores alot of heat. The NWS discussion still had some uncertainty with UHI acclumation. Sounds like they contemplated leaving the city out of the Advisory but decided to play it safe and include everyone.
Dtone- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 1738
Reputation : 9
Join date : 2013-08-26
Location : Bronx, NY
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
6” may fall from the sky but only and inch or 2 will stick
Scullybutcher- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 504
Reputation : 16
Join date : 2013-02-06
Location : North Smithtown, western Suffolk county, long island
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Wind has shifted to the northwest and dewpoints are 38* (forecast to be upper 20s overnight). Temps in Ohio and western PA have dropped into the upper 40s, so colder air is approaching. Right now the HRRR has most people at or below freezing by 5 or 6 am. With dewpoints in the upper 20s easy to see how quickly the temps will drop once the precip gets going, which should start by 2 or 3 am.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
18z NAM, heavy snows just north of the R/S line, 6-8" in parts of CNJ. Probably a little overdone, but nice event


Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 969
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ
Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 969
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Very key factor here for roads is how heavy the snow gets before 7 am. With no sun and less traffic, areas that are in heavy snow at 5 or 6 am should see snow covered roads except maybe the major highways. If the snow is light, it will have a lot of trouble sticking on any road surface at these temps.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
We are in the Poconos on a family vaca and its 61° right and beautiful
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Some current temps to our west behind the cold front:
Erie PA 33*
Buffalo NY 32*
Cleveland OH 36*
Columbus OH 48*
Erie PA 33*
Buffalo NY 32*
Cleveland OH 36*
Columbus OH 48*
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
18z RGEM. Looks like 18z runs came in a little wetter

12z


12z

Sanchize06- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 969
Reputation : 21
Join date : 2013-02-05
Location : Union Beach, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Skins sounds nice for now but if you’re still at 61 in the poconos grab your sweater because it probably will drop into the low 40s in the next couple hours.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
@billg315 wrote:Skins sounds nice for now but if you’re still at 61 in the poconos grab your sweater because it probably will drop into the low 40s in the next couple hours.
I know its crazy. What's expected here in Poconos I'm hearing 6-8
skinsfan1177- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 4442
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
@skinsfan1177 wrote:@billg315 wrote:Skins sounds nice for now but if you’re still at 61 in the poconos grab your sweater because it probably will drop into the low 40s in the next couple hours.
I know its crazy. What's expected here in Poconos I'm hearing 6-8
I’ve been seeing 3-5” for that general area. But poconos are tricky due to varying elevations so not sure how that is playing into things. I’ll say this you should definitely wake up to accumulating snow there if you’re still there tomorrow morning. From low 60s and sun at sunset to 30 with snow at dawn. Lol
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
If the temp there hasn’t dropped yet it should soon. I just checked and Mt Pocono and Lake Harmony are 40 and 43. Your drop can’t be far behind.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
44.8 and waiting on the snow.
Need 2.8 to go over 80, after that I'm just rooting for historic April numbers in NYC.
13.5 is the record for April in Central Park.
Let's get some tomorrow, next weekend, maybe next Tuesday. Go big or go home.
7 Largest April Snows in NYC
1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915
2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875
3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982
4.......8.5.....April 1, 1924
5.......6.5.....April 5, 1944
6.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917
7.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938
Need 2.8 to go over 80, after that I'm just rooting for historic April numbers in NYC.
13.5 is the record for April in Central Park.
Let's get some tomorrow, next weekend, maybe next Tuesday. Go big or go home.
7 Largest April Snows in NYC
1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915
2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875
3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982
4.......8.5.....April 1, 1924
5.......6.5.....April 5, 1944
6.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917
7.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938
Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Sun Apr 01, 2018 7:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
if the GFS forecast for next weekend holds you’ll be over 90 challenging 100.@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:44.8 and waiting on the snow.
Need 2.8 to go over 80, after that I'm just rooting for historic April numbers in NYC.
13.5 is the record for April in Central Park.
Let's get some tomorrow, next weekend, maybe next Tuesday. Go big or go home.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
@CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:44.8 and waiting on the snow.
Need 2.8 to go over 80, after that I'm just rooting for historic April numbers in NYC.
13.5 is the record for April in Central Park.
Let's get some tomorrow, next weekend, maybe next Tuesday. Go big or go home.
7 Largest April Snows in NYC
1.....10.2.....April 3-4, 1915
2.....10.0.....April 13, 1875
3.......9.6.....April 6, 1982
4.......8.5.....April 1, 1924
5.......6.5.....April 5, 1944
6.......6.5.....April 8-9, 1917
7.......6.4.....April 6-7, 1938
Whoa. It’s been awhile. I think it’s time to re write history. Don’t you think?
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 6863
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Clear skies already down to 50* from a high of 60. Dewpoint 34*.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Down to 45 in Clifton. Feels much colder. No clouds.
MattyICE- Posts : 84
Reputation : 6
Join date : 2017-11-10
Age : 35
Location : Clifton, NJ (Eastern Passaic County)
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
How often do you see it snow when there is an H right over you?
Sent from Topic'it App

Sent from Topic'it App
Math23x7- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 2287
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-08
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
Looking at radar the storm is trucking in from the Midwest. Was over MO/IL a couple hours ago now over IN/OH.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 3624
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
47 here. Hoping for 4” which would give me 70”+ for season. Did have an inch last Sunday. Kids Easter egg hunt was fun in the snow.
heehaw453- Posts : 1599
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
38.5
Temps won't be an issue here, let's see if the qpf comes through.
Temps won't be an issue here, let's see if the qpf comes through.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 6662
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 100
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY
Re: APRIL 2nd 2018 SNOW!!! Model Discussions AND Observations
@skinsfan1177 wrote:We are in the Poconos on a family vaca and its 61° right and beautiful
Where the heck in the Poconos are you? Lmao I'm here at my parents and we had snow this morning and even with bright sun this afternoon never even made it past the mid-40s. Currently just above freezing at 33.
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 5354
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ
Page 3 of 10 • 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
Page 3 of 10
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
|
|