December 2020 Observations and Discussion

GFS says HELLO for SUNDAY! EURO on it but has the temps at 34/35 on the costal plain.
Could be a fresh coating for us if GFS is correct say .....Coating up to an inch anyone??

BRRRR!! DEEP WINTER TEMPS TONIGHT PEEPS - FIRE PLACE NEEDS A FEW MORE LOGS!!



Close up for the elder peeps with eye strain issues!

Trends are our freinds!! Like last Mondays system, they like to go North!! This time we have cold air in place already with a solid snowpack that will be a glacier by Sunday!!

GFS and NAM starting to pick up some light snow for Sunday afternoon/evening.  Nam seems to form a little wave that could be sneaky.  Has some other guidance support too.

This storm sets the table for Tuesday and Xmas - the Domino Affect!

NAM

GFS is stronger

7.9° at a little past midnight.

I don't think I'll make 0° but most likely will surpass last winters low, the pathetic 5.1° of last February 15th. It would be nice to wipe that out tonight as well as the awful memories of the winter of 2019/20.

2 degrees above zero.

Doesn’t quite look like will make 0 but cold enough.

amugs wrote:NAM

GFS is stronger

Ocean County (at least coastal Ocean) guest starring in a Seinfeld episode: NO SNOW FOR YOU!!

Hit 7.5 for low.

11* for my low

8.8* for my low, looks beautiful out, but boy it's cold!

NWS had me at -2 at 5:30 am. Alexa and the thermometer had me at -4. Even at 7 it was -4

dkodgis wrote:NWS had me at -2 at 5:30 am. Alexa and the thermometer had ne at -4. Even at 7 it was -4

Nice, Damian, and it;s still technically Fall.
I think it looks good for a White Christmas in our areas.A warm up Thursday but a crash back down with snow showers Christmas Day to freshen the snowpack up.

docstox12 wrote:

dkodgis wrote:NWS had me at -2 at 5:30 am. Alexa and the thermometer had ne at -4. Even at 7 it was -4

Nice, Damian, and it;s still technically Fall.
I think it looks good for a White Christmas in our areas.A warm up Thursday but a crash back down with snow showers Christmas Day to freshen the snowpack up.

Didn't make zero bottomed out at 2°.

This Christmas Eve storm as modeled now by most of the major models is a nightmare for a snowpack. High winds, rain and temps in low 50's. I hope the models back off this in future rains. We can endure some rain and 40's Christmas Eve with lighter winds and still have a snowpack but not if the current GFS, EURO and CMC verify.

WOW 16* for a low this morning..

23 and sunny now after a low of 1 below early this morning. Maybe some snow showers tomorrow.

Last night fell to 5 degrees.  It was a dry cold so didn't go to my bones.

Today it's 32. No wind and sunny.

Tomorrow it's 37 degrees with rain and snow mixed.
Snow? Seriously? I'm not good enough at this but I did learn here that snow at 37 is a no go.

Looks like some light rain mixed with snow tomorrow. Maybe all snow N&W, but very little if any accumulation. It will fall during the day

Euro says this fresh coating to snow for NNJ - sorry LI and SNJ peeps

3K NAM picks up a bot more and temps in NNJ between 28-31* as per models



Even half of this I'll take

aiannone wrote:

nice! Shoes me getting a bit over a inch. That's a interesting small area of snow.

Snowing here now

Radar shows snow, ears and eyes say sleet. Skins I think I’m about 5-10 miles to your south.

Rain sleet snowflakes and even some of that grapple stuff all at the same time. Yet radar still says all snow...Very interesting. Is that due to high dew point? Or that the higher temps are much closer to the surface? Or is that kind of the same thing?

I'll try answering my own question. If you look ahead another few hours, we see that while the 540 line appears well to my south (woo hoo!), all of the low level air is flowing N/NE from the warmer gulf states (boo!). None of that cold air from the last storm is sticking around. And so, we get Pooville!! And I think my mixed bag of precip at present represents that transition from colder surface air temps to warmer as that precip and wind direction continue moving north. I think...