NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Page 23 of 25 Previous  1 ... 13 ... 22, 23, 24, 25  Next

Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by amugs on Thu Aug 27, 2020 9:15 pm

Saddle up broncos we have two more that COULD be an issue for the Gulf region and the outer one the East Coast.
Mjo phase 2 and 3 says this is likely IF they developed.
Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 14617910

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 11141
Reputation : 202
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 50
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Aug 29, 2020 10:50 am

What?! 00z GFS pulls a Sandy in LR, with a trough I think pulling a hurricane west into NE, a little earlier and it would gone into NYC area, might that be something we have to watch? Gosh if something like that were to happen it would have to be 2020. 06z has a weak TS into NJ around same time. Euro shows nothing as far i can see.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 16874
Reputation : 100
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by Dunnzoo on Sat Aug 29, 2020 2:22 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:What?! 00z GFS pulls a Sandy in LR, with a trough I think pulling a hurricane west into NE, a little earlier and it would gone into NYC area, might that be something we have to watch? Gosh if something like that were to happen it would have to be 2020. 06z has a weak TS into NJ around same time.  Euro shows nothing as far i can see.

Euro has been terrible lately, lots of pro mets have been discounting it...

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020      8.5"

Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4238
Reputation : 61
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 58
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by jmanley32 on Sat Aug 29, 2020 2:56 pm

@Dunnzoo wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:What?! 00z GFS pulls a Sandy in LR, with a trough I think pulling a hurricane west into NE, a little earlier and it would gone into NYC area, might that be something we have to watch? Gosh if something like that were to happen it would have to be 2020. 06z has a weak TS into NJ around same time.  Euro shows nothing as far i can see.


Euro has been terrible lately, lots of pro mets have been discounting it...
ironic huh. Gfs has handled the tropics well this year. We aren't go know much about that system for a while. I don't think it's even one marked yet by nhc. Busy as it is anyways.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 16874
Reputation : 100
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 01, 2020 9:26 pm

Speaking of the dethroned Euro....
Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Fb_img12

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 11141
Reputation : 202
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 50
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by skinsfan1177 on Thu Sep 03, 2020 10:28 am

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Two_at11
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4396
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by skinsfan1177 on Thu Sep 03, 2020 3:04 pm

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Ecmwf_12
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4396
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Sep 03, 2020 3:50 pm

affraid affraid WOW
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2742
Reputation : 73
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 56
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by skinsfan1177 on Thu Sep 03, 2020 3:55 pm

@weatherwatchermom wrote:
affraid affraid  WOW

If the ruro has a clue it just keeps sending the storms
skinsfan1177
skinsfan1177
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 4396
Reputation : 35
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 43
Location : Point Pleasant Boro

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Sep 03, 2020 9:18 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:
@weatherwatchermom wrote:
affraid affraid  WOW

If the ruro has a clue it just keeps sending the storms

It's 2020 any thing is possible
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2742
Reputation : 73
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 56
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by mwilli on Thu Sep 03, 2020 9:41 pm

I have been on this site over 5 years and this is the first time I seen the tropics in a "conga line" heading to the east coast/gulf etc...i mean whats gonna happen for winter?

mwilli

Posts : 92
Reputation : 1
Join date : 2019-02-11

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by sroc4 on Thu Sep 10, 2020 9:46 am

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Two_atl_5d0

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)

WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6570
Reputation : 285
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by Math23x7 on Sun Sep 13, 2020 1:08 am

Three days before Katrina made landfall in Louisiana (8/29/05), the idea of it reaching Cat 5 strength was beyond anybody's imagination. Three days before Hurricane Michael hit the Florida panhandle (10/10/18), the idea of it reaching Cat 5 strength was beyond anybody's imagination. The longer Sally stays in the gulf over the warm waters, the higher the probability it has of reaching Cat 5 strength.

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2250
Reputation : 67
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 13, 2020 1:14 pm

This is insane, 7! 7 systems tracking at once!! what comes after the greek alphabet lol We still have 2 months, at 7 to track a week we may make it up to 40 systems
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 16874
Reputation : 100
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by jmanley32 on Sun Sep 13, 2020 1:14 pm

Doesnt look like anything will be a threat to the EC, looks like gulf and fish storms. Seems might be trend rest of the fall.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 16874
Reputation : 100
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by amugs on Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:01 pm

Jman you have to see how the pattern sets up with HP systems that MAY anchor over SE Canada and a trough over the GL. There some hints of Teddy with this. Lots of time but needs to be watched. Some of these storms SGOULD NOT HAVE BEEN NAMED. I'd say about 5 of them fit this. Very active indeed.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 11141
Reputation : 202
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 50
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by amugs on Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:59 pm

Hope neither of these occur, would be really bad if it happens.
Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 20200911
Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 20200912

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 11141
Reputation : 202
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 50
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by jmanley32 on Tue Sep 15, 2020 12:52 am

@amugs wrote:Jman you have to see how the pattern sets up with HP systems that MAY anchor over SE Canada and a trough over the GL. There some hints of Teddy with this. Lots of time but needs to be watched. Some of these storms SGOULD NOT HAVE BEEN NAMED. I'd say about 5 of them fit this. Very active indeed.
The position Teddy is in gets him to major but rarely have i seen a system up towards bermuda more NW to the US, I guess its 2020 though! Yeah manly have been barely TS.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 16874
Reputation : 100
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by amugs on Tue Sep 15, 2020 3:43 pm

May have to keep an eye on Teddy peeps along the coast, maybe more New England but close to brush aside at this point.
Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Eh-rPOcX0AEGi9R?format=jpg&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 11141
Reputation : 202
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 50
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by dkodgis on Wed Sep 16, 2020 8:06 am

Man, some of these storms are over-performing. The one right now punishing the gulf coast is such a slow mover. No trough and that storm is just crawling. They will see some 30 inches of rain and maybe more. I keep hearing “historic” and “catastrophic”. Shame. Everyone is taking it on the chin
dkodgis
dkodgis
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1326
Reputation : 97
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by jmanley32 on Wed Sep 16, 2020 1:45 pm

Mugs GFS is now showing a stall and further westward movement of Teddy, will have to watch especially since he looks to be possibly a major as progged by NHC, then weakens again but GFS shows major not incredibly far off the EC.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 16874
Reputation : 100
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 39
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by nutleyblizzard on Wed Sep 16, 2020 2:47 pm

Euro took another jump west with Teddy. After a direct hit with Bermuda, it moves NNW right into eastern Maine.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1652
Reputation : 40
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 54
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by sroc4 on Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:12 pm

Yeah Euro phases with energy diving off the EC and pulls it into NE.  Still a ways out so we will have to see the interactions with the western flank of the Misd Atlatic 500mb ridge.  Does it erode quicker than modeled and recurve(most likely ATT IMHO given the fact that it will be a strong hurricane) or does it cont to push westward and get captured.   Ill give it through the weekend before I get excited for now.

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)

WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6570
Reputation : 285
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by SoulSingMG on Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:45 pm

The 12z EPS is umm, disconcerting. Shocked

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 89001710

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 282ba310
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2667
Reputation : 72
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by sroc4 on Wed Sep 16, 2020 4:33 pm

Not to get too far ahead of ourselves but here is the Operational euro for next week Tuesday time frame. If the ridge we’re a bit stronger southern NE would have to watch closely.

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 E595b910

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)

WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6570
Reputation : 285
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season- - Page 23 Empty Re: Hurricane Season 2020-Active Season-

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 23 of 25 Previous  1 ... 13 ... 22, 23, 24, 25  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum