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November 2021 Obs & Discussions

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SENJsnowman
GreyBeard
jmanley32
essexcountypete
1190ftalt
Frank_Wx
frank 638
algae888
dkodgis
weatherwatchermom
heehaw453
Dunnzoo
billg315
docstox12
aiannone
sroc4
amugs
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Post by amugs Mon Nov 01, 2021 4:58 pm

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Image.png.37a228a2ae1e11ac8dced2226861bc3d

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Mon Nov 01, 2021 5:49 pm


_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 0.00 
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Post by amugs Mon Nov 01, 2021 9:04 pm

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Image.png.c86f4a0bb1cf6ca2c1b086a6c619e918

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Fdjovo10

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Tue Nov 02, 2021 6:35 am

Coldest temp here last night of the year before the clouds rolled in and temps rose a bit. Hit 38.8 around 2am. Heat is finally officially on. Looks like the next few nights might be even cooler.
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Post by sroc4 Tue Nov 02, 2021 6:59 am

Ewww.

November 2021 Obs & Discussions WaterTDeptNRCC
November 2021 Obs & Discussions WaterTDeptUS

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 0.00 
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Post by docstox12 Tue Nov 02, 2021 7:49 am

@sroc4 wrote:Ewww.  

November 2021 Obs & Discussions WaterTDeptNRCC
November 2021 Obs & Discussions WaterTDeptUS

I am good with this Doc, get it out of the way in October.Good news was there was no October measurable snow, usually a KOD for the winter.

36 degrees, cloudy and frost on tap the next two nights.
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Post by amugs Tue Nov 02, 2021 11:01 am

Here comes Mr. freeze and Mr. Frosty for many here!!!

November 2021 Obs & Discussions FDMjY5lWQAILG5w?format=jpg&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Tue Nov 02, 2021 12:31 pm

@amugs wrote:Here comes Mr. freeze and Mr. Frosty for many here!!!

November 2021 Obs & Discussions FDMjY5lWQAILG5w?format=jpg&name=medium

I'm salty about not being included in that!
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Post by billg315 Tue Nov 02, 2021 1:55 pm

@aiannone wrote:
@amugs wrote:Here comes Mr. freeze and Mr. Frosty for many here!!!

November 2021 Obs & Discussions FDMjY5lWQAILG5w?format=jpg&name=medium

I'm salty about not being included in that!

Soon enough my friend. Winter is kicking in the door right now. Gonna take it a little while to breach the entrance, but it can’t be stopped now.
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Post by billg315 Tue Nov 02, 2021 1:56 pm

Can’t wait to wake up to frozen ground tomorrow! One step closer to waking up with snow on the ground. Lol.
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Post by aiannone Tue Nov 02, 2021 4:53 pm

@billg315 wrote:Can’t wait to wake up to frozen ground tomorrow! One step closer to waking up with snow on the ground. Lol.

Exactly! Assuming the clouds clear out and winds stay calm, still think frost is possible on LI. Tumbled to 38.8 last night before the clouds rolled in and tonight's airmass should even be a bit chillier.
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Post by amugs Wed Nov 03, 2021 7:42 am

Keep an eye on this weekend.

November 2021 Obs & Discussions FDRCGL9XIAYXOy1?format=jpg&name=large

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Nov 03, 2021 8:07 am

31.6* was my low this morning.... brrrrr

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by aiannone Wed Nov 03, 2021 8:09 am

32.7* for a low this morning. Coldest of the year
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Post by heehaw453 Wed Nov 03, 2021 10:06 am

Low was 29.5 this morning. Haven't gotten below 37 prior to today. This is the latest frost I can remember let alone hard freeze IMBY. Some have mentioned the dearth of snow in Eastern CA. That is true in that there isn't much of any snow OTG in Central/Northern Quebec, Labrador where by now they should have 1' on the ground. Pretty much have to get up into Nunuvat to see appreciable snow OTG.

With regard to the ENSO state being at least moderate La Nina that usually isn't prolific snowfall for our area. But there are too many factors to just focus on that like PV strength, SSWE, etc. However, I'm more interested in the AO state for these parts. Negative AO for good stretches of time gives us a good chance of at least average snowfall. See how it plays out.

Someone mentioned Isotherm's Winter Outlook which I as most folks look forward to. His website hasn't been updated with the 2020-21 NJ snowfall maps so I'm not sure what to make of that. Hope he posts this year.

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Post by amugs Wed Nov 03, 2021 5:50 pm

These ENS are showing excitement BUT  GIVE ME THIS IN MID DECEMBER THROUGH JAN AND KABOOOOM!!

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Image.png.e554557299c181a731348866e2d285e3

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_41

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Gfs-ens_z500a_namer_65

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Thu Nov 04, 2021 8:54 am

32.6* for a low this morning. Coldest of the year. As with last night, high clouds during the middle part of the night allowed temps to stay around 38 until a rapid drop once the clouds moved out around 4am. This allowed for not a killer freeze/frost but just a short lived morning frost for a couple hours. Amazing how late in the year the flowers are staying alive in the yard.
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Post by amugs Thu Nov 04, 2021 10:08 am

30* for my low this morning. Good thing I harvested Sunday in my garden and Monday!!

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Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Nov 04, 2021 1:22 pm

28.9* for my low this morning, frost on the cars. Gorgeous out now, 48.8*

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by docstox12 Thu Nov 04, 2021 2:11 pm

@amugs wrote:30* for my low this morning. Good thing I harvested Sunday in my garden and Monday!!
27 this morning here with frost.

Hey, Mugsy, when I had my organic garden in Mahwah, there would always be a bunch of green tomatos left over.A buddy of mine who was a part time chef made this:

https://www.almanac.com/recipe/green-tomato-relish
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Nov 04, 2021 2:41 pm

34* for a low this morning
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Post by amugs Thu Nov 04, 2021 6:31 pm

Alex here ya

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Image.png.4dd5e2eccb99693b9798723cb093264f

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Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by docstox12 Fri Nov 05, 2021 6:29 am

24 degrees with a high of 48.Cold for early November.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Nov 05, 2021 8:02 am

29* this morning, going to be a gorgeous weekend! Looking forward to the 60's next week, a November thaw! lol

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by aiannone Fri Nov 05, 2021 8:51 am

@amugs wrote:Alex here ya

November 2021 Obs & Discussions Image.png.4dd5e2eccb99693b9798723cb093264f

Was 38* before I went to bed around 10pm. Suddenly a wind of 5-10mph started blowing after midnight keeping temps around 40 all night. Some frost on the rooftops. Freeze warning up for tonight. With HP in place and clear skies, finally might have a hard freeze.
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