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December 2020 Observations and Discussion

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Post by amugs on Fri Dec 11, 2020 10:04 pm

Nice appetizer on Monday. NAM comes North.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone on Fri Dec 11, 2020 10:34 pm

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 E7e65510
December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 3d416210
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Post by amugs on Fri Dec 11, 2020 10:59 pm

GFS bumps North bigly

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Gfs-de10

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by heehaw453 on Sat Dec 12, 2020 7:38 am

@amugs wrote:GFS bumps North bigly

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Gfs-de10

This Monday threat continues to grow. You've been on top of the Monday one all along. Nice call!

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Post by sroc4 on Sat Dec 12, 2020 7:45 am

It sure is Heehaw. Mugsy has def remained steady as she goes with this one. Hi Res models coming into focus this wekend with this one. Lets see what sort of fine tuning we get. QPF is def going up.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
WINTER 2020/2021 SNOW TOTALS 7.25"(First snow Dec 16th/17th)
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"[/size]
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Post by amugs on Sat Dec 12, 2020 9:02 am

Thanks Gents but we all do a great job here period. Everyone is to share in this. I have made many a bad call adn a few good ones on here.
Now lets do this!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by algae888 on Sun Dec 13, 2020 11:32 am

This from uncle w from am weather

winters with at least one 4" or more snowstorm in December for NYC...15 of 21 winters had 30" or more...only one was below 24"...

winter....Dec 4" snows....seasonal snow...

2017-18.......4.6"....................40.9"...

2013-14.......5.0"....................57.4"...

2010-11.....20.0".....................61.9"...

2009-10.....10.9"....................51.4"...

2008-09.......4.0"....................27.6"...

2005-06.......5.8"....................40.0"...

2003-04.....14.0"....................42.6"...

2002-03.......6.0" 5.0"............49.3"...

2000-01......12.0"....................35.0"...

1995-96.......7.7"....................75.6"...

1993-94.......4.0"...................53.4"...

1990-91........7.2"....................24.9"...

1984-85.......4.8"....................24.1"...

1969-70.......6.8"....................25.6"...

1968-69.......5.2"....................30.2"...

1966-67........7.1".....................51.5"...

1963-64.......6.3"....................44.7"...

1961-62.......6.2"....................18.1"...

1960-61.....15.2"....................54.7"...

1959-60.....13.7"....................39.2"...

1957-58.......7.5"....................44.7"...
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Post by heehaw453 on Sun Dec 13, 2020 7:33 pm

@algae888 wrote:This from uncle w from am weather

winters with at least one 4" or more snowstorm in December for NYC...15 of 21 winters had 30" or more...only one was below 24"...

winter....Dec 4" snows....seasonal snow...

2017-18.......4.6"....................40.9"...

2013-14.......5.0"....................57.4"...

2010-11.....20.0".....................61.9"...

2009-10.....10.9"....................51.4"...

2008-09.......4.0"....................27.6"...

2005-06.......5.8"....................40.0"...

2003-04.....14.0"....................42.6"...

2002-03.......6.0" 5.0"............49.3"...

2000-01......12.0"....................35.0"...

1995-96.......7.7"....................75.6"...

1993-94.......4.0"...................53.4"...

1990-91........7.2"....................24.9"...

1984-85.......4.8"....................24.1"...

1969-70.......6.8"....................25.6"...

1968-69.......5.2"....................30.2"...

1966-67........7.1".....................51.5"...

1963-64.......6.3"....................44.7"...

1961-62.......6.2"....................18.1"...

1960-61.....15.2"....................54.7"...

1959-60.....13.7"....................39.2"...

1957-58.......7.5"....................44.7"...

Very interesting. I've always been under the belief the good winters include December. Sure you can have pattern flips, but it's usually after 1/2 meteorological winter is wasted.

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Post by amugs on Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:13 pm

Okay who ready for some snow showers Sunday?? Maybe a coating to .25"

Have to saddle up peeps!!

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 753467297_download(1).png.f424d30ff713bc60ad0107e7cd9a8c7c

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Ecmwf-deterministic-ma-instant_ptype-1608206400-1608487200-1608519600-40

GFS
December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 Gfs-deterministic-ma-instant_ptype-1608206400-1608476400-1608519600-40


Last edited by amugs on Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:24 pm; edited 3 times in total

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow on Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:17 pm

@aiannone wrote:December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 E7e65510
December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 3d416210

These are for last Monday and Tuesday Alex.
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Post by amugs on Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:31 pm

OH CANADA?? Monday
December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 1608530400-WkskDcCeKVs

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 on Thu Dec 17, 2020 4:27 pm

34* and a beautiful sunset over the snow cover. Clear skies will aid in the temperature drop tonight and it is headed into the teens. One thing is for sure: Any snow that wasn't moved today, ain't moving tomorrow morning.
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Post by weatherwatchermom on Thu Dec 17, 2020 4:55 pm

it's cold out there and that snow was frozen solid when my son went out after school at 12:30...currently 32*
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Post by amugs on Thu Dec 17, 2020 6:07 pm

GFS coming around to a dessert for Monday??
December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 20201218

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Frank_Wx on Thu Dec 17, 2020 6:25 pm

Looks like a winter wonderland. Loving it.

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Post by frank 638 on Thu Dec 17, 2020 6:36 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Looks like a winter wonderland. Loving it.
Me too Frank especially with the Christmas lights And the Christmas tree we haven’t had this in a long time and it’s about time stay safe

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Post by dkodgis on Thu Dec 17, 2020 7:04 pm

A low of 10 tonight (and 3 tomorrow)
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Post by docstox12 on Thu Dec 17, 2020 8:08 pm

@frank 638 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Looks like a winter wonderland. Loving it.
Me too Frank especially with the Christmas lights And the Christmas tree we haven’t had this in a long time and it’s about time stay safe

frank638:
Absolutely true, when there is a good snow cover and you see the Christmas lights, it brings that spirit up so nicely.As a kid, I would take a walk at night after a snow around Christmas just to see the lights and the snow.
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Post by weatherwatchermom on Fri Dec 18, 2020 4:48 am

Currently 26* real feel 18 wow
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Post by dkodgis on Fri Dec 18, 2020 7:08 am

17. Beautiful view out every window.
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Post by Radz on Fri Dec 18, 2020 7:15 am

18* and a picture perfect landscape...
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Post by sroc4 on Fri Dec 18, 2020 8:21 am

28* absolutely beautiful. Sipping coffee.

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 43036110

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
WINTER 2020/2021 SNOW TOTALS 7.25"(First snow Dec 16th/17th)
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"[/size]
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Post by docstox12 on Fri Dec 18, 2020 8:55 am

@sroc4 wrote:28* absolutely beautiful. Sipping coffee.

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 43036110

WONDERFUL, Doc!
Just the simple pleasure of contemplation after a snowfall a week before Christmas! I guess we snowaholics understand this better than anybody,LOL.
Same here, a winter wonderland with a cold week and snowpack to look forward to.Maybe some snow showers Sunday to freshen it up a bit.
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Post by amugs on Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:34 am

GFS says HELLO for SUNDAY! EURO on it but has the temps at 34/35 on the costal plain.
Could be a fresh coating for us if GFS is correct say .....Coating up to an inch anyone??

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 1608498000-Wsc4d9Mb3Xo

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 1608508800-WsDGvLFP8QY

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Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs on Fri Dec 18, 2020 9:39 am

BRRRR!! DEEP WINTER TEMPS TONIGHT PEEPS - FIRE PLACE NEEDS A FEW MORE LOGS!!

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 1608379200-iH1giSAZu7k

Close up for the elder peeps with eye strain issues!

December 2020 Observations and Discussion - Page 8 1608379200-J8rWIgtSa4w

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AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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