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Tropical Storm Isaias

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Post by GreyBeard on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:39 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 3

Location: 32.8°N 79.0°W

Moving: NNE at 16 mph

Min pressure: 988 mb

Max sustained: 75 mph


If this storm is now in South Carolina,which is over 720 miles from NY,is moving at 16 mph, how does it get here by tomorrow? It's a 12 1/2 drive from NY to SC. doing 65 mph. Just wondering...

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Post by billg315 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:43 pm

@GreyBeard wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:8:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 3

Location: 32.8°N 79.0°W

Moving: NNE at 16 mph

Min pressure: 988 mb

Max sustained: 75 mph


If this storm is now in South Carolina,which is over 720 miles from NY,is moving at 16 mph, how does it get here by tomorrow? It's a 12 1/2 drive from NY to SC. doing 65 mph. Just wondering...

It’s forward speed will begin accelerating tomorrow as it gets further north. It will be moving two or three times that fast by the time it gets here.
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Post by weatherwatchermom on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:45 pm

currently having some storms roll thru..nothing like the last two we have had in the past couple of weeks..but I guess this is the appetizer...
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Post by GreyBeard on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:46 pm

What causes that acceleration,Bill?

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Post by brownie on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:48 pm

@billg315 wrote:This is like the scout team for tomorrow’s storm:
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 0ba10c10
That one is on its way here now.  I just heard the first rumble of thunder.

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Post by billg315 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:52 pm

@GreyBeard wrote:What causes that acceleration,Bill?

The westerly upper level steering currents get stronger up at these latitudes, especially if it interacts with the jet stream.
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Post by GreyBeard on Mon Aug 03, 2020 8:55 pm

Well, they said it was going to be a fast moving storm, just didn't seem all that fast getting from Fl. to SC lol.

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Post by frank 638 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:00 pm

Just got an alert for a Severe thunderstorm warning

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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:01 pm

NC flight level sounding recording a 117 knot winds - if verified he RI in close
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 348477197_KTLX832020848PM.thumb.png.8d3e794145d00b3e57abf6cadbcddcbd

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:01 pm

@amugs wrote:NC flight level sounding recording a 117 knot winds - if verified he RI in close
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 348477197_KTLX832020848PM.thumb.png.8d3e794145d00b3e57abf6cadbcddcbd
wTH!! THAT CAN'T BE RIGHT. no image again mugs lol


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:02 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:02 pm

OH NELLIE this recon showing RI

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 A8C2153D-2E84-4D45-A206-35ECD7D99233.png.e1b1c5574350ae046c923fce078fae98

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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:03 pm

up to 85MPH sustained now
9:00 PM EDT Mon Aug 3
Location: 33.1°N 78.8°W
Moving: NNE at 18 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:05 pm

RI over those Gulf Stream waters - JB may nail this saying it wouls be a CAT 2 at landfall as did Eric Webb. Radar showing 90+ mph sustained winds and 100+ mph gusts now

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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:05 pm

Wow you are right mugs we might have a cat 2 there b4 landfall, this sometimes happens, means worse for us too potentially.
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Post by sroc4 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:06 pm

@amugs wrote:NC flight level sounding recording a 117 knot winds - if verified he RI in close
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 348477197_KTLX832020848PM.thumb.png.8d3e794145d00b3e57abf6cadbcddcbd

I cant see what you posted but here it is in case anyone else cant either. Yes flight level winds are at 117kts and surface winds clocked a 75kts(86mph)

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 Lasjfl10
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 Tttt10

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:06 pm

Stormspotter from another site just posted this :
Flight level winds of 135 MPH just found WOW!
Radar showing 79MPH sustained winds just off Myrtle Beach

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 972860D3-8434-480F-8787-ECC02AB805DE.thumb.png.fca8804cb4394fa4db382f50d9632b26



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Post by amugs on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:07 pm

Sorry about that Scott and peeps.

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Post by sroc4 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:08 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@amugs wrote:NC flight level sounding recording a 117 knot winds - if verified he RI in close
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 348477197_KTLX832020848PM.thumb.png.8d3e794145d00b3e57abf6cadbcddcbd

I cant see what you posted but here it is in case anyone else cant either.  Yes flight level winds are at 117kts and surface winds clocked a 75kts(86mph)

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 Lasjfl10
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 Tttt10

And if you look where recon has the center and the direction its moving the eastern track is back in play

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
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WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)

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Post by billg315 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:17 pm

9 pm advisory: Winds now up to 85 mph.
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Post by sroc4 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:18 pm

Also notice the precip shield is shifting to the NW quadrant.  What does this tell us?   That its starting to phase with the trough.  You can see its being captured by the 500mb trough and the upper level jet streak is enhancing lift in the right rear quadrant.  Quite impressive actually.  
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 28495e10

Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 50013
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 30012


Last edited by sroc4 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:19 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
"Go hug a human, not a weather model"
“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)

WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)[/size]
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:19 pm

I dunno Scott models have it pretty nailed down but we see. Scott does the increase now potentially mean he will be worse up here with the enhancement.
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Post by sroc4 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:21 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:I dunno Scott models have it pretty nailed down but we see. Scott does the increase now potentially mean he will be worse up here with the enhancement.

Oh Jon the models..yes the models have it "nailed down"  Eventually they get it right told ya

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“Optimism is great, but cautious optimism is more realistic”
"In weather and in life, theres no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)

WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" [size=10](First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
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WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
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Post by billg315 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:22 pm

Watch this thing go OTS before it gets here. Lol. Not likely, but it would be typical of tropical systems around here.
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Post by jmanley32 on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:22 pm

@sroc4 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:I dunno Scott models have it pretty nailed down but we see. Scott does the increase now potentially mean he will be worse up here with the enhancement.

Oh Jon the models..yes the models have it "nailed down"  Eventually they get it right told ya
lol true enough . but there is good consensus.
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Post by aiannone on Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:26 pm

18z Euro and HRRR wow
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 65e06f10
Tropical Storm Isaias - Page 2 5d72b410
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