Movember

Folks,

Happy MOVEMBER _will it be a month to remember??
Here we are - the mid point of fall and the front 2/3 a torch so far with latter 1/3 an icebox.
Now, indications that there will be a couple of cold shots and a very wet month are in the cards as projected with the MJO, PAC JET extension, Karents Sea or Scandinavian Block not to mention the warm anomalous Atlantic off of our coast.
I think temps wise we are going to be about N (+/- .5) and Precip Above Normal (+/- 1"). I also think we will have a threat of white gold or two for the high country peeps - NWNJ, HV, EPA folk. Nothing out of teh ordinary for this time of year as we progress into winter.

Set the clocks back - Fall back this weekend - an hour extra of sleep sheeple LOL!

WOW 60 miles separates me from 40's as I look to be in 60's crazy fall battle zone line.
From tweeter and JH

Happy movember I love this time of the year especially Thanksgiving then putting up the Xmas lights .today it was warm had high of 68* .I noticed the leaves are changing faster now in my area we are almost at peak

Happy hiking Scott!!

October finished above normal. That sounds hard to believe, right? But we did.



But if you look at just the last 14 days - we were averaging -4 to -6 below normal.



We must have had some very EXTREME + departures that first week of October when it hit 80.

We are looking at rain tomorrow and Saturday. More rain.

It is mainly showers and it will come in waves. A wave tomorrow then one last one overnight Friday into early Saturday. I think it could clear by 3-4pm Saturday.

Less than 1 inch to 1 inch of rain between the two days.

Are you sure Frank? Models have been consistent on a pretty good soaker next 2 days.

Also a high wind watch was issued this morning for NYC are to Canada border and on east. That was in expected and I bet you this is when winds will actually happen for or me. When I had no clue there was a threat.

This storm system is gonna pack quite the punch. 1-3 inches of rain overnight into Saturday will further saturate the ground just in time for 60 mph wind gusts tomorrow evening. Power outages are likely. This is basically the last storm that wasn't (not including immediate coastal areas that saw flooding of course). Solid write-up here:

http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e110218.htm

Funny as frank stayed above there really wasn't going to be anything I'm curious in his thinking. And its a hww for now might become a warning tonight and it seems it will only be like a 6 he period. What's odd is sr wind maps don't show winds at that time all that strong maybe this is our turn soul lol

Wow soul looks intense. Frank maybe storm mode for short period that map shows everything including solid 60moh winds for a large area.

can you guys tell me when you think the rain will start? shhh I am a bad mom..I am tired of baseball games an hour away from home...I don't feel like going tonight...lol please say before 6 pm start time

sroc4 wrote:

amugs wrote:WOW 60 miles  separates me from 40's as I look to be in 60's crazy fall battle zone line.
From tweeter and JH

I took my family north into New Hampshire about 2/3rds north into the state. I can see Mt Washington out my window from where we are staying. It’s cold and raining and my family is hiking and loving it. Sis supposed to be in the 20’s when we wake. I can’t wait!!

have a great time current temp at mt washington station 40 degrees wind 40 mph with gusts to 53 wind chill 27!

Hww downgraded to advisory I see this being nothing as frank said. Just like last time. Well here anyways. Its only a 7 he wind advisory that's really quick. Hww further east I guess won't be as strong until reaches further east. We will see.

SoulSingMG wrote:This storm system is gonna pack quite the punch. 1-3 inches of rain overnight into Saturday will further saturate the ground just in time for 60 mph wind gusts tomorrow evening. Power outages are likely. This is basically the last storm that wasn't (not including immediate coastal areas that saw flooding of course). Solid write-up here:

http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e110218.htm

I am now a sole believer that unless its happening I don't believe any of the wind maps. They never showed anything too crazy for this anyways euro has 40 to 55mph max but I'd say cut 1/3 off. I just realized that is from cranky wx guy come on you know he is full of it. Means nothing.

Tons of severe as South of here if that writeup is right we will see this line and it has spawned a few tornado warnings already.

Large tornado warning near reading pa moving ne 35mph into nj this line is no joke!

Just awoken by an emergency alert on my phone for a Tornado Warning in my town and surrounding towns. T’Storm cell with suspected rotation estimated to be here by 12:30 am. Might have to head to the basement.

Here’s what I have headed in:

Your tornado warning is cutting right through nj if it holds it will be on a b line for NYC area. I'm thinking the fact that the storms tonight played out that the high winds tomorrow afternoon might too.

Wow 3.78" of rain here, still raining...

Will anyone on here be putting out a Winter forecast for the area?

Winds are moving in

Vinnydula wrote:Winds are moving in

Are you right on the river? The winds are always strong over there in dobbs and hastings it seems, i am hearing some little gusts but nothing major, it was only supposed start at 11am so maybe hasnt ramped up yet.

Going to Sleepy Hollow area this evening and need to cross the Tappan Zee. Any idea where I can find if there are/will be speed restrictions? I tried Google and it’s not really helpful.